00:00What if China and the United States went to war over Taiwan?
00:26Well, a top-secret Pentagon document claims to have the answer.
00:34And trust me, it's not the answer Washington wanted to hear.
00:39Who would win a U.S.-China war over Taiwan?
00:43A highly classified overmatch brief has reportedly leaked from inside the U.S. Department of Defense.
00:50According to the report, in simulations of a war over Taiwan, China comes out on top.
00:56Yep, China.
00:59The document says China's massive arms production and ultra-cheap advanced weapons could overwhelm
01:06America's most expensive and sophisticated systems.
01:10China is pumping out advanced weapons at a rate and cost the U.S. simply can't match.
01:22The report points to hypersonic glide missiles, reportedly 40x cheaper than U.S. versions,
01:29dense missile arsenals, mass-produced drones and submarines.
01:35The conclusion?
01:36U.S. jets, ships, and even satellites could be left dangerously exposed.
01:42In multiple war games described in the brief, the U.S. Navy's most advanced aircraft carrier,
01:48the USS Gerald R. Ford, is destroyed early in the conflict.
01:53China's diesel-electric submarines and hypersonic missiles reportedly overwhelm it before it can
01:59even get close to Taiwan.
02:02And that's not all.
02:03The report warns the U.S. depends too heavily on expensive, complex weapons, while China floods
02:09the battlefield with numbers.
02:12President Xi Jinping has repeatedly said Taiwan will be reunified with China by 2027 if necessary,
02:20and Beijing is practicing for it.
02:25Recent satellite imagery shows massive invasion barges called water bridges linking together
02:31to form a kilometer-long causeway, civilian ferries rehearsing troop landings, warships
02:38gathering in the Philippine Sea, amphibious drills at dawn involving troops and armored vehicles.
02:44It looks like a full-scale dress rehearsal.
02:49The U.S. has promised to help defend Taiwan, though it keeps things vague under strategic
02:54ambiguity.
02:55Japan's prime minister has even suggested Tokyo might intervene if Taiwan is attacked,
03:01sparking anger from Beijing.
03:04Add in global tensions over Ukraine, and experts warned the slightest miscalculation could trigger
03:10a conflict with worldwide consequences.
03:13So, who would win?
03:17According to the leaked Pentagon brief, China wins in a fight over Taiwan.
03:21But, and this is important, war is unpredictable.
03:25Alliances, technology, geography, and political decisions can flip everything.
03:30What the leak really shows is this.
03:32Tensions are rising, China is preparing, and the world is inching closer to the most dangerous
03:39military standoff of the century.
03:41What do you think?
03:42Could a U.S.-China war actually happen?
03:45And who would win in reality?
04:04I think it is.
04:06I think our own
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