- 1 day ago
八点最热报 | 美国和伊朗6月中旬达成的60天临时停火协议，在美国当地时间17号正式期满。然而，在这60天里，双方并未达成最终协议。虽然和美国的谈判没有实质进展，但伊朗却和一个国家达成了协议，那就是一直担任斡旋中间人的阿曼。就在伊朗宣布与阿曼达成通航协议的几个小时后，特朗普也对阿曼发出了威胁，宣称如果阿曼妨碍美国的行动，美国就会把他们“炸个稀巴烂”。（主播：庄文杰）
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00:04The 60-day temporary ceasefire agreement reached between the United States and Iran in mid-June
00:08The term officially expired on the 17th, local time in the United States.
00:11However, the two sides failed to reach a final agreement during these 60 days.
00:15In response, US President Trump declared
00:17He will not seek an extension of the interim agreement.
00:20Because the United States is not in a hurry
00:21There is no need to set any timetable for resolving the Iranian issue.
00:25He also reiterated his earlier statements and made another claim.
00:28To turn the Strait of Hormuz into U.S. territorial waters
00:32He stated that Iran should now raise the white flag and surrender.
00:36As for Iran...
00:37Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bagaei said
00:40Because the United States seriously violated the Memorandum of Understanding
00:43Therefore, no dialogue took place between the two sides.
00:46The so-called 60-day period has completely lost its practical meaning.
00:50Although negotiations with the United States have not made substantial progress
00:53However, Iran reached an agreement with another country.
00:56That is Oman, who has been the mediator.
01:00Iranian sources revealed
01:01They have already reached an agreement with Oman on the issue of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz.
01:04An understanding was reached
01:05The two sides will issue a joint statement afterward.
01:08Although the relevant route map was neither explained nor released.
01:11However, according to earlier reports...
01:14Merchant ships may use the shipping lanes closer to Iran in the future.
01:17Entering the Strait of Hormuz
01:19And sail from the channel closer to Oman.
01:22During the temporary arrangement period, vessels are not required to pay any passage fees or transit fees.
01:27fee
01:28Just a few days after Iran announced its flight agreement with Oman...
01:32After time
01:32Trump also issued a threat to Oman.
01:34He declared
01:35If Oman obstructs US actions
01:37The US would bomb them to pieces.
01:42The 60-day window for the US-Iran ceasefire agreement has expired.
01:45The United States is not only unable to reach an agreement with Iran.
01:47He also had a conflict with Oman, the middleman in charge of the backflip.
01:51US President Trump emphasized during an interview at the White House yesterday
01:54Oman and Iran reached an understanding on the passage of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz.
01:58untie
01:58This is undermining the US-Iran agreement.
02:00And warned that if Oman continues to block the road...
02:02The United States will retaliate fiercely.
02:15Not only that
02:19Trump also refused to acknowledge the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier.
02:22Harsh environment
02:23Food shortage
02:24Accusations of soldiers attempting to jump into the sea
02:26Trump retorted
02:27The Lincoln has always been well maintained.
02:30It was emphasized that everything was just fake news spread by CNN.
02:54With US-Iran negotiations stalled again
02:56Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is currently almost completely paralyzed.
03:00According to shipping data from maritime analysis firm Kapler
03:03Last Sunday
03:05Only three ships successfully passed through the Hormuz.
03:08Traffic conditions deteriorated sharply
03:11Facing the protracted and unsuccessful US-Iran negotiations
03:14Trump not only failed to get Iran to make concessions
03:16Even public opinion within the United States has reacted strongly.
03:20According to a recent poll released by Reuters and Ipsos Group,
03:24Trump's approval rating has now fallen to 33%.
03:28This marks a new low since his return to the White House.
03:30And in the past few years, Trump seems to always be able to find a way at crucial moments.
03:35To the exit
03:35Turning danger into safety in a seemingly unfavorable situation.
03:39But now this is Trump's good luck.
03:41It seems we are beginning to face a real test.
03:44Because the latest polls show
03:46In addition to 64% of respondents disapproving of Trump's performance in office...
03:50Furthermore, 80% of people believe that each war will continue for a considerable period of time.
03:55a period of time
03:56This also means that Trump is facing more than just a decline in his personal approval rating.
04:00Furthermore, American voters' patience with this war has gradually run out.
04:06In addition, the economy, an issue on which the Republicans had previously held an advantage.
04:10The same changes have occurred now.
04:12The poll showed that 38% of respondents believed
04:15The Democratic Party is better equipped to handle economic issues.
04:17Three percentage points more than those who believe Republicans are more capable.
04:22This marks the first time in nearly a decade that voters have shown greater favor to the people on economic issues.
04:27Democratic Party
04:28Another key factor that put Trump in a passive position was the Iraq War.
04:33In June, China, the US, and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding on quantitative analysis.
04:36A 60-day negotiation window was set.
04:38The Trump administration had hoped to pass a quantitative memorandum.
04:41Resumption of passage through the Strait of Hormuz
04:43And to create conditions for the next round of nuclear negotiations.
04:47That ultimately enabled the United States to withdraw gracefully from the war with Iran.
04:52Picture
04:53However, 60 days have passed.
04:55The two sides not only failed to reach a final agreement
04:57Military conflict broke out again during this period.
05:00This could have been Trump's way of ending the war.
05:04But now it has become a new political problem.
05:07If the war continues
05:09Domestic political pressure in the United States is bound to increase.
05:12But what if we end the war prematurely?
05:14He then had to face another problem.
05:15That is, how exactly should it end?
05:19Only then can the American public believe
05:20This is a victory achieved by Trump.
05:23Instead of a single concession?
05:26The analysis cited by Xinhua News Agency believes that
05:27There are three possible paths for the future development of the US-Iran situation.
05:31The first low-intensity standoff continues.
05:34In other words, Iran will not change its core strategy of using the Strait of Hormuz as leverage in the short term.
05:39strategy
05:39And the United States will not proactively resume military strikes.
05:42Instead, they used economic pressure and other means to force Iran to submit.
05:46The two sides will remain in a low-intensity military standoff.
05:50A state where diplomacy is unable to reach an agreement or achieve a breakthrough.
05:55The second is to reach a limited temporary arrangement.
05:58The US and Iran may continue to engage through mediators.
06:02Prioritizing urgent issues such as the opening of the Taiwan Strait.
06:05A temporary arrangement was reached
06:07Then gradually address more complex issues.
06:10The third is that the situation has escalated again.
06:13Large-scale military conflict broke out again between the two sides.
06:17But no matter which path...
06:19For Trump
06:20Neither of these is a script where victory can be declared.
06:24Of course, a single poll decline
06:26This is not enough to prove that Trump's political era is over.
06:28A war has reached a stalemate.
06:31This does not mean that Trump has lost all room for reversal.
06:35But reality is what we face.
06:37Trump, who in the past always seemed to be able to turn things around at the last minute...
06:41The political script for finding a way out is showing cracks.
06:45And no matter how much pressure Trump puts on them, it's fine.
06:47They can all have good luck in turning bad luck into good fortune.
06:51Is it still possible for the show to continue?
06:54They can all have good luck in turning bad luck into good fortune.
07:01They can all have good luck in turning bad luck into good fortune.
07:03Therefore, the only thing that can stop us here is good luck.
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