00:00And if you're looking at this series long-term, right,
00:01we talk about game number two, still a home court advantage there.
00:04Home court, I should say, for San Antonio.
00:06Game number three, if there's one game where I look at I want to take the Knicks
00:10at a decent price that I can get now, it's probably game three.
00:14That place, Madison Square Garden, will be on fire for that one.
00:18Even if, Joe, they come to the Garden down 0-2 against the Spurs.
00:22A $100 investment on the New York Knicks winning that outright pays back 186.
00:27Again, if there's one game I think that has an advantage,
00:30it could be game three with the New York Knicks.
00:33It can be, Donnie, but it's what we know about the last 11 NBA Finals series
00:40is that the team that wins game two, heading into game three, not so good.
00:46Four and nine straight up and just 30% against the number.
00:50In fact, all nine losses were by nine points or more.
00:54So, it would behoove the Knicks to win game one, lose game two,
00:59and history tells us back them in game three here.
01:04But, we'll see.
01:05It's all about adjustments, Donnie, in the NBA Finals,
01:07and we know that it's not for the faint of heart.
01:11That's for sure.
01:12Certainly not.
01:13And I'll tell you what's interesting.
01:14Game number three does show the New York Knicks
01:16that 53% chance to win.
01:18Game number four, still in Madison Square Garden,
01:20the favorite slightly, the San Antonio Spurs go back to 51% there.
01:25You see that 50-50.
01:27So, very close.
01:27But also, Joe, you can invest in the Finals winner here of the MVP.
01:32No surprise.
01:33Webb and Yama's the favorite.
01:3463% chance on Kelsey.
01:36Jalen Brunson, 32%.
01:38Everybody else, single digits here, Joe.
01:42Correct.
01:42And I can tell you this here, too, that fatigue starts to roll in
01:47by the time you get to game four.
01:49So, less defense, more points in game four.
01:54That's what we've learned over the last 10 NBA Finals series here.
01:59And it makes sense, Donnie, right?
02:00Because you've got teams through the first three games
02:03getting ready and battling here.
02:05I think the zigzag theory is alive and well in this series.
02:08I think it's going to go six or seven.
02:10But I also think by the time we get to game four,
02:13I'd be looking to play some overs from that point on.
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