Prashant Kishor's Big Poll Prediction: Nitish's JD(U) To Fall Below 25 Seats, NDA To Lose

This special report focuses on a political analysis of the upcoming Bihar Assembly elections, featuring key figures like Prashant Kishor, Nitish Kumar, and Tejashwi Yadav. The speaker, identified as political strategist Prashant Kishor, predicts significant losses for the ruling NDA, stating, ‘I can say with certainty that...Nitish Kumar will not return as chief minister.’. Kishor's analysis attributes the JD(U)'s reduced tally in the 2020 polls to the 'Chirag Paswan factor', where the LJP fielded candidates specifically against the JD(U), causing its numbers to drop to 43. He argues that his Jan Suraj party will now play a similar, but more organized, role against a politically and physically weaker Nitish Kumar, further eroding the JD(U)'s and BJP's seat count. The report delves into the numbers from the 2020 election and evaluates Kishor's forecast for a major political shift in Bihar.