00:00I'm going to ask you, as you've broken down this game now for the entire week,
00:04give me your favorite prop or your favorite bet of the week,
00:07and then we'll get to the others.
00:09It's funny because it's right where I started.
00:11My first click of the week was Kenneth Walker under first quarter rushing yards.
00:15It opened at 18.5.
00:17It's down to 17.5 in most spots.
00:19I really don't care.
00:20If you get it down to 16.5, I think I'd still take it.
00:23I mean, you talk about this offense.
00:25We know they want to run the ball.
00:26Zach Charbonnet's torn ACL.
00:27We know it's going to run through Walker.
00:29But are they going to be able to beat New England early in the run game?
00:33I don't think so.
00:34It's going to be a neutral game script because, obviously, it's a close game.
00:37It's the first quarter.
00:38And you're talking about a New England defense with Milton Williams in the middle.
00:42They haven't given up much of anything.
00:44They had a weak spot in the middle of the season when he was out,
00:47but that's not the case right now.
00:48Under 2.6 yards per carry in first quarters to lead backs over the last nine
00:53with Milton Williams clogging the middle.
00:55I don't think we see more than four or five carries for Walker.
00:58And if you're asking him to get four or five yards per carry against this run defense,
01:02it ain't happening.
01:03Under 17.5 first quarter rush yards for me.
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