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  • 9 months ago
US President Donald Trump has ordered the first US nuclear tests since the 1990s. It has the United States' nuclear rivals cautious and the UN alarmed. But there are signs that lifting a longstanding taboo on testing could have an unintended consequence: giving China an opportunity to advance its own arsenal.
Transcript
00:00Capping off a whirlwind Asia trip with a nuclear surprise.
00:06U.S. President Donald Trump has ordered new tests of U.S. weapons after a 33-year freeze.
00:11It's been decades since the world's three leading nuclear powers, Russia, the U.S., and China, have done nuclear tests.
00:18The sudden order came just before a meeting with China's President Xi Jinping in South Korea.
00:23While in the air Thursday, Trump told reporters about his thinking.
00:26It had to do with others. They seem to all be nuclear testing.
00:31We have more nuclear weapons than anybody. We don't do testing.
00:35We've halted it years, many years ago.
00:38But with others doing testing, I think it's appropriate that we do also.
00:43Arms monitors generally agree it's actually Russia, not the U.S., that has the world's biggest nuclear arsenal.
00:49And while Moscow has recently tested a nuclear-powered torpedo and a nuclear-capable cruise missile,
00:54post-Soviet Russia has never done a nuclear test.
00:59The Kremlin suggested Trump may be misinformed,
01:02and said that Russia won't take the return of U.S. tests after so many years lightly.
01:08The U.S. is a sovereign country, which has the right to make its sovereign decisions.
01:13But I want to recall President Putin's statement, which has been repeated many times.
01:18If someone departs from the moratorium, Russia will act accordingly.
01:24China says it hopes the U.S. tests won't go ahead.
01:28Beijing's doubled its arsenal over the past five years,
01:30and last year launched an ICBM over the Pacific.
01:34But it, too, stopped nuclear testing in the 1990s.
01:37And now, it's appealing to a test-ban treaty the U.S. has signed, but never ratified.
01:42The U.S. has signed, but never ratified the U.S. has signed, but never ratified the U.S.
02:01At the United Nations, strong rejection of Trump's plan.
02:05The global body says tests not only heightened the risk of a disastrous conflict,
02:09but have also caused harm.
02:10Outcry over testing's impact to human health and the environment
02:14is one reason why it's largely stopped since the 1990s.
02:18The Secretary General has repeatedly asserted that current nuclear risks
02:21are already alarmingly high,
02:24and all actions that could lead to miscalculation or escalation
02:27with catastrophic consequences must be avoided.
02:30And as he has said, we must never forget the disastrous legacy
02:34of over 2,000 nuclear weapons tests carried out over the last 80 years,
02:38and that nuclear testing can never be permitted under any circumstances.
02:45This doesn't seem likely to sway the U.S., with Vice President J.D. Vance saying
02:50it's just about making sure the arsenal still works like it's supposed to.
02:54The Russians have a large nuclear arsenal.
02:56The Chinese have a large nuclear arsenal.
02:57Sometimes you've got to test it to make sure that it's functioning and working properly.
03:01We've been working very closely, even with nations that we don't have the best relations with,
03:06to try to limit nuclear proliferation.
03:08The president's going to keep on working on that.
03:10But analysts say the U.S. can check up on its arsenal without having to explode anything.
03:16This has led some to think what Trump actually meant to say
03:19was that the U.S. would test nuclear delivery platforms,
03:22like the missiles that carry warheads.
03:24But one analyst warns that if Trump does indeed intend to restart explosive testing,
03:29it could hand China a big opportunity.
03:33China has done less than 100 nuclear tests.
03:36And a lot of Chinese experts and officials have pointed out that China might be at a disadvantage
03:41in terms of knowledge of its arsenal and weapons designs,
03:44because it just doesn't have as much testing data.
03:47And so if the taboo against nuclear testing was broken,
03:50if there was a return to more nuclear tests,
03:54China stands to gain way more from this than the United States would.
03:58Trump's policy pronouncements can often be hard to parse,
04:01at least until more official information is publicly available.
04:05But now, after a long lull,
04:07it seems a new age of nuclear testing could be on the way,
04:10with the end result hard to predict.
04:13Andy Xue and John Van Trieste for Taiwan Plus.
04:16Aisoo –
04:29Aisoo –
04:31Aisoo –
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