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  • 3 hours ago
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00:00So how about the World Cup?
00:01And by the way, if you're late getting involved, the rest of the world is not.
00:05On Polymarket right now, Joe, picking the FIFA World Cup winner.
00:09Did you know $963 million in that market already before the World Cup has even begun?
00:19France is the favorite, 18%.
00:21Spain, 16%.
00:23Followed by England, the only double-digit chance at 11% here.
00:28France has around $25 million in volume.
00:31Spain, right around 20%.
00:32England, around 16% here, Joe.
00:34Impressive market and a lot of money behind it.
00:38Well, listen, I think the market tells you most likely France, Spain, kind of, you know,
00:44those are going to be at the top of the board, and we know that at those prices right now.
00:49But if you're looking for value, I don't know, Argentina or Portugal right now,
00:56we know France and Spain are going to be the chalk, but you've got a defending championship
01:00pedigree here with Argentina.
01:03The path, Donnie, you know, the group that they have to come out of, this is another thing
01:08to consider when better than these markets.
01:10It's not about, well, is this team good enough to win?
01:12Is their path good enough for them and easy enough that warrant the price here?
01:18I think if Messi is healthy and available, which we're hearing he is, call me crazy.
01:23I think they might have a shot here.
01:26But don't forget, Donnie, these markets, we're not betting outcomes.
01:29We're betting the repricing of the market as the World Cup goes on.
01:34Keep that in mind when we're talking about these.
01:37Keep that in mind when we're talking about these.
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