00:00Hello and welcome, you are watching One India, this is World News and I am Pankaj Mishra.
00:04A ceasefire is announced and then missiles are in the sky back again.
00:09Celebrations on the streets and negotiations behind closed doors
00:13and now control over global oil routes becoming a bargaining chip.
00:17We begin with a ceasefire already under strain.
00:24A ceasefire in theory, but in reality, the sirens haven't stopped.
00:29Minutes after US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire,
00:33Iran reportedly launched ballistic missiles towards Israel.
00:36Air raid sirens echoed across Israeli cities.
00:40Defense systems intercepted incoming threats mid-air, but this wasn't limited to Israel.
00:45Across the Gulf, the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Bahrain activated emergency air defense systems.
00:53No injuries have been reported so far.
00:55But that's not the point.
00:57The real question is, was the ceasefire violated within minutes of being declared?
01:02Because if deterrence collapses this quickly,
01:05then what we are witnessing is not de-escalation, but controlled instability.
01:12Just minutes after US President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran, missiles were launched.
01:19Yes, you heard that right.
01:22A ceasefire declared, and almost immediately ballistic missile alerts across Israel and the Gulf.
01:28So what exactly happened?
01:32According to reports, Iran launched a fresh wave of ballistic missiles targeting Israel and multiple Gulf countries,
01:39including Dubai, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait.
01:43In Israel, air raid sirens echoed across several cities.
01:48From Haifa to Kiryat zones and even smaller towns, alarms went off warning of incoming threats.
01:54The Israeli defense forces confirmed that air defense systems were activated and missiles heading towards southern Israel were intercepted.
02:03So far, no immediate injuries have been reported.
02:07But the situation did not stop at Israel.
02:11Across the Gulf, panic alerts followed.
02:14Dubai confirmed that its air defense systems were actively engaging missiles and UAV threats.
02:19Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Bahrain also issued warnings, signaling a region-wide alert.
02:26The sounds heard across parts of the UAE were linked to active interception operations.
02:32Now, the big question everyone is asking, did Iran just violate the ceasefire?
02:39Social media platforms quickly filled with reactions.
02:42Some users claimed multiple missiles were launched within an hour of the announcement.
02:47Others pointed out that ceasefires are often fragile, and violations, while serious, are not entirely uncommon in early stages.
02:56But here's the critical detail.
02:58As of now, neither the United States nor Iran has officially commented on these latest strikes.
03:05That silence is adding to the uncertainty.
03:08Because if confirmed, this could signal a breakdown of the ceasefire, even before it fully began.
03:15Or it could be a case of miscommunication, delayed enforcement, or actions by forces outside direct control.
03:23Either way, tensions remain extremely high.
03:27Missiles in the sky, sirens on the ground, and a ceasefire already under question.
03:32The world is watching closely now, because what happens next could decide whether this truce holds or collapses within hours.
03:43While missiles flew, the streets told a very different story.
03:47Massive celebrations have erupted across Iran and Iraq, with thousands calling the ceasefire a victory.
03:53In Tehran and Baghdad, streets were packed, flags waved, slogans echoed.
03:59People danced on cars, turning the night into a spectacle of defiance.
04:03From Tehrir Square in Baghdad to central Tehran, the message was clear.
04:08Iran has held its ground.
04:11Why the celebration?
04:12Because many believe the United States has made concessions on sanctions, on strategy, and possibly on its posture too.
04:20Perception matters in geopolitics.
04:24And right now, on the streets of West Asia, the perception is simple.
04:28Iran didn't step back.
04:35Victory celebrations have erupted across Iran and spilled into Iraq,
04:40as a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran came into effect.
04:45But what is striking is not just the ceasefire.
04:49It is how people on the streets are calling it a decisive victory for Iran.
04:55From Tehran to Baghdad, the night skies lit up with flags, chants, and car parades.
05:02Let's start in Tehran.
05:04Videos circulating online show massive crowds flooding streets and public squares,
05:10waving Iranian flags, chanting slogans, and celebrating deep into the night.
05:16In one widely shared clip, a reporter stands surrounded by a dense crowd, flags whipping in the air,
05:24while a massive mural behind her symbolizes victory over enemies.
05:29Tickers on screen even describe the ceasefire as a historic defeat for the United States.
05:35That narrative is key.
05:38Another ground-level video captures raw emotion.
05:42Men raise their arms, shouting Allahu Akbar.
05:46Cars crawl through packed streets.
05:49People standing on rooftops and hoods, honking, cheering, celebrating.
05:54It feels less like relief and more like triumph.
05:59In yet another clip, women and men ride atop moving vehicles, flags in one hand, rifles or replicas in the
06:07other.
06:08Confetti fills the air, and headlights cut through tree-lined streets glowing with festive lights.
06:14The message is loud and clear.
06:17This ceasefire is being framed as a win.
06:20And this energy is not limited to Iran.
06:24In Baghdad's Tahrir Square, thousands gathered in solidarity.
06:29Crowds packed shoulder to shoulder, waving both Iraqi and Iranian flags.
06:34Phones raised high, capturing every moment.
06:38The visuals show a powerful regional signal.
06:41This is being seen not just as Iran's victory, but as a shared moment across allies.
06:47What are people celebrating?
06:50Many in these crowds are claiming that the United States was forced into major concessions, including easing sanctions and shifting
06:58control dynamics in the Strait of Hormuz.
07:01These claims remain politically contested, but on the streets, perception is reality.
07:07For now, the ceasefire has created a rare pause in tensions, with upcoming negotiations expected in Islamabad.
07:16But these visuals tell a deeper story, not of diplomacy alone, but of narrative, pride and power.
07:24Whether this two-week window leads to lasting peace or renewed conflict remains to be seen.
07:33Now, to the negotiation table, where the balance appears to be shifting.
07:38The United States has agreed to a two-week ceasefire and is now engaging with Iran's 10-point proposal.
07:44The demands are significant.
07:46Recognition of Iran's nuclear enrichment rights, full sanctions relief, control leverage over the Strait of Hormuz, and even compensation.
07:55This marks a sharp departure from long-standing U.S. positions.
07:59Iran rejected Washington's initial ceasefire terms and instead brought the U.S. to negotiate on its own framework.
08:07Talks are now expected in Islamabad.
08:10And here's the key takeaway.
08:13When one side dictates the terms of de-escalation, it's not just diplomacy.
08:18It's leverage earned on the battlefield and at the negotiating table alike.
08:26Iran has effectively forced the United States to pause military action and agree to negotiations based on Tehran's own terms.
08:39In a dramatic turn in early April 2026, a two-week ceasefire has been announced in the ongoing U.S.-Israel
08:48-Iran conflict, not on Washington's conditions, but on Iran's 10-point agenda.
08:57And that is a significant shift in power dynamics.
09:03Here's what led to this moment.
09:05The U.S., under President Donald Trump, had issued strong ultimatums warning Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or
09:14face major military strikes.
09:19Iran refused.
09:20Instead, it rejected a U.S.-backed temporary ceasefire and countered with its own detailed 10-point plan, demanding a permanent
09:31end to the war.
09:32Not a pause, but a complete reset on its terms.
09:40Surprisingly, Trump called this proposal a workable basis for negotiations and announced a suspension of planned attacks, giving diplomacy a
09:50two-week window.
09:52So, what exactly does Iran want?
09:55At the top of the list is acceptance of its right to nuclear enrichment.
10:00This is huge.
10:01For years, the U.S. had pushed for strict limits, or zero, enrichment.
10:07Now, that position appears to be softening.
10:10Iran is also demanding full lifting of sanctions, both primary and secondary, which would reopen its economy to the world.
10:19Another key demand, control over the Strait of Hormuz.
10:23This is one of the world's most critical oil routes, handling nearly 20 percent of global supply.
10:30Iran wants to retain full authority over it, without international interference.
10:37The proposal goes even further.
10:40It calls for U.S. troop withdrawal from the region, an end to attacks on Iran and its allies, and
10:47even financial compensation for war damages.
10:50In short, this is a maximalist proposal, and yet it has brought the U.S. to the negotiating table.
10:58Now, talks are set to begin in Islamabad, with Iran's framework forming the base of discussions.
11:05Iranian officials are already calling this a strategic victory.
11:10But there is a caveat.
11:13This is only a temporary ceasefire, not a final agreement.
11:17Details will be negotiated, and outcomes remain uncertain.
11:22Still, the message is clear.
11:24Iran has turned military pressure into diplomatic leverage and forced a global superpower to reconsider its stance.
11:35And now, the most consequential shift of all.
11:39The Strait of Hormuz is no longer just a passage.
11:43It's becoming a pricing point.
11:46Under the ceasefire framework, Iran has agreed to allow safe passage of ships for two weeks, but with conditions.
11:54Reports suggest Iran may charge up to $2 million per ship as transit fees.
12:00A draft bill has reportedly been approved to formalize this.
12:05If this holds, it changes the equation entirely.
12:10Nearly 20% of global oil supply passes through Hormuz.
12:14This is not just about access anymore.
12:16It's about control, monetization, and strategic dominance.
12:21And Iran is signaling clearly, if you control the choke point, you control the pressure.
12:30Donald Trump claims he has secured the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
12:36But here's the catch.
12:37Iran is now charging up to $2 million per ship to pass through it.
12:43So is this really a breakthrough or a strategic win for Iran?
12:48Trump announced a ceasefire-style arrangement, framing it as Iran agreeing to ensure safe and open passage through the Strait.
12:59In return, the United States pauses strikes.
13:03But the reality is far more complex.
13:07This deal actually incorporates key elements of Iran's own proposal, including something unprecedented—transit fees.
13:17Iran, along with Omen, can now formally charge ships passing through the Strait, with reports suggesting fees of up to
13:26$2 million per tanker.
13:29And this isn't entirely new.
13:32During the conflict, Iran had already begun informally charging select ships, creating what analysts called a Tehran Tollbooth.
13:41Now, it's official.
13:43And the numbers are staggering.
13:46The Strait of Hormuz carries nearly 20% of the world's oil supply.
13:51Around 100 ships pass daily.
13:54That means Iran could earn nearly $20 million per day from oil tankers alone, scaling up to hundreds of millions
14:03per month and potentially billions per year.
14:06This creates a powerful shift.
14:10Iran is no longer just exporting oil under sanctions.
14:14It is now taxing the world's oil flow itself.
14:18And that money is critical.
14:21It can fund reconstruction after strikes, rebuild infrastructure, and sustain military and proxy operations long term.
14:29Even more importantly, these payments can happen in yuan or crypto, making them harder for the U.S. to track
14:38or block.
14:39So, while Trump calls this a success, critics argue the U.S. has effectively accepted Iran's terms and is now
14:48indirectly enabling its financial resilience.
14:51Before the conflict, passage through Hormuz was free.
14:56Now, it comes at a price.
14:59The deal may have avoided immediate escalation and ensured oil continues to flow.
15:05But strategically, it gives Iran a long-term economic and geopolitical advantage.
15:11So, the real question now is, did the U.S. secure stability or help create a new power lever for
15:19Iran?
15:22A ceasefire tested by missiles, claimed as victory on the streets, negotiated on shifting terms, and monetized through its oil
15:31routes.
15:31This conflict is evolving very fast.
15:34The battlefield may pause, but the power struggle is far from over.
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