- 2 days ago
Гучні геополітичні новини: за повідомленнями, новий ультиматум за участі Дональда Трампа та Володимира Путіна може змінити майбутнє східної України. Вашингтон нібито тисне на Київ із вимогою розглянути серйозні поступки щодо Донбасу, що викликає гострі питання про суверенітет України, роль НАТО та перспективи мирних переговорів.
У цьому відео ми аналізуємо, що означає цей ультиматум для України, як США та Росія вибудовують свою стратегію та до яких наслідків це може призвести для Європи й глобальної безпеки. Чи справді Донбас під загрозою, чи це лише елемент великої дипломатичної гри?
Дивіться повний розбір, експертні думки та останні оновлення щодо ультиматуму Трампа і Путіна та майбутнього України.
У цьому відео ми аналізуємо, що означає цей ультиматум для України, як США та Росія вибудовують свою стратегію та до яких наслідків це може призвести для Європи й глобальної безпеки. Чи справді Донбас під загрозою, чи це лише елемент великої дипломатичної гри?
Дивіться повний розбір, експертні думки та останні оновлення щодо ультиматуму Трампа і Путіна та майбутнього України.
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NewsTranscript
00:00Reports indicate that during Donald Trump's presidency, the United States communicated
00:05to Ukraine that meaningful security guarantees would depend on Kyiv's acceptance of a peace
00:10agreement, one that could involve substantial territorial concessions in the Donbass region.
00:16According to sources cited by the Financial Times, Washington suggested that Ukraine might
00:21receive additional military support during peace time if it agreed to withdraw forces
00:25from parts of eastern Ukraine currently under its control.
00:30However, Reuters noted that these claims could not be independently verified.
00:35Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky previously stated that a draft document outlining U.S.
00:40security guarantees was fully prepared and only awaited formal signing.
00:45Despite this, he has consistently emphasized that Ukraine's territorial integrity must be
00:51preserved in any peace arrangement.
00:54Within Kyiv, skepticism has grown over whether Washington will truly commit to lockdown guarantees.
01:00A senior Ukrainian official reportedly told the Financial Times that the United States
01:05hesitates whenever the moment arrives to formalize such commitments.
01:10Ukraine has insisted that guarantees must be secured before any territorial compromises are
01:15even considered.
01:17Meanwhile, some in Washington believe that relinquishing control over Donbass could be the price of achieving
01:22a definitive end to the conflict.
01:23U.S. officials, however, publicly deny pressuring Ukraine to surrender territory, stating instead
01:31that America's role is to bring both sides to the negotiating table.
01:36White House Deputy Press Secretary Ennekely stressed that the United States is focused on facilitating
01:42dialogue rather than dictating outcomes.
01:44This contrast between public statements and private discussions has fueled uncertainty in
01:50Kyiv about Washington's true intentions and the reliability of promised protections.
01:55Paragraph 2, 300 words.
01:58Attention has also focused on upcoming negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, scheduled to take
02:04place on Sunday.
02:05Questions have arisen about the extent of direct involvement by the U.S. president in these
02:11talks, including whether he would speak personally with either President Vladimir Putin or President
02:17Zelensky beforehand.
02:19U.S. officials confirmed that no direct calls were scheduled but emphasized that the president
02:24remained engaged through constant briefings from advisors such as Jared Kushner and Special
02:29Envoy Steve Wykoff.
02:30According to these officials, a less-known but significant multilateral meeting was held
02:35the previous weekend, during which representatives from both sides were brought together in what
02:40was described as a historic effort to advance peace.
02:44The administration maintains that it has not abandoned the diplomatic track and continues
02:49to prioritize negotiations.
02:52Another source familiar with Washington's position stated that the U.S. is not attempting to force
02:57Ukraine into territorial concessions, but reiterated that security guarantees would only be implemented
03:03if both sides reach a formal peace deal.
03:06Behind closed doors, delegations from Kiev and Washington reportedly met in Abu Dhabi to explore
03:12possible mechanisms for stabilizing eastern Ukraine.
03:15Amongst the ideas discussed, according to the New York Times, was the deployment of an international
03:21peacekeeping force in parts of the Donetsk region.
03:23This contingent would be drawn from non-NAU countries in order to avoid provoking Moscow while still
03:30reducing tensions.
03:32Ukrainian and American officials reportedly viewed this approach as a compromise that could provide
03:37security without violating Russia's opposition to NATO involvement.
03:42However, the Russian delegation, led by Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov, rejected such proposals
03:49outright.
03:49Moscow's position reportedly focused on one central demand — the complete withdrawal of Ukrainian
03:56troops from Donetsk oblast, with no transitional arrangements or international mediation.
04:02Paragraph 3.
04:03Trista Wertz.
04:05Russia has attempted to justify its uncompromising stance by referring to alleged secret agreements
04:10said to have been reached between Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump during a meeting in
04:15LSK the previous summer.
04:16According to the Russian government's version of events, the supposed accords provided for
04:21the transfer of full control of the Donbass region to Russia, including areas still held
04:26by Ukrainian forces.
04:29Although the so-called LSK agreements have never been officially published, Russian officials
04:34reportedly cite them as a foundation for rejecting any alternative peace formulas or international
04:40initiatives.
04:40The New York Times has noted that the lack of transparency surrounding these claims has
04:46not prevented Moscow from using them as a central argument against compromise.
04:51Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have announced that another round of talks involving Ukraine,
04:56Russia, and the United States is expected to take place on Sunday, February 1.
05:02President Zelenskyj stated that previous discussions focused largely on military-related matters and
05:09that progress had been made on technical issues.
05:12He again confirmed that the US document on security guarantees was complete and awaiting signature.
05:19The most contentious topic in these trilateral negotiations remains the future of Donbass.
05:25Russia is demanding that Ukraine relinquish the remaining parts of the Netsk region still under
05:30key West control as a precondition for ending the war.
05:34At present, this demand represents the primary obstacle to reaching any settlement.
05:40Moscow is promoting what it calls the Anchorage formula, which envisions full Russian control
05:44over Donbass and the freezing of front lines elsewhere in Ukraine.
05:49Ukrainian authorities reject this approach, arguing that it would legitimize occupation and fail
05:55to address the broader causes of the conflict. For now, these irreconcilable positions continue to
06:01block progress toward a comprehensive peace agreement.
06:05Western analysts increasingly argue that Russia's ambitions extend far beyond Donbass.
06:11New assessments from intelligence agencies and research institutions suggest that Moscow's
06:16territorial goals have expanded well beyond the borders of Donetsk and Luhansk.
06:20The Institute for the Study of War reports that the Kremlin does not view Donbass as an endpoint,
06:27but rather as part of a broader strategy aimed at reshaping the security balance in Eastern Europe
06:32and exerting pressure on Western governments. Political observers note that Russian public
06:38rhetoric is gradually revealing these wider objectives. While some negotiators claim that Ukrainian
06:44withdrawal from Donbass could lead to peace, senior officials and military commanders openly discuss
06:50the need to establish so-called a-buffer zones in regions such as Khakiv, Sumy and Dnipropotrovsk.
06:57Experts interpret this as evidence of plans to expand Russian control beyond the current front line.
07:04The Institute for the Study of War further emphasizes that Moscow's demands are not purely territorial.
07:11They also include political and strategic conditions affecting the entire European security
07:16architecture. Amongst these is the insistence that NATO hold further expansion and reconsider its
07:23presence in Eastern Europe. According to Western analysts, Russia is using the way in Ukraine as
07:29leverage to weaken Western institutions and undermine their influence. This broader geopolitical agenda
07:36suggests that concessions in Donbass alone would not satisfy the Kremlin's Lochtem goals.
07:41Instead, the conflict appears increasingly tied to Russia's desire to redefine power relations between
07:48itself and the West. As a result, many analysts warn that viewing the Vosoli as a dispute over
07:55territory risks underestimating the scale of Moscow's ambitions. Paragraph 5, 300 words.
08:02Inside Russia, political discourse further supports the idea that the conflict is about Mosan-Donbass.
08:08Statements made in the State Duma and on state-controlled television often portray the Vos part of a
08:15wider confrontation with Ukraine and the West. Russian officials have repeatedly suggested that
08:21Ukraine's political orientation must change, and they frequently employ ideological arguments to justify
08:27military action. Experts argue that this rhetoric demonstrates how territorial claims are closely linked
08:34to efforts to influence Ukraine's internal politics. In the context of international negotiations,
08:41Moscow has consistently maintained that hostilities will not end without territorial concessions from
08:46Kyiv. However, Western media reports indicate that Russia's demands extend beyond currently occupied areas,
08:54encompassing significant influence over Ukraine's eastern and southern regions.
08:58Ukrainian leaders firmly reject these conditions, stressing that peace imposed through the loss of
09:05territory is unacceptable. President Zelensky has repeatedly stated that Ukraine will not recognize
09:11any ultimatums from an aggressor state and will not agree to the permanent loss of its land.
09:17According to him, concessions would not produce less than peace but would instead create the conditions
09:22for renewed conflict in the future. This view is shared by many Western partners,
09:28who argue that yielding to Moscow's maximalist demands would only embolden further aggression.
09:34Diplomatic and intelligence assessments from the United States and Europe suggest that Russia's
09:40strategy may ultimately aim at subjugating Ukraine or turning it into a weak, dependent state.
09:46These findings reinforce concerns that Moscow's objectives are fundamentally incompatible with Ukraine's
09:52sovereignty. Paragraph 6, 300 words. Analytical reports also emphasize that the Kremlin's
10:00expensive goals are driven by both strategic and ideological motivations. Militarily, control over
10:07Ukraine would provide Russia with greater depth and influence across Eastern Europe. Politically,
10:13weakening Ukraine would reduce Western influence in the region and challenge now its credibility.
10:18ideology. Ideologically, many experts argue that Russian leadership views Ukraine not as a fully
10:24independent nation but as part of a historical and cultural sphere that should remain under Moscow's
10:30control. These beliefs help explain why Russia's demands continue to escalate beyond initial territorial
10:37claims. Intelligence agencies in both the United States and Europe increasingly assess that Putin's
10:44long-term vision may involve restoring dominance over Ukraine or at least ensuring that it remains
10:49politically and economically dependent on Russia. Such ambitions suggest that even if a temporary
10:56agreement were reached over Donbass, the underlying conflict would remain unresolved. From this perspective,
11:03the watch is not merely about borders but about competing visions of Europe's future security order.
11:08Ukraine, backed by its partners, argues that accepting territorial losses would undermine
11:15international law and set a dangerous precedent. Western governments, while divided over tactics,
11:22largely agree that a peace in Moscow's demands would likely encourage further instability.
11:27As negotiations continue, the fundamental challenge remains balancing the desire for
11:32an immediate ceasefire with Zenith for a sustainable and just peace. Without addressing the broader
11:38strategic aims behind the conflict, any settlement risks becoming only a pause before renewed confrontation.
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