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China’s fourth plenum green agenda: "China is the global leader"
CGTN Europe
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3 months ago
CGTN Europe interviewed Kingsmill Bond, Energy Strategist for Ember
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00:00
Let's talk now to Kingsmill Bond, an energy strategist at the think tank Ember.
00:06
Kingsmill, welcome back, good to see you.
00:07
So this fourth plenum discussing the 15th five-year plan,
00:12
I mean, just from an outside perspective,
00:14
how significant are these plans historically in shaping China's green goals?
00:21
Well, they are, of course, vital, as your correspondent, Gem, just pointed out.
00:25
The last one was the prelude to an absolutely extraordinary surge in Chinese electrotech deployment.
00:32
So, yeah, we're watching it with bated breath.
00:35
President Xi recently announcing China's first absolute emissions reduction target,
00:42
cutting greenhouse gases by between 7% and 10% by the year 2035.
00:47
Just how meaningful is that?
00:50
So this is extremely significant because OECD greenhouse gas production has been falling, actually, since 2008.
01:01
China is the pivot nation in the global system.
01:04
So as soon as China goes from peak to decline, which is the implication, clearly, of President Xi's statements,
01:10
it's a very significant moment.
01:11
The other point to be made, generally, is that China tends to exceed, unlike most countries,
01:16
China tends to exceed its targets.
01:17
So, in fact, we think that, as so often in this transition,
01:22
China is likely to far exceed the targets that are being set.
01:26
We're seeing the United States rolling back on climate commitments.
01:31
I mean, does China see an opportunity to position itself as the global leader on climate?
01:39
Well, China is the global leader in the deployment of the core solutions to solve the climate problem.
01:48
So it is de facto the global leader.
01:50
It produces 90% of the technology.
01:52
And as a number of people have pointed out,
01:54
the Chinese $200 billion of investment in FDI, in electrotech,
02:01
in the emerging markets and in other countries, is the same size as U.S. Marshall Plan.
02:07
So this is a massive commitment of China to deploy this technology all across the world.
02:12
It's very significant.
02:14
And it is the story about the wider benefits, isn't it?
02:17
This isn't just a China story.
02:20
Yeah, it's a global story.
02:22
So what China is doing is two things.
02:23
It's both sort of showing what can be done,
02:26
how you can deploy solar and wind,
02:28
how you can electrify your end demand,
02:32
where China is a definitely inspirational leader.
02:35
And it's also providing the technology very, very cheaply,
02:39
so that other countries, notably Pakistan, most famously,
02:42
but also actually increasingly and recently,
02:44
sub-Saharan Africa is deploying Chinese solar panels.
02:46
And we're now seeing this electric vehicle market,
02:49
where China has gone from nowhere six years ago
02:52
to be the leader in global car exports.
02:54
And it's now Chinese EVs are now pouring into the emerging markets
02:58
with market share of electric vehicles now reaching 70%, 80%
03:01
in some of these jurisdictions.
03:03
So it is a real opportunity for other countries to leapfrog
03:06
to a superior energy system.
03:09
And it's also worth saying that for these countries,
03:11
these energy technologies are harnessing domestic sunshine
03:14
and domestic wind and domestic electrification.
03:17
So it is actually, for these countries,
03:20
a way to escape fossil fuel dependency as well.
03:23
Kingsmill, good to see you.
03:24
Thanks so much for coming back on the programme.
03:26
Kingsmill Bond, the energy strategist,
03:28
at the think tank Ember.
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