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AI Chip Race Heats Up With Amazon's Trainium3
Bloomberg
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7 weeks ago
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00:00
So did Amazon manage to solidify its prowess when it comes to vertical integration, cloud and chip
00:06
offering? Well, they seem to be doing a really excellent job of that. And what's interesting
00:11
about what Matt just said is they're going to let customer demand drive, you know, how they build out
00:17
these different capabilities for AI applications, which tells us that there are going to be
00:24
different models purposed to different types of workloads. So everybody's thinking, oh,
00:29
NVIDIA is the market dominant player right now. They have massive market share and they're treating
00:35
it like it's one sort of big thing that's homogenous. And I think what people are going to
00:40
realize over time is that there are going to be different types of models for different workloads
00:43
and different chips will be useful for developing such different models and for running those models
00:49
for doing the inference. So I think there's a lot of room for different chip players here. And we
00:54
should expect more of the in-house chips like what Amazon does in collaboration with Marvell
01:00
or what Google does in collaboration with Broadcom to continue to rise in prominence as we've been
01:05
seeing in the recent news coverage. I mean, yeah, let's talk about Marvell out with earnings, out with
01:09
also a key purchase of Celestial AI that's all about lasers and can talk in lasers a little bit more.
01:15
But are we seeing ASICs really starting to put a concern towards NVIDIA? Should they be threatened
01:21
by this custom built model? Well, no company likes any kind of competition, right? So I'm sure NVIDIA
01:27
would just be happier if they didn't exist. But clearly, look, ASICs are very powerful. That stands
01:33
for application-specific integrated circuit, right? So these, I believe, these kind of XPUs or TPUs
01:40
are going to be designed and going to be put to use for the type of applications in AI for which
01:46
they're best designed. So it's clearly the case that NVIDIA is going to lose share over time
01:54
in the big world of AI compute. But nobody should be surprised by that. And the pie is still growing
02:00
so massively. They can't meet demand. They're unlikely to be able to meet demand for some years
02:05
to come. And so there's a lot of room for ASIC approaches to play roles in various types of models.
02:11
So we should expect that. Before we talk more lasers, I want to go back to where we sort of
02:16
started. The fact that you're getting specific chips for specific applications, but also specific
02:20
models. And I think there's some threat in the market today around Microsoft's other part of
02:25
the flywheel. Because everyone thinks Microsoft's got a very strong cloud offering. And clearly,
02:29
we've seen Azure not be able to fill demand with its supply. But we're now worried just basically
02:34
about the applications, about companies being willing to pay more for these AI agents and actually
02:39
the use of AI. What are you hearing in the market? How much does that impact your sector
02:44
of chips?
02:46
There is a lot of sporadic, I should say, information about how much AI agents and AI is being used
02:53
in different settings. So, right, there was a story today about how Microsoft has reduced
02:59
its sales targets for getting AI agents to be adopted by their customers. And so that has
03:05
people concerned. Salesforce, similarly, is trying to roll out their AI agent capabilities. And some
03:12
people are wondering whether that's going to happen. But there are so many other applications
03:15
in addition to those kind of smart helper AI agents. And I think the earlier in the week announcement
03:22
with NVIDIA and Synopsys is a good example of that, right? The industrial uses, whether it's these
03:28
digital twins, basically being able to model out a whole factory or a whole building or any other
03:34
physical presence in simulation, you need this kind of computational power, you need AI.
03:39
And so that kind of collaboration, I think, really points to lots of other applications
03:44
for AI. And then you go to biotech and pharma and, you know, computation, we've just been held back
03:51
for so many years by its limitations from the CPU side. And now that we have these GPU-based
03:56
accelerators and innovations in fabric, like what Celestial is bringing to Marvell and what Broadcom
04:02
already does, is speeding up all of these computations, making far more applications possible
04:07
across all industries.
04:09
And some would say limitations have been in the fabrication in the United States,
04:13
energy just making sure that we've got more solid and trustworthy supply chains. I think about just
04:20
the news also earlier this week, $150 million stake in a chip startup by Pat Gelsinger. Of course,
04:25
we all know him from Intel. But the U.S. is making that investment in X-Lite, a startup. Joanne, you have some
04:31
real insight as to how this technology is being put forward. It's all about lithography, taking on ASML.
04:38
Yeah, so X-Lite is developing a new laser technology. And that is a fundamental ingredient to doing
04:45
lithography, right? ASML being the leader in extreme ultraviolet lithography, which depends on these very high-end
04:51
lasers. So X-Lite's taking a different approach to laser development. And what's interesting is, and also
04:55
reminds me of my past, is that this $150 million investment by the federal government, by the Chips and
05:02
Science Act, the work is going to be done at a place called Albany Nanotech, which is where I got my start
05:08
in the semiconductor industry, you know, 20-plus years ago. And it's a location for collaborative R&D,
05:15
for development of new manufacturing techniques, development of new materials,
05:19
development of new recipes for designing and building chips. And it's all the major players
05:25
in the industry are there, and it's pre-competitive. And so for X-Lite and Pat Gelsinger to be doing it
05:30
there with the support of the federal government, sort of enhances this model of get some public
05:36
support for a technology that can be spread and help the industry, broadly speaking, and does go
05:45
towards this effort to enable more chip equipment design and manufacturing to eventually occur in the
05:51
United States. It's going to take a long time. These programs, you know, as I was involved with back in
05:55
the early 2000s, they take many years. But it's a great way for the U.S. to subsidize a general
06:02
technology, which could ultimately help the U.S. position in equipment manufacturing.
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