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Never Seen Affordability Crisis Like This: Fmr. HUD Sec.
Bloomberg
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4 hours ago
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News
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00:00
So affordability, it's always part of the conversation in any election cycle.
00:05
But you think about affordability right now, especially when it comes to home ownership,
00:09
when it comes to first-time homebuyers, it's a particularly urgent question.
00:15
I would say it's the number one economic issue in the country.
00:18
And when we talk about affordability, there's no bigger cost for the average American family
00:23
than their home, right?
00:24
And so housing really is driving this conversation.
00:28
And I would say it drove our elections a month ago.
00:31
It drove our elections a year ago.
00:32
We called it an inflation election.
00:34
But our inflation problem has been a housing problem for the last few years.
00:39
Probably a safe bet, too, to think it's going to drive our elections a year from now, too,
00:42
when we get to those midterms.
00:44
But talk us through the different dynamics here, especially when it comes to supply and demand,
00:49
because one of the big narratives out there is just that there's not enough housing supply
00:53
to meet that demand.
00:55
Well, you've got three big things going on.
00:57
We haven't built enough housing in this country since the Great Recession,
01:00
so we have a supply gap.
01:02
We're seeing costs go up dramatically.
01:04
And that's not just the costs to build housing.
01:07
It's insurance.
01:08
It's utilities.
01:10
It's labor.
01:11
It's all the things that go into operating housing.
01:13
And so it's become more and more expensive for homeowners to meet their monthly bills,
01:18
even if they're already in a home, much less get into one.
01:21
And it's true for renters, too, that the cost of maintaining rental housing has gone up dramatically.
01:25
We've never seen an affordability crisis like this in the history of keeping the numbers.
01:30
With regards, though, to the solutions, where do those solutions come from?
01:33
Do they come from the federal government, or did these need to be at the local level?
01:36
Yes.
01:37
The answer is both.
01:38
All right.
01:38
Well, right now, we have no HUD, as I'm sure you've noticed.
01:41
That's been completely gutted.
01:43
So let's take the federal government out of it.
01:44
And let's talk about New York City.
01:46
We have a new mayor that's going to be inaugurated at the start of the year.
01:49
He ran on a campaign of housing affordability.
01:51
He has some bold, if not controversial, ideas, particularly when it comes to protecting renters
01:56
and particularly when it comes to, at least in his view, what he thinks he can do to force
02:00
the building of affordable housing.
02:01
Do you think he can do it?
02:03
Well, look, we're going to see.
02:05
But one thing I was encouraged about is that on the day of the election, he announced that
02:10
he'd supported a set of ballot measures here that are all focused on building more housing.
02:14
It's one thing to talk about freezing the rent for people who already have housing.
02:20
It's a different thing to try and say, how are we going to build more housing?
02:23
How are we going to bring costs down?
02:25
And that's what he's got to be able to do.
02:27
I want to just play devil's advocate here for a second, because I've had this conversation
02:30
with a lot of folks.
02:31
And one of the concerns with regards to a build out of more affordable housing, and I'm talking
02:35
about purchase properties that people would purchase, not rentals, this idea that as
02:40
that supply comes in, you don't necessarily going to see a drop in overall prices, that
02:45
effectively the market will rise up to a certain extent to meet that new supply, effectively
02:50
keeping prices elevated.
02:52
Well, there's no question that it takes a while to build housing.
02:56
And so you're not going to see it as an immediate solution.
02:58
But in the long run, it's absolutely clear that we don't have enough housing.
03:03
The estimates are somewhere between 3 million units and 7 million units that we're short.
03:08
But everybody agrees that we have too little housing, and the laws of supply and demand
03:12
do work.
03:12
But what's the incentive to build?
03:13
I'm talking for private companies using their own money.
03:16
Can this be done alone on their end, or do you need the federal government doing this?
03:21
Well, look, first, we have to get government out of the way, right?
03:25
Get them out of the way.
03:26
That means less regulation.
03:29
Zoning has to change.
03:31
We've seen that happening in red states and blue states across the country.
03:34
And so, for example, the governor of Montana, a very red state, got rid of most single-family
03:41
zoning and parking requirements.
03:42
We're seeing governors like Newsom get rid of environmental protections that are allowing
03:48
more housing to get built.
03:50
We're seeing New York City do the same thing.
03:52
So that's part of it.
03:53
But the government also has to play a strong role, too.
03:56
And here's the thing.
03:57
When was the last time you saw Congress act almost unanimously on something?
04:02
I haven't seen Congress act at all on anything.
04:05
Well, here we go.
04:06
This summer, they passed the biggest...
04:09
You know what?
04:09
You know the last time they acted?
04:10
Here's my joke.
04:11
It was when you still had red hair.
04:15
That's a long time ago.
04:16
I won't take it personally.
04:18
But look, here's...
04:19
And not enough is being reported about this, in my view.
04:22
A few weeks ago, we had Tim Scott and Elizabeth Warren sponsor the most comprehensive housing
04:29
bill we've seen in a generation, and it passed unanimously out of their committee.
04:34
I'll say that again.
04:35
Unanimously.
04:35
When was the last time you saw that?
04:37
And this past summer, we saw the biggest increase in the low-income housing tax credit
04:41
that we've seen in 25 years.
04:42
That's 1.2 million units.
04:44
So there is something the federal government can do.
04:47
And I think what's unusual about this crisis, we've always had the problem here on the coasts,
04:52
right?
04:52
But it is everywhere in this country in a way that I've never seen, and that means it is
04:57
more bipartisan.
04:58
We just heard Michael Dell talking about the bipartisan interest in helping children, right?
05:05
That is absolutely true on housing right now.
05:08
And in a world where homeownership is disappearing as an option for building savings for more and
05:13
more people, we've got to look at other ways to do that.
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