00:05Hello and welcome, you are watching good returns of the show Commodity Catch and I am with you with Ardima
00:10Javedi.
00:11What is going on in gold silver? We are watching this.
00:15Volatility is so high, geopolitical tensions, what kind of triggers the gold silver market.
00:22But gold silver, there are also some metals, some base metals which have increased.
00:27So in this show, we will not only talk about gold silver, we will talk about every commodity,
00:35which is the price of your impact on your jave.
00:41And we will start with crude, because crude is the whole geopolitical economy,
00:47which is the backbone of crude industry.
00:51And geopolitics are also affected by this and geopolitical markets.
00:57So now, if you have to talk about crude, gold silver, and other base metals,
01:03then who can be better from Ajay Kediyaji?
01:06Today, Ajay Kediyaji is joined by Ajay Kediyaji.
01:08Welcome to good returns.
01:10Thank you for calling me.
01:12First of all, tell me about crude.
01:1691 dollars per barrel.
01:18I mean, yesterday, we saw the 87 level.
01:22And today, when we saw crude crude market, it has also passed 90.
01:25When is this uncertainty?
01:28Why can't the market discount it?
01:31Why can't the market discount it?
01:31Why can't it normally take it?
01:33And what is the situation better?
02:04Why can't it be better?
02:05. . . . . . .
02:36I don't know if you think about 10.2 million barrels of supply concern, which is the biggest
02:42thing.
02:42In the past, we have seen the fight, the crew of Lamborghini, Israel, Iran, all of these
02:48fight.
02:49But it was so big.
02:51Now we can see that if this condition is more than a big deal, then you think that
02:55the oil is more than a big deal.
02:57The oil is more than a big deal.
02:59The oil is more than a volatility.
03:01How will the Indian market deal deal with this?
03:03go take already I'm going to buy me
03:05get out of here I like your government
03:07a question is keep launch
03:09key Tiki just keep this is our foreign
03:11reserves what person has
03:13707 billion to punch you get to
03:15play do but six seventy six eighty
03:17get it right away
03:19we can't change it in the way
03:21we're we're we're we're we're
03:22we're we're we're we're we're
03:23we're we're we're
03:24we're we're we're
03:24we're we're
03:33foreign
03:35foreign
03:37foreign
03:47foreign
03:52foreign
04:02foreign
04:07foreign
04:14If you look at the dollar index, you can see that the dollar index is under 100.
04:18Sir, let's go to the commodity market, especially bullion.
04:24We have seen recent reports and analysts and experts' views.
04:31$4600 to August 10.
04:35It is a real target.
04:38Now, August is going to be complete.
04:41For December, all of our views have been changed.
04:46In the past five months, the dollar index was not increased.
04:53The dollar index is not increased.
04:55The dollar index is not increased.
04:56The dollar index is not increased.
05:22I believe that this dollar index is not increased.
05:32corporate rate are high.
05:38foreign
05:40foreign
05:43I think the most important thing is that China, India,
05:45there is a physical demand here.
05:48Also, the ETF buying is locked here.
05:52I think it's time to talk about August or September,
05:56but in December, I think that Sonia and Shandhi both are 3 times.
06:00In Sonia and Shandhi, I think it's hard to see optimism
06:03that I always see the optimism.
06:06But sir, now we are seeing the volatility here.
06:11We have seen the 17th August.
06:14It's been shown in Sonia and Shandhi both.
06:17But today, when we have seen the 18th August,
06:19we have seen it from our last close.
06:23What is the volatility?
06:26Consolidation,
06:27the long rally,
06:58what is the volatility?
06:59So,
07:00September,
07:02November,
07:04December,
07:05European Central Bank
07:07September,
07:09and if you have another central bank,
07:11then they will also do it.
07:13But in this case,
07:16the reality of the economy,
07:24the government is the biggest toll on the country,
07:27which has driven its economy across the country.
07:29We have to keep the economy.
07:38The economy has become the first place.
07:47foreign
07:56foreign
07:57I think it's already continued in the market, but today the Fed Key is more clear than you get.
08:03My next question is, what are you expecting?
08:09But when the expectation has been given,
08:11let me tell you that if there is a rate cut,
08:15then where will the support and resistance?
08:18If there is a hawkish commentary coming,
08:21or the rate cut is not done, but the rate hike is not done,
08:25in the three scenarios,
08:26what are the strategies for the traders?
08:28Where will the support and resistance?
08:31First of all, what is the expectation?
08:34I think the biggest expectation is that the rate will be unchanged.
08:38The rate will not be unchanged.
08:40The rate will not be unchanged.
08:42The rate will not be unchanged.
08:42In the minutes, the rate will not be unchanged.
08:45In the last month, it will be unchanged.
08:48In September, there is also a possibility.
08:49Right.
08:55The rate is also a possibility.
09:19करीब न एक पर एक प्ट्पन अजार के करीब ट्रेट कर रहा है तो मुझे लगता है एक अठावन अजार
09:26से लेकर एक लाइब हवन अजार का ब्रादर रिंज यह रिंप बाउन घूजार का दिखेगा अगर इसने मीटिंग में यह
09:33बोल देते हैं कि यह तो इंटर रहा है कि �
10:02Okay, sir,
10:34Okay, sir,
10:35I have already heard that supply concerns have been made.
10:39In Chile, we have seen that the production cut is cut.
10:42In Chile, China has its output.
10:44And for this reason, this is the 7th century.
10:48This is the biggest factor.
10:51If we look at EV, solar panels, their demand is consistently improved.
10:57So, I see that this is a commodity.
11:01Secondly, demand is continued.
11:03Third, financial product.
11:06People also have to sit.
11:08So, this is the same.
11:11This is the same.
11:12The ratio is recently to show up to the level.
11:15I think that the ratio is 60 to 70.
11:17I think that the ratio is 60 to 60.
11:20So, when it comes to the market,
11:24it will be more outperforming.
11:26So, this is the same.
11:57in a better returns, it can be better, it can be better, it can be better, it can be better.
11:59in 42 to 72 points and now a higher rate .
12:02Yes, when this ratio comes at the point of view,
12:06then the relation between the sun has been outperforming.
12:08We know that the sun has been down for day by day, month by month, year by year,
12:15and it has also been down to the deficit.
12:17So, my plan is full of sun.
12:19Okay, on the sun, we are showing more optimism on our own right.
12:23Sir, we talk about base metals.
12:24We also talked about aluminum and zinc as metals, where the interest is increasing.
12:33The interest of copper is also increasing and we saw copper is coming from limelight.
12:40But now we are reading experts or analysts' reports,
12:45so aluminum and zinc are very familiar.
12:47And if I talk about aluminum, it is at the highest level of 3,300 dollars.
12:55And on MCX, there is also an increase in futures.
13:00If we talk about zinc, it is at the highest level of 4 years.
13:043,800 dollars of 3,800 dollars.
13:07And on MCX, traders have put long bets on April to August.
13:11If we don't know about the brokerages, they are also giving buy calls.
13:14They are giving copper, aluminum and zinc.
13:17Are these also at the level of zinc?
13:19Do you see the opportunity here in base metals?
13:24I think that in base metals, the whole base metals will continue.
13:29Especially the name of your name is copper, zinc and aluminum.
13:32First of all, aluminum.
13:33Where we see that in Middle East,
13:35there is 9% global supply is disturbed.
13:37So I think that the other information will be better.
13:49Yeah.
13:51Yeah.
13:51Yeah.
13:52Yeah.
13:54Yeah.
13:56Yeah.
13:57Yeah.
13:58Yeah.
13:58Yeah.
13:58Yeah.
14:01Yeah.
14:03Yeah.
14:05Yeah.
14:07Yeah.
14:07Currently, I mean, 14,000 level to hold. Domestic market
14:11me, 1,380,000. Current level
14:14se bhi agar koi leke chalye or 1,400,000 level breach ho
14:16jaya, to 1,450,000 level to buy a minimum copper
14:19me. Hmm. Jink me bhi jannwari
14:23me, ham loog surplus me thay, woh dhirhe-dhirhe surplus
14:25kam ho ra hai. Saat me China or baki countries bhi
14:29supply disturb ki wajay se chinta hai. To mujhe
14:32lagtata hai ghi jink ke adar bhi 400,000 level to already
14:34test kar gahe hai. Hmm. But uper me, to 8,412
14:38tkka bhi level in dhikha sa. To kul mila ke copper, zinc
14:41or aluminium. Tieno me mujhe raghdata current level
14:44se base manor me, 10-12% ka to bai minimum tiji
14:48dhekne ingin cha. To sir, aluminium zinc ya copper
14:51me se agar khariidna ho agliye 3-6 maine ke liye
14:54ya aek saal ke liye. Kya khariid hai? Dekhi aluminium
14:5727-27 me over supplied me phirsa a jaya. Hmm.
15:00Kya indonesia ya inki jho supply bhađh rahi hai, whoo a
15:03jayega. Toh agar reference wise, sabse pahele jho
15:07geopolitical tension ye sab chala hai, to aluminium
15:09leechay. 350 pe liege, 330 ka stopper laga, ye
15:13380, 390 tkka level mil jayega. Again, 3-4, 3-4 minu.
15:18Durser number paging ke jaha pe emne consistently dhekha,
15:22Kya jho supply ye woo dhe dhe dhe kum ho rhiya hai. Sath
15:25me evan me improvement hai. To yaha pe bhi emne already badey
15:30rally to dech liye hai. Hmm. But abhi bhi 400 pe
15:32380 ke stop loss se. To yaha pe aagliya 36 minu maine
15:43kya dhe me pehle bhi aaya ta ki copper is a new gold
15:46and arna again be na copper ke to imagining
15:49karna bhi muskil hai. Supply me bhi concern h
15:51hai phe 1300 pe liege je, 1200 ka stop loss
15:56lagayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayayaya
15:57star dhojature ka level bhi copper mein dhekne mil
15:59chele. Okay. Sir, dho ayse sawal joh investors ka
16:03sabse bada concern hai. Mere aakhri dho sawal ya
16:17foreign
16:18foreign
16:19foreign
16:19But equity in the capital world or the financial world, this is wrong.
16:24Yes.
16:24I am going to tell you that you put the money in equity or commodity.
16:29Your allocation is less than 80% in commodity and in 80% in commodity.
16:35It will be that you will see that the market will crash or that the market will crash.
16:42Why?
16:43Because there is a struggle.
16:44There is inflation.
16:45But you will think that geopolitical tension is a struggle.
16:47So it will grow.
16:49So it will be that you will see that the market will be the return.
16:58You will see that the market will be the return.
17:02So here is the allocation of gold in any point of time.
17:07I think that the price will be the same.
17:10If the price will be the same, it will be the same.
17:24foreign
17:28foreign
17:31So, that is creating a little confusion?
17:35No confusion is still here.
17:36We call it in going through the analysis of technical analysis, history repeats itself.
17:42So, how do you see 2008 and 2022, I have a good data to show you.
17:46I take it and take it and take it and take it and take it and take it and take
17:50it and take it and take it.
17:51Then we have seen equity and commodity.
18:00.
18:00.
18:00.
18:00.
18:03foreign
18:06foreign
18:36touch
18:38in October 2022, you can see the price of $1.20.
18:46That's the price of $1.26.
18:50Now, I think we've seen the price of $1.20.
18:57तो जाट चपीस में कच्चा तेल तच करता है एक सो बीस डॉलर था पार्च हो गया अपरेल मैई जून
19:04जुलाई अगर सप्टेमबर ऑक्टोबर तो मैं वेट कर रहा हूं सप्टेमबर ऑक्टोबर का और यहां से फिर से मुझे लगता
19:10है कि सौनय कम से कव डबल होने की ताकत
19:33foreign
19:37foreign
19:48foreign
19:49foreign
20:14foreign
21:04Thank you so much for joining us today.
21:08Thank you so much for joining us today.
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