00:00Taking a look at UFC Serbia this week. We'll get Tom's best bets. I'll throw a fight out there, guys,
00:06and it is a big number, and I'm not even going to say she's going to finish the fight, really.
00:12The total's two and a half. It's minus 130, but I do think she's going to win, and Milosevic, Nina
00:18Milosevic, minus 425 against Haley Cowan. Bad spot for Haley Cowan getting sent here.
00:24Let's be real. A lot of fighters are being sent here to lose, Tom, and she's one of them.
00:32Yeah, and it's typically a bad spot for Haley Cowan, if we're really being honest. I don't think she's very
00:39good. She comes from a gymnastics background. She's relatively athletic, but her MMA career has just not been impressive.
00:48So, yeah, I don't foresee her getting a win in this spot. Yeah, it is tough betting these big numbers
00:57at women's MMA, but, I mean, you're never going to see me backing Haley Cowan in any fight, and this
01:04fight especially.
01:04No, I'm just saying, if you want to get a head start, right? You know, you get a head start
01:08on this. It's one fight out of the way.
01:10If you like one of the fights later in the day, or another sport, like you, I'll cross-sport this
01:16stuff, too, right?
01:18Yeah.
01:18Yeah, it might be maybe a Dodger money line. It's a little higher than I like, and I'll be like,
01:22all right, you know, I'll just take the Dodgers now, and I'll put Milosevic in this right now, and I've
01:27got that fight.
01:28Yeah, that's fine. I mean, I think she wins all day, so, yeah.
01:33Yeah, I just don't like Haley Cowan at all, so I think that's a fine play.
01:39Anything on the undercard? I brought that fight up, but anything else on the prelims that catches your eye, and
01:45we'll get to your best match, but anything on the prelims?
01:48I'm looking at the first fight. Maria Spachek, I mean, she's a pretty sizable underdog as well.
01:55She's fighting Luciano, who's, they're both kind of, you know, they're both kickboxers. They can both grapple.
02:02But Spachek is a, you know, she's like plus 250 right now on the money line.
02:07I think that fight goes all three rounds. I think it's pretty competitive. I think if Spachek gets going forward,
02:13she can, you know, Luciano is not great when she's on the back foot.
02:18So I think there's a good, you know, plus 230 type money line bet, and also the plus three and
02:26a half. I think that fight goes all three rounds.
02:28So Spachek, you know, she could lose a fight 29-28. You could start that, you know, with a little
02:34parlay piece.
02:35I think it's going to be a competitive fight, but I think she could just win outright.
02:40I just think it's a pretty competitive fight, and it goes back and forth. It goes all three rounds, and
02:45she's a local fighter.
02:46So, you know, Spachek, as a pretty sizable underdog, has a really good shot to make her debut here in
02:52the UFC and get a win.
02:54And I'm also looking at Rubezki. You know, Rubezki's a parlay piece for me.
02:58I'll be looking at his takedowns, fighting Kyle Preplek. Preplek is not very good against grapplers.
03:06He's just not very good. I mean, he hasn't won a fight in the UFC. He's 0-4 in the
03:09UFC.
03:11Rubezki's tough as nails. He's had a bit of a rough run. Like, if you look at his record recently,
03:15it hasn't been great.
03:16But I think Rubezki gets those takedowns going and potentially finds a finish on the mat or lands, you know,
03:23five or six takedowns over the course of five, beats him up.
03:26And, you know, he's a solid parlay piece himself. And, like, you know, I like those takedown ladders.
03:33So if I can start the takedowns with, you know, three, four, that's probably something I'll be looking to bet
03:39as well.
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