00:00What is the KMT looking to achieve, and is China looking to achieve anything as well?
00:04The KMT would...
00:05I want to demonstrate that they can bring deliverables for people...
00:10...in Taiwan.
00:11This may range from having local kinds of arrangements...
00:15...that skirt around the central government.
00:18This may involve...
00:20...certain kinds of concessions for certain industries.
00:24This may...
00:25...perhaps get some sort of CCP willingness...
00:30...to perhaps ease some of the pressure from Taiwan.
00:32Although I think the latter is probably less likely.
00:34And also we...
00:35...we're not really clear what sort of tangible benefit those may be...
00:38...whether it's meaningful.
00:40...in any way.
00:41So I guess the point is that the CCP might want to...
00:45...to signal that if you work with us...
00:47...if you accept CCP terms...
00:50...then benefits will come your way.
00:53And that's what it's done with...
00:55...in Hong Kong, for instance, in the past.
00:57We know that the KMT...
01:00...and the Chinese Communist Party are planning some sort of exchange.
01:03Right now it's looking like a think tank exchange.
01:05Why specifically do you think this has become such a controversy...
01:08...domestically in Taiwan?
01:10The KMT has been trying to make contact with the CCP for the...
01:15...longest time.
01:16They believe that their connections with the CCP is the way...
01:20...forward for Taiwan.
01:21Many people in Taiwan disagree with that.
01:23They also...
01:25...believe that the CCP in its...
01:29...as it works.
01:30...with the...
01:31...as it works with the KMT...
01:33...seeks to undermine Taiwan's political...
01:35...system.
01:36And certainly the...
01:38...controversies surrounding the...
01:40...KMT's blocking of the budget, including the defense budget...
01:43...seems to...
01:45...suggest to many people that the KMT is bending over backwards to...
01:50...to help sort of forward the CCP's aims.
01:54Of course there are...
01:55...porters who say that...
01:57...working with the CCP is the only way to perhaps guarantee...
02:00...some sort of safety for Taiwan.
02:02What do you think this exchange can mean moving...
02:05...going forward?
02:06We know that there's political deadlock right now in the legislature...
02:08...and we know that this is only a few months...
02:10...into Jung Lee-1's term as head of the KMT.
02:12So...
02:13...it's unclear...
02:14...uh...
02:15...what the CCP can first promise and keep to...
02:19...because...
02:20...a lot of the CCP promises...
02:21...there's no...
02:22...commitment.
02:23They can give and deliver.
02:24I think for...
02:25...if she's able to demonstrate that she's able to bring tangible benefits...
02:29...uh...
02:30...to...
02:30...to Taiwan...
02:31...and people on Taiwan because of these contacts...
02:33...uh...
02:34...with the...
02:35...CCP...
02:36...uh...
02:37...that...
02:38...would potentially boost her standing to the degree that she's...
02:40...unable to...
02:41...there is currently some dissatisfaction with the KMT...
02:44...if we look at the polls.
02:45...uh...
02:46...given what is seen as their...
02:47...obstructionism...
02:48...in the legislature.
02:49So the...
02:50...KMT would probably be eager to try to reverse that...
02:53...and the CCP to the extent...
02:55...that they believe that...
02:56...the KMT is a partner that they can work with...
02:58...in Taiwan...
02:59...will want to...
03:00...to help with the KMT's chances...
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