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Fresh fears of a major U.S.-Iran military escalation are erupting ahead of the highly anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping on May 14. Reports suggest the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has placed forces on high alert amid growing speculation that Washington could launch new strikes if diplomatic talks collapse.

Iranian commanders have warned of “decisive retaliation” against any U.S. military move in the Strait of Hormuz, while tensions continue to rise over shipping routes, missile deployments, and naval operations in the Gulf. Could Tehran strike first? Is the Trump-Xi summit becoming a last-ditch diplomatic effort to avoid wider war? Watch the full breakdown of the military buildup, IRGC warnings, Pentagon signals, and the geopolitical stakes surrounding the Iran crisis.

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00:04A new warning from Tehran tonight is raising fears of a dramatic military escalation in the
00:11Middle East. Could the United States launch strikes on Iran before President Donald Trump's
00:17upcoming visit to China? That's the explosive claim now circulating after Iranian advisor
00:24Mohamed Maranji accused the White House of using media leaks and market signals as part of a
00:30coordinated pressure campaign against Tehran. At the center of the controversy, a sudden Axios
00:37report claiming Washington and Iran were nearing a one-page deal to end the war. But Tehran says
00:44the story was never about diplomacy. It was about the markets and possibly about preparing the ground
00:51for something far more dangerous. Iranian political analyst and advisor Professor Mohamed Maranji
00:59has sharply rejected reports suggesting the United States and Iran are close to a ceasefire framework
01:06agreement. Maranji called the Axios story, quote, bizarre and accused the White House of deliberately
01:13floating negotiation leaks to manipulate oil markets. According to him, similar reports have surfaced
01:20repeatedly before major geopolitical moves or military escalations. Maranji claims Tehran views the
01:28reports not as genuine diplomacy, but as part of a broader hybrid strategy involving military pressure,
01:36sanctions, and media signaling. And he says Iran is fully preparing for the possibility of a major
01:42U.S. military attack in the coming days. The allegations gained even more attention after unusual trading
01:50activity in crude oil markets was flagged by the Kobisi letter. According to the report, nearly 10,000 crude
01:58oil short contracts worth roughly $920 million were placed at around 3.40 a.m. Eastern time. At that
02:07moment, there was no major public news event explaining the move. But just 70 minutes later, Axios reported
02:15that the U.S. and Iran were supposedly close to a 14-point memorandum aimed at ending the war. Oil
02:23prices then
02:24plunged more than 12 percent. The traders behind those short positions were suddenly sitting on an estimated
02:31$125 million in gains. Then came another dramatic reversal. After Iran announced the launch of the
02:40so-called Persian Gulf Strait Authority, oil prices surged back nearly 8 percent within minutes. The sequence
02:49is now fueling speculation about possible coordinated market positioning tied to geopolitical developments.
02:56Despite the speculation, there is still no confirmed agreement between Washington and Iran.
03:03Iranian officials continue insisting that no formal deal exists and say they will not negotiate under
03:10military threats or economic pressure. Meanwhile, tensions across the Gulf remain extremely fragile.
03:18Shipping disruptions continue near the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. and Iranian military forces remain deployed at
03:26elevated readiness levels. And diplomatic affairs appear increasingly overshadowed by fears of another
03:33confrontation. Now, with Trump preparing for high-stakes diplomacy in Beijing, the next several days could
03:40become a critical turning point, either towards de-escalation or towards a dangerous new phase in the conflict.
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