00:00Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil refining infrastructure are affecting
00:05increasingly everyday life in Russia.
00:08Fuel shortages, hours-long queues at gas stations, and the dizzying increase
00:14The price increases have already hit most Russian regions.
00:18However, analysts believe that these problems will hardly represent
00:23a political threat to Vladimir Putin's regime, according to Foreign Policy.
00:28According to Medusa, which analyzed more than 65,000 stock market transactions between January and June
00:35The volume of gasoline and diesel trade in Russia fell by 47%, while the price
00:42The average increased by 46%.
00:45In early July, reports began to emerge of fuel shortages, rationing, or restrictions
00:51Available for sale from virtually every region of the country.
00:54The situation has been especially critical in the agricultural sector, where the lack of
01:00Diesel threatens the harvest.
01:02Occupied Crimea has become a special case.
01:05Due to Ukrainian drone attacks on tanker trucks, the price of
01:10Gasoline there has risen to 197 rubles per liter, and in some cases, to 450 rubles.
01:17For the first time, the Russian president publicly acknowledged the existence of queues at the
01:22gas stations, although he stated that the situation is not critical.
01:26The Kremlin attributes the crisis not to its own war against Ukraine, but to a campaign of
01:32Ukrainian information that, according to their claims, seeks to sow panic among Russians.
01:38The only practical solution proposed by the Russian authorities has been to resume the
01:44gasoline production under the Euro 3 standard, which contains much more sulfur and can
01:49damage the engines of modern vehicles.
01:52Analysts point out that, despite the evident discontent, most Russians do not link
01:58The crisis is directly linked to the war, or it is unwilling to blame the Kremlin for it.
02:04The story of a Chitá resident who spent 39 hours queuing to
02:10get fuel.
02:11Despite this, he told reporters that Russia was being too soft on
02:16Ukraine and that it should start acting seriously, that is, escalate the war even further.
02:23Jade Maglin, an analyst at King's College London, points out that public discontent
02:28It exists, but it does not pose a threat to the government.
02:31The anger of ordinary Russians over the fuel crisis is intense, but not explosive.
02:38Instead of explaining the causes of the shortage, Russian authorities are looking for scapegoats among
02:44oil companies, independent gas station operators, and even citizens themselves,
02:50those they accuse of panic buying.
02:53At the same time, Russians are increasingly uniting, not to protest, but to
02:59help each other.
03:01They create chats and maps of operating gas stations in messaging applications, and use
03:06Code words like gold or platinum, instead of gasoline, to bypass censorship filters.
03:13The authors of the analysis point out that the Ukrainian strategy of attacking the refining industry
03:19It's working.
03:21It gradually undermines Russia's ability to supply its own army and sustain
03:26the war.
03:27At the same time, expectations that economic difficulties will automatically lead to
03:33in mass protests against the war, or force the Kremlin to change course, they have not been fulfilled
03:38for now.
03:39As analysts point out, the Russian power system remains resilient enough.
03:44as to transform social discontent into adaptation to new problems, instead
03:50of political resistance.
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