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Firms Need to Manage 'Outsized Moves' in Leveraged ETFs: Defiance CEO
Bloomberg
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16 hours ago
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00:00
Sylvia, this is a passively managed fund, but I look at the holdings, and as Katie pointed out,
00:04
there are a lot of electric companies, construction companies, and you've got the chip makers as well,
00:09
like NVIDIA, like Broadcom. What's the thinking behind the chip makers having a lower weighting,
00:14
14 percent, versus machinery companies having about 22 percent?
00:19
Yeah, well, so the thesis behind this ETF is that this is where the puck is going in AI. This is
00:23
that next AI trade, right? So for anyone who thinks that AI might be crowded, this is where you should
00:28
look, because it's going to take a lot to power data centers. It's going to take a lot to power the
00:32
AI revolution. So McKinsey came out and said there will be 6.7 trillion of capex that's needed for
00:38
this, and 5.1 trillion of that is going to be in AI. And it's mostly going to be around energy,
00:43
renewable energies, you know, electrical grids, the kind of nuts and bolts that are required to
00:49
power AI. But then the second part of it is obviously chips, right? You need chips to run
00:53
the data centers. And so we wanted to include that to actually give a pure play for AI and power
00:58
infrastructure. And it's interesting to that point to see REITs here as one of your smallest
01:04
weightings in terms of industry groups, weightings that only has about 2 percent. It feels like a lot
01:09
of folks have been looking for exposure to data centers and the boom that we're seeing there
01:13
through REITs, not necessarily the CTF, though. Yeah. And so that's just a small part of this.
01:19
I would say that the biggest chunk of it is you looked at some of those top holdings in there.
01:23
You mentioned them like GE Vernova, Qantas services. You know, these are the names that
01:27
are actually going to power the AI data centers. They're going to power the innovation behind AI
01:32
and REITs are a smaller part of it. I think that they play more into the connectivity part of this
01:37
equation. And so maybe investors who are looking for that exposure will will look there as well.
01:41
I need to ask you about leverage single stock ETFs, because that's a space that defines as a big
01:46
player in. And obviously, we've seen we just talked with Isabel Lee about how there are all these
01:51
filings for five times leverage, three times leverage when that doesn't actually exist in the U.S.
01:58
In terms of how far you can get with those kinds of filings right now, the government is shut down.
02:04
So is there just no response? The issuers are just filing and throwing it out there and seeing what
02:10
happens? Well, so to date, a lot of issuers have filed for different products, whether they're
02:15
single name levered ETFs or other ETFs. And, you know, in terms of what has come to market,
02:21
a lot of these filings are new. So we still have about 75 days or so before any of the issuers
02:26
actually have to make a decision in terms of to bring it to market or not. And I think, you know,
02:30
we're all kind of hoping that we get some SEC feedback and SEC back in office before that
02:35
happens. So nobody's actually launched anything without the SEC's blessing, to my knowledge.
02:40
And we did hear Kevin Hassett on CNBC this morning saying that perhaps the shutdown
02:44
will end this week. That's a big if. But of course, 75 days is a long time. I am curious,
02:50
though, you think about the experience of the Granite Shares product that was listed
02:54
in Europe. That was three times inverse exposure to AMD, basically forcibly having to liquidate and
03:01
delist. And I wonder, you know, as you're putting together these filings, I know there's not much you
03:05
can say specifically about an active filing. But when you're thinking about new products that you might
03:10
ask for permission for, seek to launch, how much are you thinking about potential blow up risk?
03:16
Well, I think any issuer that works with levered inverse products has to think about this. And you
03:21
have to have a plan for outsized intraday moves that, you know, in your last segment, I heard you
03:25
say, if you have a 20% move in a 5x fund, you wipe out the whole fund, right? So we're very much
03:32
aware of the risk of the products and the different mechanisms that we have in place in order to manage
03:37
the product should that happen. And if you notice with the defiance filings, it's target, right? The
03:42
word target is in there for a reason. So there may be a day where actions have to take place to
03:47
preserve the fund for for the investor and essentially not wipe out the fund in the event
03:52
of a sizable move. And so what I would say is most of our peers and competitors have a similar type
03:57
of strategy in place. I don't think, you know, we're looking to have those types of outsized moves
04:03
to wipe out a fund. It very much feels like these leveraged single stock ETFs are targeted for retail
04:07
investors who have taken on, you know, this class of funds with a lot of gusto. But if retail
04:12
investors go dormant, would institutional investors be able, be willing to pick up the slack?
04:17
You know, just looking at the different trading activity across the levered and inverse funds. Yes, there's a lot of
04:22
popularity in the retail sector, but there is an equal or higher amount of interest and trading that happens in the
04:30
institutional space, whether it's high frequency traders, hedge funds, our desks. It's still very much an
04:35
institutional play. It has just attracted retail. And what I would say is not all retail is the same. Like there are
04:41
these very sophisticated day traders out there that are comfortable with leverage, have used higher leverage points with
04:46
things like futures and ETNs and such in the past. And so, you know, they tend to understand the risks of these products. All of
04:52
that is very public and out there. And, you know, we want to make sure that those messages are out there too for the average retail
04:57
investor.
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