- 1 day ago
八点最热报 | 美加贸易谈判破裂，两国建国以来，边境那层温情脉脉的面纱被彻底撕碎！加拿大这次选择“硬刚”到底，扬言要对美国采取“一对一报复性关税” 。美国政府则不甘示弱，继续撂下狠话，提醒加拿大不要幻想能够在这场“毁灭性”的贸易战中全身而退。（主播：梁宝仪）
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00:00A reminder before watching the video
00:01Popular websites have more content
00:04US-Canada trade negotiations break down
00:06Since the founding of those two countries
00:07The veil of warmth and silence within the border
00:10It has been completely torn apart
00:11Canada has chosen to stand firm this time.
00:14Threatening to take action against the United States
00:15retaliatory tariffs on one-to-one basis
00:17The US government, however, was unwilling to accept this.
00:19If they continue to make harsh remarks to remind Canada...
00:21Don't fantasize about being able to win this battle.
00:23In the devastating trade war
00:25Get out unscathed
00:27This sentence sounds like a threat.
00:29But upon closer examination, it seems more like a psychological warfare tactic.
00:32The reason why the United States was so eager to issue a warning
00:34Because I've done the math.
00:35Knowing that a head-on confrontation would inevitably lead to mutual destruction
00:38Therefore, it is hoped that Canada will assess the situation before making a clear decision.
00:41First, use your momentum to force the other party back to the negotiating table.
00:45But what about this warning?
00:47This precisely exposes the core of the problem.
00:48The trade war has never been a one-sided crushing victory by the United States.
00:51It's not a contest of who can't hold on any longer.
00:54The Ultimate Game of Who Bleeds Faster
00:57China comes first
00:58So Canada is now copying China's homework.
01:02Dare to confront the United States head-on
01:03The two long-time allies of the United States and Canada
01:06Free trade has been enjoyed for decades
01:08The two countries share the world's longest undefended border.
01:12Economically, it has already passed the North American Free Trade Agreement.
01:15Deep Bundling
01:16In terms of total trade volume
01:18Canada's dependence on the US market far exceeds the US's dependence on the Canadian market.
01:22field dependence
01:23Although Canada defended its dignity through resistance
01:26However, this cannot conceal the fact that 70% of their exports are tied to the US market.
01:32Existential anxiety
01:34While the United States has also demonstrated its absolute advantage as a major power.
01:36However, they must also pay the price for inflation affecting domestic consumers and middle-class workers.
01:41What truly complicates this trade war is...
01:44It's not just a one-way relationship of Canada selling out the US.
01:48Instead, it's a path where you are in me.
01:50My production chain is intertwined with yours.
01:53The US economy is much larger than Canada's.
01:56That makes it seem like it can withstand even more damage.
01:59However, the country as a whole can withstand it.
02:01This does not mean that specific industries and their voters can withstand the pressure.
02:06The pain of tariffs is never evenly distributed.
02:09Instead, it could precisely target oil refineries in the American Midwest.
02:14Michigan auto workers
02:16and exporters in agricultural states
02:19And these regions happen to be key to controlling the course of American politics.
02:23Key weather vane
02:24In contrast, although Canada is smaller in size
02:26Narrow turning space
02:28However, it is precisely because of the concentration of decision-making
02:30On the contrary, it can exert force precisely.
02:32Once Canada directly targets its retaliatory tariffs on politically sensitive issues...
02:37On some specific products
02:39This economic pain could very well translate into Trump's most pressing issue.
02:43Taboo political consequences
02:47The US-Canada trade agreement collapsed at the last minute.
02:51Canada announces retaliatory tariffs
02:54In response, US President Trump launched a fierce counterattack on social media.
02:58Accusing Canada of wanting to enjoy the benefits of US states
03:01But unwilling to assume any obligations
03:04He further angrily denounced Canada for relying on huge tariffs for many years.
03:07Taking advantage of American farmers
03:09And made some harsh remarks
03:10Those days are finally over.
03:12U.S. Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy, in an interview
03:15They also launched a devastating public opinion offensive.
03:18Ironically, Canada wants to win this trade war.
03:21It's utterly stupid and a wildly imaginative idea.
03:24Canada will gain benefits from the United States.
03:28Canada would gain more benefits from the United States.
03:30It is a country without a military
03:32It is a country's only health system
03:34It was a failure.
03:36They are about the age of 18 and have an Asian population.
03:38Therefore, it is believed that they will engage in war with Trump.
03:47War of wars ...
04:29However, behind the politicians' tough stance lies the suffocation of people's livelihoods.
04:32The chain reaction of high tariffs
04:34Ultimately, it is often the most vulnerable micro-enterprises and grassroots workers that suffer.
04:47If we compare each economy to two giant ships sailing into a storm...
04:51The United States has aircraft carriers with a displacement of hundreds of thousands of tons.
04:54It can withstand even the impact of giant waves.
04:57Canada, on the other hand, is like a frigate strapped to the stern of an aircraft carrier.
05:01Some commentators believe
05:02In terms of the balance of power between the two countries
05:04There are inherently inherent asymmetric blind spots.
05:07Such a gap in strength
05:08This could further damage the Canadian economy.
05:34With the United States having a clear advantage
05:36Is Canada just going to sit idly by and wait for its currency to change?
05:39Not necessarily.
05:40With the US midterm elections approaching...
05:42Targeted retaliation against politically vulnerable and agricultural states in the United States
05:46It might become Canada's last trump card in its counterattack.
05:50However, regardless of who plays their cards more aggressively...
05:53There are no winners in a tariff trade war.
05:56This is a good result.
06:15In a trade relationship where we are intertwined with each other
06:18Trade wars are never a panacea for resolving differences.
06:21Instead, it's a poison that harms both sides.
06:24If the United States continues to escalate tariffs
06:26The first to feel the pain are not necessarily the Canadian exporters.
06:29Rather, it refers to the upstream and downstream of the US industrial chain.
06:32It could even be a disguised form of punishment for every American family.
06:36The United States and Canada are more than just neighbors.
06:38It is also a kind of interconnected economic entity.
06:42And that is precisely why
06:43When Trump repeatedly half-joked
06:45A half-serious statement
06:47When should we suggest that Canada simply become the 51st state of the United States?
06:51This statement is particularly ironic.
06:54Because he touched
06:56This is already the most sensitive nerve for Canadians regarding their sovereign identity.
07:02Just like when couples divorce, it's the children who suffer.
07:05The US-Canada trade war is hurting the people on both sides.
07:09The moment the US tariff weapon was wielded.
07:12That for Canada
07:13This is more than just a trade negotiation.
07:14It's also a defense of a political narrative about whether we are still an independent country.
07:20war
07:20Once this national sentiment is ignited...
07:23This will actually make Canadians more willing to support the government in taking a hard line.
07:28Even if it comes at a financial cost
07:30That's when the US is assessing the situation.
07:34Variables that are easily underestimated
07:36Window before Canada's retaliatory tariffs take effect
07:39The countdown is on, second by second.
07:41Both sides will continue to slide into the abyss of destruction.
07:45They will still find a way out on the brink of the final Cold War.
07:48That depends on the next move by the two leaders.
07:52Please feel free to like, subscribe, share, and tip to support the Mingjing & DianDian column.
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