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Europe Today: Trump asegura que la guerra con Irán está "acabando" mientras el petróleo fluctúa
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04:10This morning.
04:10Obviously, we need some context in terms of where those comments came in.
04:14On the Sunday to the Monday, we saw that big spike when it comes to the oil market.
04:19A lot of that reflecting this anxiety that in Iran is still very much the hardliners who
04:23are guiding the country.
04:25And obviously, a sort of escalation that is going to have ramifications in the transportation
04:29of oil in the region.
04:31The comments from Trump yesterday appeared to suggest that the U.S. now believes this is
04:36an operation they can wrap sooner.
04:38He did say the war is pretty much, to some extent, done.
04:42He talked about objectives that have been met,
04:44but of course it is unclear what the goal then would be
04:47because the son of the late Ayatollah is still in place.
04:51Now, the other factor, too, is that in the same afternoon
04:54that he went out and said again,
04:56if this is a question of Iran really trying to mess
04:59with the transportation of oil, there will be severe consequences
05:02and they will get bombed like they've not been bombed
05:05since this war started.
05:06Let's take a look.
05:07We're putting an end to all of this threat once and for all
05:10and the result will be lower oil prices, oil and gas prices.
05:14But when the time comes, the U.S. Navy and its partners
05:17will escort tankers through the strait if needed.
05:20And if they do anything, the price will be incalculable.
05:24They'll never be able to recover, ever.
05:27And that's, of course, President Trump.
05:28But if you listen to the language,
05:30this is really a message to financial markets.
05:33He repeats and goes on about the price of oil.
05:36What will happen if they do anything that messes with the flow of oil?
05:40He is a president, and this is very particular and very important to understand
05:43when it comes to Donald Trump, is that he really monitors the stock market
05:48and he really monitors financial markets overall
05:51as an almost reflection of his performance.
05:53And this is a president who has said in the early days of the campaign
05:56for re-election, too, that he wants to see stock markets up.
06:00So really, he likes to present himself as the all-time high for stocks in the U.S.
06:04and also very low energy prices.
06:06This is crucial in the U.S., the gas prices.
06:10This is something that is almost politically in the psyche of the U.S., incredibly important.
06:14So yesterday, those comments trying to reverse those losses that we saw
06:19in the early trading on the Monday and the spike in the oil.
06:22But what I would note, however, is that ultimately, Maeve, this is very simple.
06:25Either he manages a way to find the oil to flow and to move and to bring down prices,
06:32or ultimately, this will just be a one-day message to bring that and intervene in energy markets.
06:37But ultimately, no question and no answers as to how is this operation really going to play out on the
06:42ground.
06:42And meanwhile, here in Brussels, we're having these emergency talks,
06:45remote emergency talks among EU leaders today, and also finance ministers are meeting yesterday and today.
06:50Yeah, so finance ministers met yesterday.
06:52There was also a G7 finance ministers call led by France, and today there will be a G7 energy ministers.
07:00And we also understand it's going to be a busy day on the phone that there will be an EU
07:04leader sort of debrief
07:05that is handled by Italy, Germany and Belgium.
07:08So there's this new sort of coalition that is emerging.
07:11Nonetheless, what is relevant from these calls is that ultimately there has been a signal that if it is necessary
07:16and needed,
07:17there could be operations to export or to escort tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.
07:21Obviously, that's a crucial point for geopolitics.
07:24But also the idea that there could be a release of strategic reserves.
07:28This is not the moment.
07:29That's what the French said yesterday, but a concern from the Europeans that you could enter a sort of stagflation
07:34scenario
07:34if global growth is impacted and you continue to see this spike in oil, which then reflects in inflation.
07:41So at this point, it is a sort of wait and see from the Europeans with concerns on the global
07:45economy.
07:46OK, and we have extensive reporting on all those meetings, of course, on Euronews.com.
07:49Maria Tzayel, thank you so much for that update.
07:51As always, but now moving on.
07:53In this context of an escalating war and a major oil supply disruption,
07:57MEPs are gathering in Strasbourg this week for a routine plenary session.
08:01To hear their views on the current state of play, we can actually cross now to the European Parliament in
08:05Strasbourg
08:06and bring in Euronews' Mared Gwynne-Jones.
08:08Good morning, Mared. Tell us, what is the view from Strasbourg there on the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran?
08:15Yes, Maeve, good morning from the European Parliament.
08:18Now, this institution doesn't set the EU's foreign policy, of course,
08:22but traditionally it has taken a staunchly critical stance towards the Iranian regime.
08:27And to discuss more, I'm now joined by the chair of the Parliament's Iran delegation, MEP, Hannah Neumann.
08:34Good morning. Let me start with this.
08:37Yes, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has been killed in this war, only to be replaced by his son.
08:44Is this war doing anything, in your view, to help the Iranian people?
08:48Good morning from Strasbourg.
08:50And Ayatollah Khamenei was responsible for the death and the brutal repression for so many Iranians.
08:56So his death has sparked some hopes, but him being replaced with his son just signals a sign of continuity
09:03and of more repression.
09:05So this clearly is not what Iranians had hoped for.
09:09Okay. And yesterday we heard Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen saying there's two schools of thought here with this
09:14war.
09:14One saying this is a war of choice by the U.S. and Israel and the other saying, well, this
09:19is a war of necessity.
09:20This was needed. Where do you stand?
09:23Donald Trump promised that help is on the way to the protesters before he started this war.
09:28Right now we see him and I, I mean, some of you saw the press conference yesterday.
09:32It is quite unclear what his goal are, what his strategies are to get there.
09:37And he's gambling with the life of 90 million Iranians and a whole region.
09:42And I frankly say I can't endorse a war.
09:44I don't know what the goal is nor what the strategy is.
09:46And Iranians clearly deserve better.
09:48You say you don't know what the goal is.
09:50If it is regime change, is it right in your view to seek a change in the regime through force?
09:56It will be quite a difficult way to get to regime change.
10:00What is clear is that in the long run, regime change can only come from the inside.
10:05So when people from the Revolutionary Guards, from the army, defect,
10:08and when there's a broad coalition of people from inside and outside of Iran
10:12who represent the diversity of Iran, who really come up with a new vision for this country,
10:17this cannot come by bombs alone.
10:19And in this context then, what can the EU do?
10:22We've seen quite a fragmented response.
10:25Spain and Slovenia outliers in the condemnation of the initial attack.
10:28What can it do to exert diplomatic leverage here and urge de-escalation?
10:32I think we have to indeed urge for de-escalation.
10:34The first thing is to work together with the Gulf countries.
10:37This is not our war, right?
10:39We have to deal with the consequences.
10:40And the same is true for the Gulf countries, even more, even worse.
10:44So I think we should work together with the Gulf countries to push for de-escalation towards Trump and Israel
10:51to clearly make them understand what they are gambling with
10:54and to tell us what their goals, what their strategies are, and then have a reasonable discussion.
10:58But also towards the Iranian regime, because the regime is going to fall.
11:02The question is how many of its own people and how much of the region are they dragging into the
11:07abyss?
11:07And I think we should make this as short as possible.
11:09Okay, MEP Neumann, thank you so much.
11:11And Maeve, there will be a three-hour special debate here in the Parliament tomorrow morning
11:15on the escalation situation in the Middle East.
11:18Back to you.
11:19Okay, Marek Gwynne-Jones, thank you so much for that live update there from Strasbourg.
11:22And also to your guest, the Green MEP, Hannah Neumann.
11:25Now, just days after his appointment,
11:27Iranians are very much divided over their new Supreme Leader, Mushtaba Khomeini.
11:32Iranian state TV is just showing his supporters celebrating with joy,
11:35but many also Iranians are expressing fear of repression.
11:38Critics worried, of course, about his very strong connections to the IRGC.
11:43Jakub Yanis takes a closer look.
11:46Someone clever once said that history is not about recording dates,
11:50but about connecting the dots.
11:53Iran has named Mushtaba Khomeini as its new Supreme Leader,
11:56and now everyone is talking about his biography.
11:59But your reporter wants to take a different look.
12:02Let's analyze what his appointment actually means.
12:07And for Europe, that signals a cold winter of diplomacy.
12:11Mushtaba is a shadow operator with deep ties in the Revolutionary Guard.
12:15His rise suggests Tehran has no interest in negotiations.
12:19And Europe must prepare for free shocks.
12:23First, the war will not end quickly.
12:26Mushtaba is a hardline choice for a hardline moment.
12:29And second, oil prices are already surging past $100,
12:34threatening a new energy crisis.
12:37Third, is a migration risk.
12:39That instability could trigger an unprecedented refugee wave
12:43toward European borders.
12:46And for the US and Israel,
12:48Mushtaba is not a statement.
12:50He is a target.
12:52Israel's defense minister was blunt about it,
12:55calling him an unquivocal target for elimination.
12:58And for a man who lost his father, mother and wife in recent strikes,
13:03compromise with the US and Israel might be simply off the table.
13:08Finally, and most importantly,
13:11what does this mean for Iranians?
13:13For the people, this transition could feel like the ultimate betrayal of the 1979 revolution.
13:19Because after all, that uprising was meant to end hereditary monarchy forever.
13:25And Mushtaba inherits a nation in economic ruin,
13:29relying entirely on the military and hardline security forces to keep control.
13:34And after the recent bloody crackdown on the opposition,
13:37he isn't fighting for the Iranian people,
13:39but for the survival of the system.
13:41But one could ask,
13:43can a revolution survive by becoming the very thing it once overthrew?
13:53Yeah, could be honest there.
13:54Now, moving on, France and its allies are preparing a, quote,
13:57defensive mission to reopen the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz,
14:01President Emmanuel Macron has sent.
14:03He said the French president has already landed by helicopter
14:06on the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier that was dispatched to the Mediterranean
14:09just after the US-Israeli strikes on Iran back on February the 28th.
14:13For more on the purpose of his trip,
14:16we can cross now over to Paris and bring in our correspondent,
14:19Sophia Katzenkova.
14:20Good morning, Sophia.
14:21Just tell us, what is the message that Macron is trying to send with this trip?
14:28Well, Maeve, the message that Emmanuel Macron is trying to send
14:31is that he will not be directly involved in the conflict,
14:35even as France strengthens its military presence in the region.
14:40Speaking abroad, the aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle
14:44deployed in the eastern Mediterranean last night,
14:47the French president insisted that France is not taking part directly in the war,
14:54but is looking to reassure its allies and protect its interests in the region.
14:59Earlier on Monday, Macron also traveled to Cyprus,
15:03an EU member state that has become strategically important in the region
15:08as tensions escalate.
15:10Just as a reminder, earlier this month,
15:12a drone struck a British military base on this island,
15:17prompting several EU countries, including France,
15:21to reinforce its defense.
15:23And speaking during his visit to Cyprus yesterday,
15:27Macron framed the island's security as a broader European issue.
15:32Let's take a listen.
15:35When Cyprus is attacked, it is Europe that is attacked.
15:39Cyprus's defense is obviously an essential matter for your country,
15:43for your neighbor partner and friend, Greece,
15:45but also for France, and with it, for the European Union.
15:53And as you mentioned, Maeve, well, France is also working along with other partners
15:57on a future purely defensive naval mission to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz
16:04and escort commercial ships, according to Macron,
16:07which is a key route for global energy supplies.
16:11And speaking of energy, well, the French leader is back here in Paris on a Tuesday morning
16:17as he's hosting an international summit on nuclear power today.
16:22The meeting is expected to focus on expanding nuclear capacity
16:26as countries are looking for stable energy sources amid growing geopolitical tensions.
16:33And of course, I'll be bringing you the latest from the ground.
16:36Back to you, Maeve.
16:37And of course, the European Commission President Ursula Wallerlein
16:40will be speaking at that very conference you mentioned.
16:42Sophia Katsenkova, thank you so much for that live update there from the centre of Paris.
16:47And to dive deeper into President Macron's visit and goals,
16:50we're joined now by Pascal Conferfru,
16:52the spokesperson for the French Ministry for Europe and Foreign Affairs.
16:56Good morning, Pascal.
16:56Thank you so much for joining us.
16:58Just tell us more about Macron's mission in Cyprus.
17:01Is the war getting closer to home, in your view?
17:05No, our goal is to go for a de-escalation and to avoid any reorganization of the conflict.
17:15President Macron was in Cyprus yesterday, and then in the aircraft carrier,
17:19there were three methods.
17:20Solidarity in Cyprus, protection of our citizens, protection of our allies in the region,
17:27that's EAU, Qatar, and so on.
17:30And he made it more clear, the goal of a coalition to the freedom of navigation in the Red Sea
17:38and in the Great Home.
17:40But you say only defensive, but is there any chance we could see this shift in France getting more involved
17:44in this conflict?
17:47No, once again, our opposition is that it's not our war.
17:52It's a strike by the United States and Israel and Iran.
17:56We're made out of the international law.
17:59We cannot approve them.
18:01But once again, what we have to see is who is responsible first of this situation?
18:07It's Iran.
18:08Iran was causing a major threat to the region, whether it's a program of ballistic placement or a nuclear armament.
18:16So, Iran has to change dramatically.
18:19It's our message that we have conveyed, and we have conveyed directly when President Macron talked to President President Trump
18:26of Iran during the war.
18:28So, Pascal, you're very critical of Iran, but is it time now to contend the U.S. and Israel?
18:33I mean, they started with good intentions, but now the situation is spiraling out of control.
18:39Once again, the first responsibility of the situation is, as a threat control by Iran.
18:45Even more, after the state violence that they imposed on their own people in the beginning of this year in
18:53January.
18:53This is where Iran has to stop sending some missiles or some drones on the neighboring countries.
19:04And the other, because we have to avoid or prevent any regionalization or destabilization of countries.
19:11I can take the example of Lebanon, which is a country that risks the war.
19:18Pascal, we'll have to leave it there.
19:19Thank you so much for joining us today on Europe Today here on Euronews.
19:23And thank you so much for watching, as always, for more news and analysis.
19:27Do visit Euronews.com.
19:28Take care and see you very soon here on Euronews.
19:49Euronews.
19:51Euronews.
19:54Euronews.
19:56Euronews.
20:00Euronews.
20:01Gracias por ver el video.
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