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Europe Today: Alto el fuego iraní en riesgo mientras Israel siguen mata 200 personas en el Líbano
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05:12Pero después de eso, ya hemos visto que la Comisión Europea está downgradando su crecimiento de 2026,
05:19irrespective de lo que ocurre desde ahora, y está actualizando su crecimiento de inflación por 2026 por alrededor de 1%.
05:27Así que, sí, el costo económico ya está ahí.
05:30Y, por supuesto, cualquier cosa, hay un desastre de largo plazo.
05:32María Demartiz, muchas gracias por acompañarnos aquí en Europe Today.
05:37Now, moving on, the United Nations has warned that the scale of the killing in Israeli strikes against Lebanon is,
05:43quote, horrific.
05:44They've called on the international community to help end the unfolding nightmare.
05:49Italy and France have already spoken out.
05:51And for their part, the European Commission has told Israel to stop the violence and respect the UN peacekeeping mission.
05:57Speaking yesterday at a press conference here in Brussels, they said they call on Israel to cease the operation
06:03and respect Lebanon's sovereignty and territorial integrity.
06:07For more, we can actually cross now straight over to Lebanon and bring in our correspondent in the coastal town
06:12of Thir,
06:13which is Sur in Arabeque.
06:15Ekbel Zayn is standing by for us there this morning.
06:18Good morning, Ekbel. Thank you so much for joining us here.
06:20Just tell us, how are residents doing there and how exactly is the situation?
06:28So we're having some technical issues there with the sound of Ekbel Zayn, but we'll come back to her as
06:33soon as we can.
06:34But of course, all eyes here on Hungary, where parliamentary elections will take place this Sunday,
06:39which will have huge implications reaching well beyond the capital of Budapest.
06:44After 16 years in power, the Prime Minister Viktor Orban is facing a very credible challenge from Peter Maillard,
06:51whose TISA party is ahead in independent polling.
06:54For more, we can cross now over, hopefully, to Budapest and bring in your news correspondent,
06:59Zoltan Siboshegi, who's standing by for us this morning.
07:02Thank you so much, Zoltan, for joining us here.
07:05Just tell us first, what is the mood there ahead of Sunday's key elections?
07:10Good morning, Europe Today. Thank you for having me.
07:12So, actually, these weeks are the most turbulent times in the Hungarian politics in the last 30 years.
07:19There are leakings every day, every morning, all the politicians accusing each other that they are spies,
07:26they are talking about espionage actions, and people fighting on the street, they are arguing.
07:32The main reason is that, actually, for 16 years, there were no politics in Hungary.
07:37The government party was so solid that nobody really believed that they can change it.
07:42And two years ago, Peter Maillard just appeared from nothing, actually, from inside the system,
07:48and gave back to this hope to the people.
07:51They loved them with religious love.
07:53And, actually, there is a shield around him.
07:56He had a lot of accusations with sexual abuse, with corruption, everything,
08:02but nothing worked out.
08:05If you look around in Budapest, anywhere, there are huge billboards with the face of Volodymyr Zelensky,
08:12because they are telling that Peter Maillard is also an Ukrainian spy,
08:16but nobody really believes it according to the latest polls.
08:21What was a huge help for the Hungarian government that J.D. Wenz, the vice president of the United States,
08:29who visited Hungary for two and a half days, he emphasized, actually, he repeated the words of Viktor Orbán,
08:35telling that, yeah, the biggest threat for Europe and for Hungary is the Bristol bureaucrats.
08:42I've also been told that the vice president of the United States coming and saying that Viktor Orbán is doing
08:47a good job
08:48and is a helpful statesman to the cause of peace, that's foreign influence.
08:52When the European Union threatens billions of dollars withheld from Hungary because you guys protect your borders,
08:59that's apparently not foreign influence.
09:01When the Ukrainians shut down pipelines, causing suffering among the Hungarian people
09:07in an effort to influence an election, that's allegedly not foreign influence.
09:11It doesn't pass the smell test.
09:13That was J.D. Vance speaking there yesterday in Hungary,
09:16and, of course, before that, our Hungarian correspondent.
09:19And we'll, of course, have live intensive coverage over the next couple of days on yournews.com,
09:23so do keep a close eye on that.
09:26But now we can bring you that interview that we promised,
09:28where our NATO correspondent, Shona Murray, had the opportunity to speak to Ivo Dalder.
09:33That's a former ambassador for NATO,
09:35and she started by asking him for his assessment on the very fragile ceasefire.
09:40Take a look.
09:41Although we've been six weeks into a war, an extraordinary bombing campaign by the United States
09:48and Israel, and I think Iran has the upper hand.
09:52I mean, that has been clear for quite a while.
09:54Remember, the Strait of Hormuz was open before the bombing started.
09:59Ships were going through, hundreds of them a day.
10:02Now ships may be going through.
10:04We don't know how many.
10:05We don't know when.
10:06We don't know where.
10:07And in any case, the Iranians are claiming they will maintain control.
10:12The armed forces of Iran will maintain control over shipments through the Straits.
10:16That is a massive change in Iran's benefit and to the detriment,
10:21not only of the United States and Israel,
10:23but frankly, to all the Gulf states who need the access to the Straits
10:28and so many others who depend on it.
10:30Well, I suppose also your heart would go out to the Iranian people
10:33who were protesting back in January, who were encouraged to continue their protests,
10:38who were promised that the Americans and the Israelis would assist them in regime change.
10:43And it actually looks like the Iranian regime has an even more ironclad control.
10:49Yeah, I think if this war ends like it does now, not just a two-week ceasefire by longer,
10:57we can say that none of the objectives, with perhaps the exception of the degree
11:02to which Iran still has a missile capability,
11:06that none of the objectives that were set out at the beginning of this campaign have been met.
11:10So, when you look at it all, you say, why did we go to war?
11:15And if this is the result, you can't but conclude that this was a strategic blunder of historic proportion.
11:22The other question is the damage that has been done to NATO.
11:25I mean, you mentioned earlier there that allies have said this is not our war.
11:30NATO is a defensive organization.
11:32You know, they're a pretty clear cut about that.
11:34Donald Trump is threatening to leave NATO, is humiliating NATO.
11:37It's a paper tiger.
11:39What is the impact of this?
11:41Well, I mean, clearly what's happened over the last six weeks has been extraordinarily damaging to NATO,
11:48coming on top of the extraordinarily damaging episode of agreements.
11:52And I think the three months that have just passed,
11:57we will look back at it as the worst crisis that NATO has had in 77 years.
12:03It will end up with all European countries doubting that the United States or at least a United States led
12:10by Donald Trump can still be counted upon as a reliable ally when it comes to Article 5 or to
12:16collect the defense of their territory.
12:18I know that Vladimir Putin is really, you know, can't believe his luck with this war in Iran.
12:23I mean, Donald Trump removed some of the sanctions on oil and so on.
12:27But if, let's say, he were to maybe test Article 5, maybe going into Estonia or one of those places,
12:34I mean, do you think that he might be a little bit more inclined to do that now, seeing the
12:37disarray within the alliance?
12:40Oh, absolutely.
12:41I think we are living in an extraordinarily dangerous period of time.
12:45We see a divide at NATO, which has been the goal of first the Soviet Union and then Russia for
12:50the better part of 80 years.
12:51A NATO that is truly at loggerheads, a NATO in which the president of the United States says, I'm not
12:57going to defend you.
12:58Don't don't count on me, as he put it, or bye bye, as he said on his press conference on
13:04on Monday.
13:05It is a it's a good time to test NATO if if you are sitting in Moscow.
13:10By the way, it's a good time to test what you could get away with in Taiwan if you're sitting
13:14in Beijing,
13:15because much of the U.S. military capability has been moved to the Gulf and indeed much of the U
13:22.S. military capability has been expanded on this war,
13:27which turned out to be a strategic blunder of historic proportion.
13:30So we're living in a world where the possibility of major adversaries taking advantage of European weakness and American self
13:41-inflicted wounds
13:42is larger now than any time in my lifetime and frankly, probably any time in anybody's lifetime.
13:47Final question, Ivo, because you're a dual national, you're you're born in The Hague.
13:51But I want to ask you a little bit about Mark Rutte's modus operandi when it comes to Donald Trump,
13:57because some people have found that a bit grating over the last few months that he hasn't been firm enough
14:02with Donald Trump.
14:03We saw in The Hague him referring to Trump as daddy and so on.
14:06Sometimes that's a bit of a joke, but there's a feeling that maybe he he just plays it up to
14:12Trump a little bit more
14:12to the detriment to to the European allies.
14:16What's your own interpretation?
14:17I think the big problem that Rutte faced is on the issue of Iran.
14:21He probably went too far.
14:23He probably went too much in the direction of supporting the president, particularly since 31 of his 32 constituents
14:31believe that the war that the president of the United States had started was both unnecessary and most importantly, illegal.
14:39And as a result, supporting the president sort of alienated him with many other countries.
14:48Shona Murray there speaking to Ivo Daldar.
14:50And now for the view from Lebanon, we can cross over once more to southern Lebanon,
14:54to the coastal town of Tir, which is Sur in Arabic, and bring in our reporter, Echbel Zayn.
14:59Good morning, Echbel.
15:00Just tell us how are residents doing there and describe the situation on the ground.
15:06Good morning, Maeve.
15:08Well, as I said, today is a national warning day in Lebanon.
15:12Hundreds of civilians who were killed and wounded yesterday by Israeli airstrikes that targeted multiple areas in the country.
15:21That airstrike came without warnings and the bombardment continued overnight.
15:26Ambulances were racing, hospitals asking urgency for blood of all types.
15:31And also rescue missions were becoming more and more difficult as tens of people were stuck under the rubble.
15:38That sustained wave of bombardment was sending a clear Israeli message that Israel, at any coast,
15:45refuses to include Lebanon and any potential ceasefire between Iran and the United States.
15:51And how does that make people feel there?
15:53Are people now fleeing for fear of their lives?
15:57Well, when the ceasefire was announced and following Pakistan's statements,
16:03hopes were really high in the country that we might be included in that ceasefire.
16:08So yes, most people first tried to rush and come back to the south,
16:13yet the Lebanese army prevented some of them because it's not safe yet.
16:17And yesterday, the Israeli army targeted the last key bridge linking south areas to north areas of Litani River
16:25to prevent people from returning to the south and also to assure that the war has not ended yet.
16:32Last day was one of the hardest days from the beginning of the war and people feel terrified and traumatized.
16:40So many of them say that what's happening right now in the country goes beyond Lebanon
16:46and the country is somehow in the middle of a regional equation between Iran trying to reunite the front again
16:54and the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, trying to separate them.
17:00So for now, all eyes are on the coming hours to see how things will evolve and unfold eventually.
17:07Indeed, on a very, very fragile situation, Achben Zayn.
17:10Stay safe and thank you so much for bringing us that live update there from Sud.
17:15Now, coming up, as we said earlier, this Sunday, Hungarian parliamentary elections.
17:20For more on what the outcome of these parliamentary elections could mean for EU-Hungarian relations,
17:25our reporter Jakub Janos now takes a look at the stance of both candidates.
17:32If there is one thing everyone is watching in Brussels right now,
17:35it is the Hungarian elections happening this Sunday.
17:38On one side sits Viktor Orbán and his ruling Fidesz party,
17:42and on the other is Peter Magyar and his challenger Tisa party.
17:45But when it comes to the biggest European issues, your reporter was curious whose side they are actually on.
17:53If they shared a flight to Belgium, their views on Brussels could not be more different.
17:58Orbán fights EU influence to protect national sovereignty.
18:02Whereas Magyar wants to repair the relationship, but avoids looking like he takes orders from the EU,
18:07deliberately keeping his distance from leaders like Ursula von der Leyen.
18:11Okay, but when they pick up the phone, who is on the other end?
18:15Orbán maintains tight ties with the Kremlin.
18:17His foreign minister was even caught briefing Moscow around key EU meetings.
18:21And Magyar condemns this, accusing the government of acting on Vladimir Putin's behalf.
18:26However, looking next door to Ukraine, they differ in theory, but share a political calculation.
18:33Orbán regularly blocks EU aid, campaigning on the fear of war.
18:37And Magyar avoids speaking about Ukraine, and his party opposes Ukraine's fast-track EU membership.
18:42But you see, there is a slight difference between them.
18:45Magyar personally delivered aid to a Russian-bomb children's hospital in Kiev.
18:50Finally, looking across the Atlantic, Orbán relies on his close friendship with Donald Trump,
18:55even hosting US Vice President J.D. Vance this week.
18:59Mr. President, you are on with about 5,000 Hungarian patriots,
19:03and I think they love you even more than they love Viktor Orbán.
19:06And Magyar rejects this kind of personality-driven diplomacy,
19:10promising to root out Russian influence and restore Hungary as a reliable NATO ally.
19:15So as you can see, all of that paints a very intriguing political picture.
19:20However, let's not forget that in these elections,
19:22Hungarian opposition leader faces a severely unequal playing field.
19:26After 16 years in power, Fidesz maintains a massive grip over the state and public money,
19:31using redrawn voting districts and compliant media to gain advantage.
19:36And with Hungarian social media flooded with deep fakes targeting Petr Magyar and Tisa party,
19:43Sunday's vote will decide if the facts or the fakes shapes Hungary's future.
19:53Yeah, I could be honest, they're reporting for us.
19:56And you can read more about the high stakes of these elections on euronews.com.
20:00But for now, thank you so much for tuning in to Europe Today.
20:03Stay tuned with us here on Euronews for a brand new episode of The Ring,
20:06brought to you from the European Parliament here in Brussels.
20:09Take care and see you soon on euronews.
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