बेबाक भाषा के दो टूक कार्यक्रम में पत्रकार भाषा सिंह चर्चा कर रही हैं केरल में स्थानीय निकाय चुनावों की जिनमें सत्तारूढ़ वाम मोर्चा सरकार को हार मिली है। साथ ही बात तिरुवनंतपुरम नगर निगम में भाजपा की जीत की भी। #news #latestnews #newsanalysis #keralanews #keralapolitics #keralalocalbodyelections #keralalocalbodyelection2025 #keralabjp #keralaudf #keralaelection2026
00:00केरल में local bodies के जो elections हुए उसका result उसका परिणाम UDF यानि Congress के पक्ष में गया है
00:11और दूसरी तरफ वहां की जो पार्टी है जो ruling party है LDF उसे हार मिली है
00:18लेकिन देखिए हमारे देश के प्रधान मंत्री नरेन मोदी उनका यह tweet और BJP का जशन उससे ऐसा लगता है
00:26कि उन्होंने मानो अभी ही केरल फता कर लिया हो
00:30मोदी जी कह रहे हैं ठैंक यू केरल की जनता आपने BJP के उपर इतना ज़ादा विश्वास दिलाया
00:37और इसकी एक बहुत solid वज़ा है कि केरल की जो राजधानी है तिरू अनंत पुरम उस पर BJP का कबजा हुआ है
00:47पिछले 45 साल से यहां LDF यानि Left का जो Democratic Front है उसका कबजा था तिरू अनंत पुरम में
00:57और आज की तारीख में वहां भगवा लहरा रहा है क्या इसे समझा जाए कि केरल तृपुरा की राह में जा रहा है
01:06या BJP की यह जो जीत हुई है इसे इतना जादा बड़ा करके आखिर BJP क्यों दिखाना चाह रही है
01:16नमस्कार दोस्तों मैं आपकी दोस्त भाषा आप देख रहे हैं बेबाग भाषा पे दोटू कायक्रम आज सीधा सवाल ये कि क्या मोदी जी को लगा कि केरल का मतलब केरल की राजधानी तिरू अनंत पुरम है
01:28जहांकि लोकल बॉडी का जो इलेक्शन हुआ सिर्फ तिरू अनंत पुरम का वह BJP की शरणम गच्छामी गया है
01:37और इसके बास से बिलकुल जश्ट मना हुआ है कि मोदी जी के नेतृत में केरल फतह कर लिया गया है
01:45जबकि जो लोकल बॉडी का इलेक्शन हुआ उसका परिणाम साफ बता रहा है
01:50कि इन चुनाओ परिणामों की हिसाब से
01:54LDF यानि जिनका शाशन है पिनराई विजियन जो वहां की मुख्यमंत्री है
01:59उनकी पार्टी को हार मिली है लेकिन जीत मिली है कॉंग्रेस को
02:04कॉंग्रेस ने जो 900 ग्राम पंचायते हैं उसमें से 500 में जीत हासिल की है
02:11कॉंग्रेस ने 500 से अधिक और 300 के करीब या 300 से अधिक में LDF की है
02:18अगर ध्यान से देखिए तो बीजेपी ग्राम पंचायतों में 20 का आकड़ा भी पार नहीं कर पाई
02:25लेकिन निश्चित तोर पर यह जो जश्न बीजेपी में आज मन रहा है इसकी सॉलिड वज़ा है तिरू अनंत पुरम पर बीजेपी का कबजा होना
02:35यानि वहाँ जो लोकल बॉड़ी है उसमें जो जीत हासिल हुई है ऐसी कलपना बीजेपी ने कितनी की थी यह तो पता नहीं
02:42लेकिन कॉंग्रेस के जो वहाँ से सांसद है जो वीर सावरकर रिटर्न टाइप है अभी वीर सावरकर का नाम पर उनको पुरसकार मिल रहा था और सबसे पहले मोदी जी से भी पहले उन्होंने ही भारती जनता पार्टी को तिरुवनंत पुरम पर जीत के लिए ठैंक यू �
03:12आप में बड़ा जबरदस्त है कि जो पार्टी जिस पार्टी से चुनकर शशी थरूर पहुँचते हैं संसद यानि कॉंग्रेस हार जाती है तिरुवनंत पुरम ल्डिएफ हार जाती है तिरुवनंत पुरम बीजेपी जीती है और दे ग्रेट शशी थरूर जो बस मोदी �
03:42नो लाइने लिखते हैं कॉंग्रेस के लिए और 11 लाइने बढ़ाई की देते हैं बीजेपी के लिए इससे समझाता है कि बीजेपी का केरिल को लेकर क्या गेम plat है लेकिन ये बात सच है भारती जनता पार्टी का ग्राफ केरिल में बढ़ रहा है और उसकी solid वज़ें हैं उ
04:12कमनल एजेंडा मिलाकर अलग अलग जाती समूहों में काम है उसने रिजर्ड दिखाना शुरू किया है वैसे भी देश में जो संघिय डाचा है जो चेत्री पार्टियां हैं हुंके लिए अब सर्वाइव करना लगातार मुश्किल होता जा रहा है इस बारे में हमने बात की के
04:42आपका बहुत बहुत स्वागत है मैं I just wanted to know from you what is happening in Kerala, the BJP win in Thiruvanantpuram, how you look into this development?
04:59right so we have to see this development in the totality right not only Thiruvanantrum but the
05:06overall trend and also the history uh behind that uh particular uh constant uh corporation
05:13that there is a corporation where BJP is gaining momentum even the first uh seat in the assembly
05:20they forgot from Thiruvanantrum name of constituency where Orya Jawawal the former railway minister won
05:25so they consistently they have increasing their base in Thiruvanantrum and throughout the state also
05:30their number of uh the contesting seats number of seats they are winning and overall the vote
05:36share also it's increasing every year right it was in one digit earlier now it's in two digit
05:42so now they have first time they have gained one corporation uh in Kerala which is Thiruvanantrum
05:48they have one already two uh municipalities in Kerala one is in Paragat another is in Pandala where
05:54Shabarimana is located so now that that places are like it's not uh they are uh solely they could
06:03win this time but Thiruvanantrum corporation particularly uh they increase so this trend not
06:10only for the BJP but even the UDF gained right if we compare these three parties UDF gained this election
06:18so that clearly shows that it's an anti-income busy trend right that's the reason LDF uh by and
06:25large they have uh lost uh seats and also vote share also probably uh chances are there drastically reduced
06:33so this is the first time LDF government is in power continuously back to back right this is the first
06:39time in the history of Kerala politics but now this is the like uh nearing to the assembly election the next
06:45may is the assembly election so this is considered as a semi-final for that so this semi-final
06:51clearly shows that there is an anti-income city trend that's what the UDF got momentum throughout the
06:57state and particularly where BJP already have stronghold in certain pockets like Trivandrum,
07:03Palakad, Pandalam all those things there they have gained there also but if you see some other places
07:08for example the first MP uh from Trishur Suresh Gobi now the minister right they expected more seats
07:15from Trishur district but they couldn't as they expected UDF gained there so that this kind of things
07:22are there there was like controversy regarding Shabarimala the gold plate coating uh stolen uh that's a big
07:29controversy uh came out of late and some of the people from the left also trapped in that but
07:37for the public they got arrested it means that they are culprit so the people who are with uh the left
07:45some of the people are behind this corruption that's what people look at and all together like
07:51as i said and you would see and the BJP gained momentum also because of BJP's in power the
07:56Naryat Ramothi or the center government power factor also plays a role and consistency they are
08:02increasing their base on certain areas certain sex certain communities certain if i if i talk about
08:10the community Nitesh uh so what are the basic communities because uh some communities have been
08:16politically socially very vocal uh like uh nadar like uh eduba community so whether BJP has a stronghold
08:26in these communities definitely as far as we see throughout India right the upper
08:34caste from starting from practical sect and downwards right like in Kerala
08:41there are Nair community which is like major yeah Hindu community they are
08:46already with many of the people and many of their organizations in the snire
08:50service Society they are with the BJP already most of the people though it is
08:54not open like many people know that many of their leaders many of the
08:59organization that the NSS orders and leaders are aligned with BJP and off like
09:04this well Apple innovation he's here welcome a community you're welcome into
09:07leader sndp so sndp will a police son he is running a party bdjs it's a part of
09:15Indy they have contested in why not constancy and many other constant sales
09:19and definitely we know right Kerala is very religiously it's like a mix of
09:25population right so they're only in certain section of Christian community
09:31for example a Cantonese son John NDA but most of the majority of the Christian
09:36population is not with NDA probably issue-based they will be aligning with
09:39NDA supporting the Narendra Modi BJP and all but as a whole as a Christian
09:44community as a whole it's not with BJP but in the Hindu community yes this
09:50Nair community upper-caste is with the BJP and some places for example trivandrum
09:55itself we can see another community is with itself some of the people or sect
10:00with the BJP like that in the other district for example Palakkad it's like
10:04another Chetir community is there this one year this business people they are with
10:10it's a strong base for BJP so some section of the Hindus community itself
10:16is with the BJP one thing I want to know that the communal card for which BJP is
10:22known how they are playing or whether it is a hidden card in Kerala or it's an
10:28open card they are playing in Kerala yeah many people are aware like Hindu
10:35political Hindu Tua or whatever people call it's there but it's not so
10:41evident or explicit among the people they are not seeing that angle as such
10:45because there is no such incidence of one last thing whether you see that Kerala
10:50will can also vote Tripura way right we have to consider separately because
10:56Kerala is not Tripura right like like whatever sectors you take starting from
11:03education to employment all those things altogether different so left and
11:08the conquest has traditional base that cannot be eroded all of sudden right the
11:14community as I said and the religious sections whether Christians Muslims or
11:18they cannot completely taken all together all of sudden right that is not the
11:25case and even if you see this local body election right it's like their
11:30vote share is still definitely below 20 percentage may not be more than that
11:35so UDF and LDF share having the most of the vote share in this even out of 900
11:42plus Panchayat in Kerala BJP is having only less than 50 UDF has 500 plus
11:48LDF still has 300 plus so how this can be shifted so quickly and assembly
11:55election they were having zero seats in the last year celebration BJP yeah so
12:01LDF cannot be defeated so quickly like any other place because they have like you
12:08know right the communism movement started itself in Kerala Kano so they have
12:13traditions of basis like how BJP is having among some community and religion
12:20for all of them they have as a group of refugees and go to the ?
12:24that's if you can think about it
12:26so probably and which most of your population is different
12:27remember that all of this is a very important thing to do
12:30because of this all we're doing is that co-conditioning
12:31here in Indonesia it's a very important thing to do
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