- 13 minutes ago
八点最热报 | 美国总统特朗普昨天先在自家社媒发文宣布，美伊协议已经“基本谈妥”，但过后又贴文强调，美国的谈判代表不会和伊朗仓促达成协议，因为“美国还有时间”。几乎同一个时间，美国国务卿卢比奥也在造访印度新德里时暗示说，世界或将在几个小时内迎来美伊谈判的“好消息”。特朗普和卢比奥的消息，让全球能源市场一度屏住了呼吸。然而，德黑兰的回应声音，却像是一盆冷水，给美国浇了透心凉……（主播：萧慧敏）
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00:04US President Trump announced this in a statement released by his own media outlet yesterday.
00:09The US-Iran agreement has been basically reached.
00:12But he later posted an emphasis
00:14US negotiators will not rush into an agreement with Iran.
00:19Because the United States still has time
00:21That was almost the same time
00:23US Secretary of State Rubio also hinted during his visit to New Delhi, India.
00:27explain
00:28The world may receive good news about the US-Iran negotiations within hours.
00:34News about Trump and Rubio briefly impacted the global energy market.
00:37He held his breath
00:39However, Tehran's response was like a bucket of cold water for the United States.
00:43Watered thoroughly
00:45Although there were previous reports that he had revealed...
00:48Negotiations achieved a positive initial breakthrough.
00:50However, Iranian state media later refuted Trump's statement, saying it was not...
00:55whole
00:56Moreover, it does not conform to reality.
00:58It was emphasized that the preliminary agreement in the US-Iran negotiations did not include any specific issues.
01:03On the other side is Washington's optimistic outlook.
01:06On one hand, Tehran issued a reserved yet firm denial.
01:09One agreement now has two scripts
01:13The current strange situation is
01:15The US and Iran are moving towards a handshake and peace.
01:18On one hand, the intense competition continues.
01:21Still full of variables
01:24Regardless of how the two sides publicly confront each other
01:27According to a report by a US news website citing a US official
01:31The US and Iran will sign a memorandum of understanding.
01:34Extend the ceasefire for another 60 days
01:36During this period
01:38The Strait of Hormuz will be reopened to the public free of charge.
01:41Iran has also agreed to clear the mines laid in the Strait of Hormuz.
01:45Ensure freedom of passage for ships
01:47In exchange
01:48The United States will lift the blockade on Iranian ports.
01:52And some sanctions exemption measures were introduced.
01:55Allowing Iran to freely sell oil
01:58Sources familiar with the matter revealed
01:59The core essence of this agreement is
02:01The US and Iran can mutually lift sanctions.
02:04Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
02:06And entered a 60-day nuclear issue period
02:09Negotiations on other issues
02:11The most crucial issue in the agreement is nuclear weapons.
02:14However, there are fundamental differences in the statements made by the US and Iran.
02:19A senior U.S. official told CNN
02:22This potential US-Iran agreement would ensure Iran's [security/security].
02:25Never will be able to possess nuclear weapons
02:28They also demanded that Tehran hand over the concentrated oil.
02:30However, Iran's position is completely different.
02:34Reuters, citing a senior Iranian source, said
02:38Tehran has not agreed to hand over its high-concentration oil reserves.
02:42Nuclear issues are not within the scope of the preliminary agreement.
02:46Iran currently hopes to advance nuclear negotiations.
02:49Postponed until after the formal ceasefire agreement is signed by both sides.
02:53Tonight, there have been constant signals that an agreement is nearing completion.
02:56However, the differences between the US and Iran on key issues
02:59It is still clearly present.
03:01Is the so-called agreement just the final step?
03:04It's still just a concept on paper.
03:06Everything remains to be seen.
03:14Since the end of February this year
03:15The United States and Israel jointly launched a barrage of bombing attacks on Iran.
03:19Iran retaliates with non-confrontational measures
03:21After announcing the closure of the Orommarsh Strait
03:23These three months
03:24The cruise ships are moored here
03:26The global energy market subsequently experienced severe turmoil.
03:29The whole world suffers
03:30The initial act of courage pushed US inflation to its highest level in many years.
03:34News started circulating yesterday.
03:36The United States, Iran, and Pakistan, which is mediating the dispute, have all individually confirmed this.
03:40The two sides are close to reaching an agreement.
03:43Suddenly, expectations were renewed from all sides.
03:45This stalemate lasted for three months.
03:46Will this lead to a breakdown in the situation?
03:49On the contrary, just when the outside world thought the agreement was about to be announced
03:52A post by US President Trump last night
03:55However, this poured cold water on what seemed like an optimistic situation.
03:58Trump said
03:59He has ordered the American negotiators to take their time.
04:03Because time was on America's side.
04:05Don't rush to reach an agreement.
04:07He also emphasized
04:08US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz
04:10This will continue until the agreement is reached, verified, and signed.
04:14None of these three conditions can be omitted.
04:30US Secretary of State Rubio conducts official business in New Delhi, India.
04:34They also urgently set up a notice saying
04:36US-Iran negotiations will be reached soon
04:38They even made a statement
04:39Good news may come in a few hours.
04:42Although the wording is precise
04:44But it released optimistic signals
04:46The negotiation framework has made progress.
04:47But Rubio emphasized a key premise.
04:50That is, Iran must give up its nuclear weapons.
05:21Compared to
05:22Optimism in America
05:23Iranian officials, however, have given a completely different account.
05:26Tasnim News Agency accused
05:28The United States has consistently created obstacles in the negotiations.
05:32Key obstacles include
05:33Tehran insists on the unfreezing of the seized assets.
05:37However, the United States remains firm in its stance.
05:39The report used very direct language.
05:40It still exists.
05:42The possibility of failing to reach an agreement
05:44The agreement could fall apart at any time.
06:08at the same time
06:11Rezaei, military advisor to Iran's Supreme Leader
06:14They also continued to make harsh statements.
06:15Remind the United States to revert to the case
06:17Otherwise Iran will consider launching
06:19Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
06:21Iran withdraws from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
06:23Meaning the future
06:24Iran will no longer be subject to any international nuclear inspections.
06:27It is possible to openly move towards nuclear weaponization.
06:30As soon as this sentence was spoken
06:31The energy market is tense again.
06:34This is also why the United States is eager to include it in the agreement.
06:36The root cause of the death nuclear issue
06:46For the White House
06:48Unable to end the war
06:49This war is no longer just about Middle Eastern geopolitics.
06:53Rather, it is a domestic economic defense battle against inflation.
06:56And White House chief economic advisor Hassett
06:59What was said
06:59This is Washington's most optimistic expectation.
07:01That is, the US and Iran successfully reached an agreement.
07:04Energy prices will plummet.
07:06But the reality is...
07:07Even if an agreement is reached
07:09Economic dividends are unlikely to materialize again.
07:11The CEO of ADNOC once predicted
07:14To fully restore navigation through the Strait of Hormuz
07:17The earliest we can expect to see this is in the first or second quarter of next year.
07:20Oil flow needs to be restored to 80% of pre-conflict levels.
07:23It will take at least four months.
07:34Trump says he's not in a hurry
07:40Rubio said, "Let's wait and see."
07:43Reza said, "Let's turn back."
07:45There's no benefit in delaying any longer.
07:46Tehran says nuclear issue is not on the negotiating table
07:49An agreement presents two completely different narratives
07:53The door to the Strait of Hormuz may be opening.
07:55But after opening this door
07:57There's an even heavier door waiting.
07:59That is nuclear weapons
08:01And who will open it, how it will be opened, and when it will be opened.
08:03No one has given one
08:05An answer that convinces everyone
08:12The current deadlock in US-Iran negotiations
08:14The key lies in the nuclear issue that has been the subject of ongoing negotiations.
08:17However, judging from Washington's statements...
08:19The United States seems to have implicitly...
08:22Accepted Iran's core demands
08:24That is to resolve the war first.
08:27There's also the Hormuz problem.
08:28Let's leave the nuclear issue for later.
08:31That would mark a major shift in Washington's stance.
08:35The conditions initially offered by the United States
08:37It is to prohibit Iran from developing nuclear weapons.
08:39Then the US through Pakistan
08:41The 15-point proposal submitted to Tehran
08:44Further demands include the dismantling of Natanz.
08:47nuclear facilities in Fordo, Isfahan
08:51Trump even threatened
08:52It is essential to obtain a concentrated tour of Iran
08:55Anyway, the current reports say that an agreement has been reached.
08:57It is a memorandum of understanding
08:59Nuclear issues have been reformed
09:01So is this a strategic compromise by the United States?
09:04Or should we adopt a phased approach of retreating to advance?
09:07Is Iran buying time while it's taking advantage of the situation?
09:10To rebuild military strength?
09:12Check the 60-day ceasefire windows in the document.
09:16That was the gestation period of peace.
09:18This could also be a warm-up for the next crisis.
09:22Iran's logic has never changed.
09:24That means stopping the bleeding first, then discussing anything else.
09:27Because Tehran knows
09:28Once the ceasefire is stable and the strait is cleared...
09:31Washington's military deterrence will fade over time.
09:34The balance of bargaining chips will also start to turn sour.
09:38Washington's logic is equally clear.
09:41That means opening the strait first.
09:43Releasing energy pressure
09:44Mitigating the political crisis of inflation
09:46Then within 60 days
09:48Sanctions and verification mechanisms
09:51To lock down Iran's nuclear options
09:54Both sets of logic are betting that the other's patience will run out first.
09:59An agreement can be reached in principle.
10:01But history tells us...
10:02Between Middle East principles and their implementation
10:06Often separated by a battlefield
10:08The Gate of Hormuz
10:09Perhaps it will open
10:11But where did things come from?
10:13What is the final solution?
10:15Nobody knows the answer.
10:17However, everyone must remember that
10:19This negotiation is definitely not limited to just the US and Iran.
10:24International media have consistently covered various aspects.
10:26Acting as an intermediary to convey messages
10:28They have been highlighting this in the past few days.
10:30Pakistani negotiators with Qatar
10:33Thursday and Friday
10:35Separate talks were held with the Iranian side.
10:37That also coincided with US Special Envoy Witkov
10:40Maintain close communication
10:42China's attitude is equally important.
10:45Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi before the meeting with Sitt
10:48He rushed to Beijing to meet with Wang Yi.
10:50At the moment when it was reported that an agreement was about to be reached
10:53AFP quoted Pakistan's state television as saying
10:57The chief mediator in the conflict between the United States and Iran
11:00Pakistan Army Chief of Staff Asim
11:03The enemy has already been driven out of Beijing
11:04With Prime Minister Sheikh Baz, who arrived earlier
11:07Visiting China together
11:08Meeting with Chinese leaders
11:11That clearly shows the patterns of great power rivalry.
11:14Already deeply embedded in this
11:16What was initially thought to be a bilateral negotiation was actually part of the negotiations.
11:19I thought it was during bilateral negotiations
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