- 3个月前
八点最热报 | 默迪卡民调中心发布最新数据，首相安华虽以52%的整体满意度维持基本盘，但在马来选民中的满意度仅有45%，落后于凯里、慕尤丁及阿末山苏里，陷入“赢了非马来票、却难得马来心”的身份认同困境。那这场50比50的政治豪赌，安华还能撑多久？（主播：蔡心慧）
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00:00Before watching the video, remember to check out trending websites for more content!
00:04The Modica Poll Center officially released its latest poll today.
00:08On the surface, Anwar seems to be in a stable position.
00:11Overall satisfaction rate reached 52%.
00:14Non-Malay voters even reached 59%.
00:17Still ranked first
00:18However, Anwar is clearly lagging behind among Malay voters.
00:23Satisfaction rate is only 45%.
00:25Lost to Khairy, Muhyiddin and Amosamsuri, the vice president of the party
00:29in other words
00:30Anwar is not facing a poll now.
00:33Instead, they are two completely different maps of public opinion.
00:36The overall satisfaction rate among non-Malay groups is relatively high.
00:39But...
00:39Malay voters' satisfaction ratings, however, are significantly lower than those of other major political figures.
00:43This raises a question
00:45Winning Chinese votes
00:47Does this mean we're destined to lose our Malay heart?
00:49A 50-50 political gamble
00:52How long can Anwar hold out?
00:54That latest poll data
00:56It's not just a matter of high or low approval ratings.
00:59Rather, it refers to Malay voters and non-Malay voters.
01:01Two completely different sets of standards were used for the same prime minister.
01:06Non-Malay groups focus on governance performance and economic efficiency.
01:10But Malay voters value identity security more.
01:14They care more about who you are.
01:16Which side are you on?
01:17Do you represent us?
01:18As long as this issue has not been fully resolved...
01:21Even the most impressive economic results will be discounted.
01:25so what
01:25The harsher reality is
01:27Anwar is not without support.
01:29Instead, it supports being torn in two.
01:31Half depends on grades
01:32Half depends on identity
01:34Shaza, Associate Professor at the International Islamic University
01:36In the interview, he said
01:37Anwar's predicament is essentially the price of a middle ground.
01:41He did this to maintain the balance of the coalition government.
01:44Compromise must be made between all parties.
01:46But the problem is
01:47Every compromise will have a counterproductive effect.
01:50On one hand, people felt Anwar was not resolute enough.
01:52But on the other hand, some feel that Anwar has changed his stance.
01:55Especially in a unity government structure
01:58The DAP has long been smeared by its opponents.
02:00The doubts of Malay voters are difficult to completely dispel.
02:04Should Anwar then shift to the right to win over conservative Malay voters?
02:08Sofian, Director of the Shaza and Modica Polling Center
02:11The two made fairly similar judgments during the interviews.
02:14That means this path is blocked.
02:17Because in the hearts of many voters
02:19Anwar's political position has long been fixed.
02:22Even if you move to the right again
02:23They won't be considered one of our own.
02:26On the contrary, they may lose the support they could have held onto.
02:29so what
02:30Back to the original question
02:31Malaysian Prime Minister Wins Chinese Votes
02:33Will we be destined to lose Malaysia?
02:36Perhaps the real answer
02:38This is a false proposition in itself.
02:41Anwar has never faced the choice of which side to take.
02:44But it's a much crueler reality.
02:46He must navigate between two increasingly fractured maps of public opinion.
02:49Prove the same thing
02:51This government has indeed made your life a little bit better.
02:57Newly released Modica Center poll
02:59This is quite a greeting to the Anwar government.
03:02Although Prime Minister Anwar still maintains a lead in overall approval ratings.
03:06Approximately 52%
03:07Among non-Malay voters, the figure is as high as 59%.
03:10Continue to hold the number one position
03:12However, among Malay voters
03:14His approval rating, however, is significantly lower than that of many Malay politicians.
03:18Including Khairy, who is clearly lagging behind Uganda.
03:20Muhyiddin of Bersatu
03:21And Amosamsuri of the Islamic Party
03:23This poll did not directly determine the winner.
03:26But it clearly outlines a more complex reality.
03:29Anwar's support is not simply a matter of rising or falling.
03:33Instead, a clear structural split has emerged.
03:35On one hand, it is relatively stable
03:37However, support among non-Malay voters has already declined significantly.
03:40On the other hand, support among Malay voters continues to decline.
03:43The same prime minister in the eyes of different groups
03:46It presents two very different political images
03:49This inevitably raises the question...
03:50A sitting prime minister who controls the nation's resources
03:53Why is his approval rating declining instead of rising?
03:56But we can also see
03:57In fact, in relation to the number of respectable people and voters
03:59Especially voters' democracy
04:01All in the year following the election of the Democratic Party
04:03Why did he leave the Democratic Party?
04:06Because of an important event
04:08Political hostages
04:09It's the genes of political hostages.
04:11He continued to believe in what others thought.
04:14Especially in the electoral democracy
04:14Especially in the electoral democracy
04:16The problem at the point
04:17Among them, especially
04:19Among them, especially
04:19His Xinglan
04:44In an interview, Sofian, director of the Modica Center who was in charge of the poll, said...
04:48Point out
04:48The core issue is not merely the performance of policies, but rather identity politics.
04:53In Malaysia, votes are never simply cast for policies.
04:56More investment is in the sense of security of identity.
04:59When the opponent uses Malay rights and Muslim interests as the core narrative
05:04Even if a government dominated by multiple political parties promotes economic growth
05:07It's also easy to be questioned about who you represent.
05:10Malay voters can accept Anwar.
05:12However, acceptance is not the same as voting in favor.
05:15According to Professor Shaza of the International Islamic University
05:18Anwar is facing a single problem.
05:21Rather, it is a structural dilemma.
05:23He attempted to win the support of both Malay and non-Malay voters.
05:27However, the result was that neither side was completely satisfied.
05:30Some reform promises were diluted in an effort to win Malay votes.
05:33However, this dashed the hopes of progressive supporters on the other end.
05:37This is precisely the most realistic cost of taking the middle path in racial politics.
05:42Trying to balance everyone
05:43However, it ultimately proved difficult to completely convince either side.
05:47I think he was trying to get the whole nation to do it at the same time.
05:50So when you try to demand that the whole nation
05:52You can hardly pay anyone a real debt.
05:55He has been trying to get more support.
05:58Supporters of Malay voters in Malay
06:00We know this won't work.
06:02But because of that
06:29Under this structural dilemma
06:32Does that mean
06:32If Anwar wins the Chinese vote
06:35It is destined that the Malay heart will be lost.
06:37Nasasa made a key observation.
06:39She said that on the one hand, non-Malay supporters remain stable.
06:42On the other hand, what truly determines the future direction
06:45Not the current group of fixed voters
06:47Rather, it is the next generation of Malay voters.
06:50Therefore, Anwar's challenge does not lie in
06:52Can I win against everyone now?
06:54The real question is whether they have the capacity to survive until the structural change occurs.
06:57Maintain the existing core base
06:59At the same time suppress those
07:01The younger generation that is not yet completely bound by identity politics
07:05It's very difficult to hold it like this.
07:07Because of those circumstances
07:08Now it is very wild and noble.
07:10When memory improves
07:11você long participants
07:13Or oppose those
07:14Which 100 factions have you already?
07:15Which ones have you ordered?
07:16Where will you participate?
07:19Find those people
07:20Able to distinguish between Iberian dogs and non-Iberian dogs
07:23You asked me
07:24His answer was
07:25Focus on his basics
07:27Because we see
07:27Those materials
07:28Those non-Miao dogs support
07:29He is still very strong
07:30Therefore he needs to maintain
07:32Those driving forces
07:32Maintain support for non-Hybrid dogs
07:34Then I think
07:35Miao Dog's support for him
07:38Especially young people
07:39Because young people
07:41They don't have much
07:41National professional
07:42The two respondents believed
07:44Anwar's final breakthrough
07:45Not in racial politics
07:46Rather, it's economic performance.
07:48Because in many
07:49Malay voters
07:50Anwar's political labels
07:51It has already been set
07:52Even when leaning to the right
07:54Strengthening the ethnic group
07:55Or religious discourse
07:56Not only are the effects limited
07:57On the contrary, it may lose
07:58Existing supporters
07:59Identity Politics
08:01Still dominating Malay politics
08:02But the economy
08:04It is slowly turning into
08:05Another one
08:05A more realistic track
08:07Especially when the cost of living rises
08:09Increased salary pressure
08:10Job competition is becoming more intense
08:12The increasing number of young voters
08:14They will start to pay more attention
08:15Who can make life better?
08:18Instead
08:19Who best represents identity?
08:20As long as sales are concentrated
08:21Because we know
08:22In the Northern War
08:23Especially when we talk
08:24past
08:24Gross profit is
08:25With social couples and
08:25Social Couples
08:28Very important
08:29but
08:30Sales gather in social couples and
08:31Social Couples
08:32Very easy to stir
08:33Because you will choose to choose.
08:35Therefore, I feel the best approach is...
08:38Focus in the United States
08:39Because this will also affect the United States.
08:41But if Anwar and...
08:42Increased heated debate in Islam and the United States
08:45This will not work.
08:46Because they seem to be in America
08:48Recognition has been discovered
08:49Annoying military umbrellas
08:51So in this regard
08:52For life is empty
08:53Based on their success
08:54therefore
08:55I think many people
08:57All ideals have been achieved
08:58The fundamental resistance to selection lies in
08:59Human Mix
09:00Or resisting choice and procrastination
09:04Successfully controlled by China
09:05Will you support these anti-selective choices in the future?
09:06This is resistance to choice.
09:07So you also have many people.
09:08They made all the choices they could.
09:09At that time, these anti-selectivity
09:11Unclear
09:11Many times
09:13Actually, there are many, many people.
09:16politics
09:17Anti-selection
09:37Anwar is now in a very awkward position.
09:41It's not that it's not strong enough
09:42But no matter how you do it, it's incomplete.
09:44Trying to please both sides
09:45The result is that neither side is satisfied.
09:48Is this the inevitable outcome of the middle route?
09:51Or is it within Malaysia's highly ethnic political structure?
09:55The middle route itself is a form of slow suicide.
09:59Anwar's current situation
10:01It's like standing on a tightrope that keeps getting narrower.
10:04The left side represents the expectations of non-Malay voters.
10:06The right side shows the concerns of Malay voters.
10:09Even the slightest movement can be interpreted as taking sides.
10:12To be accused of betrayal
10:13Under such circumstances
10:15Anwar's only exit that has not been completely blocked
10:18It seems there's only one way left.
10:21That is to combat fear with economics.
10:24Could this be Anwar's final, decisive blow?
10:28That's the problem.
10:30Can the so-called Malay anxiety really be addressed through policy and development guarantees?
10:34In a coalition government structure
10:36Especially when the PAP has been labeled negatively for a long time
10:39No amount of economic achievement can fully translate into a sense of security.
10:44Because for some Malay voters
10:47Anxiety is never just a matter of money.
10:50Rather, it comes from the narrative.
10:51Who is in charge of the country?
10:53Who is changing the order?
10:54Who will be marginalized?
10:56These questions cannot be answered directly by GDP.
11:00But looking at it from the other side
11:02If we continue to be led by race-based narratives...
11:04Politics will only become narrower and narrower
11:07The common direction given by the two interviewed scholars is
11:10Political choices must be redefined through economics.
11:13When the cost of living and wages stagnate
11:16When employment pressure becomes the main theme
11:17These practical problems will gradually diminish the mobilizing power of ethnic politics.
11:22It's not about eliminating fear.
11:24Instead, it's about gradually diluting it with tangible improvements in people's lives.
11:28In other words
11:29Identity politics will not disappear
11:31But it must lose its sole right of interpretation.
11:34For Anwar
11:35The real key to this battle is not choosing sides.
11:38The key question is whether voters can begin to believe.
11:41Politics is not just about who you belong to.
11:44Politics is more than just telling you who you are.
11:46It's about genuinely changing whether you're living a good life.
11:51For Anwar
11:55you
11:55Subtitle volunteer Yang Qianqian
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