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Japan Is The 'Anti-Bubble': WisdomTree' Schwartz
Bloomberg
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18 hours ago
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00:00
On the year, you've still seen basically flat flows on Japan.
00:04
So I think this is one of the opportunities that, hey, it's been an under love segment again.
00:09
And that it's, you know, people talk about the AI bubble, quote unquote.
00:13
I don't think it's a bubble, but people think about the U.S. markets being expensive.
00:17
I think Japan is the anti-bubble.
00:19
Like they are, when I look at DXJ, it's got a PE of 14 and a half.
00:23
We launched another Japan Opportunities Fund that has all the Buffett stocks.
00:27
He's brought more interest in Japan than anybody else.
00:30
That OPJ, OPPJ, has a PE of 12 and a half.
00:34
So literally half the S&P PE.
00:36
They are doing good things for shareholders.
00:39
And Takaiichi, if she really does get some of these lower taxes, higher spending,
00:44
tries to get the Bank of Japan not to hike as aggressively as people thought,
00:48
that could be a very bullish setup for the economy.
00:51
And it's a very cheap market.
00:53
So it's got a lot of things going for it.
00:55
I want to talk about a little bit more how the currency plays into this, though,
00:59
just when it comes to Japanese equities overall, and then also how it affects your hedged ETFs as well.
01:05
Because the yen has been really hard to keep pulse of.
01:08
And there was an interesting quote from Ken Peng, who is head of investment strategy for Asia at Citigroup's wealth management unit,
01:15
giving the quote to Bloomberg, that I'm not using the yen as a risk barometer much anymore.
01:20
So it feels like the profile of the yen has changed a little bit.
01:24
And I wonder if you're seeing that show up in terms of how investors are viewing your currency hedged products.
01:30
Well, betting on the yen for the last 13 years has maybe been the single greatest mistake ETF investors have made.
01:39
If you look at the unhedged Japan since Abe first came in in 2012, the unhedged Japan funds are up 7.5% a year.
01:46
DXJ is up 15% a year, beating the S&P 500.
01:51
Tell me how many international funds have beat the S&P 500 for 13 years, which leads to like a 510 versus a 160% return.
02:00
So people have been wrong on the yen basically for 13 years.
02:04
People have no idea what these currencies are going to do.
02:07
You get paid to hedge the yen.
02:09
And so I just feel like people have gotten this currency completely wrong for a long time.
02:13
And they just bet on the yen too much.
02:15
Who knows what these things are going to do?
02:18
And, you know, you get paid to hedge.
02:20
Like you're getting paid almost 4% today.
02:23
This carry from the Fed having higher rates than Japan.
02:26
Yes, it's come down from 5% to 6%.
02:28
But you're still getting paid to take a risk off the table.
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