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  • 14 hours ago
In 2025 and 2026, Russia has significantly increased its drone entries into NATO airspace, focusing on Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Latvia, and Estonia. Analysts believe this strategy aims to identify NATO's boundaries and assess the reliability of Article 5. Despite an unprecedented Russian attack resulting in casualties on NATO territory in Romania on May 29, no member of NATO has officially activated Article 5. Experts caution that this ongoing behavior — where Russia breaches boundaries without fully provoking a response — could lead Moscow to perceive NATO's security assurances as ineffective. This discussion is particularly relevant for the 70,000 American troops presently deployed in Europe.

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00:00Russia is probing NATO every single night, and the alliance has not pulled the trigger on Article 5.
00:05Defense analysts are raising a serious alarm.
00:08Russia has tripled its drone incursions into NATO airspace in 2025 and 2026.
00:15Lithuania, Poland, Romania, Latvia, and Estonia have all experienced violations.
00:21Some with GPS-spoofed Ukrainian drones, some with direct Russian military systems.
00:26On May 29, a Russian weapon struck a Romanian apartment building and wounded two NATO civilians.
00:33It is the first time Russian weapons have caused casualties on NATO soil since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
00:41NATO Secretary General Ruda condemned it.
00:43The U.S. ambassador pledged to defend every inch of alliance territory.
00:47But Article 5, the Mutual Defense Clause, has not been invoked.
00:52Defense experts warn that Russia is learning something critical from this restraint.
00:56That NATO's red line may not actually exist at the scale Russia is testing for the 70,000 American troops
01:03in Europe.
01:04This is not a theoretical question.
01:06Do you see a big question?
01:06I'm thinking was
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