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  • 2 days ago
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00:00Seattle and New Orleans.
00:01Let me just say this, okay?
00:03A little spread math, if I may.
00:04Week number one, the Saints at home catch six and a half from the Cardinals.
00:09I bet New Orleans in that game they had a chance to cover,
00:11but ultimately did not.
00:12They're now in Seattle, right?
00:14In some spots, seven, seven and a half.
00:16And people are like, whoa, too many points.
00:18Look, guys, I don't think so.
00:22I think this game, Donnie, is a representation of survivor pools
00:25telling people if it looks too good to be true,
00:29it is too good to be true, and I know that that can happen.
00:32I think I do not see a world where the Saints,
00:35who have not covered yet,
00:36get their first win of the season in Seattle.
00:41That would just be totally stunning to me.
00:44Ken Walker, by the way, knows Zach Charbonnet, should run wild.
00:47No, he should.
00:47And also, Kevin, we'll play this fun game again.
00:49New Orleans' first two games, where do they play?
00:50Oh, Dome.
00:51Dome, going on the road in a tough environment
00:53where usually the crowd advantage is on your side,
00:55now it's on the opposite side.
00:56But we have a little segment coming up here on Sell Me Something,
00:59which I do like about this game,
01:00so I don't want to tip the people off just yet.
01:02I look at the 41.5, and I think that's an interesting number.
01:05Most people say, oh, that's a dead under here.
01:07Is it really at this point?
01:08Now, Jackson Smith and Jigba last night came down with an illness.
01:11That's one to keep an eye on.
01:12Before the season, one of my first tweets of the NFL year was,
01:15750 yards for Jackson Smith and Jigba this year.
01:17Why are we going over?
01:18Back-to-back 100-yard weeks.
01:19I think he has a big game, but you don't want to be left with,
01:22hey, he's on a pitch count today.
01:24Hey, he's only on third downs.
01:25I really, really like the Seattle defense.
01:27This is why I trust them in this game.
01:29Banged up in the secondary, though.
01:31They're still, to me, though, Donnie,
01:32talented enough through all three levels
01:34with a very, very good head coach in McDonald,
01:36where I think they should be in a good spot.
01:39Chargers-Broncos, it's a field goal number, 45.5.
01:43This is my top stay-away game.
01:44I like the Chargers a lot more coming into the season
01:46than the Denver Broncos.
01:47This number opened a little bit light.
01:49It's been shot up to three.
01:51We'll see what L.A. looks like defensively
01:53with Khalil Mack out now for a full game.
01:55What are you thinking?
01:56The two games that I look at and say,
01:58Donnie, just read the line.
02:00And it's the first game we talked about
02:01was Pittsburgh and New England.
02:02Why is New England not a favorite in this game?
02:04Why is all the tickets coming in
02:05and the ticket counts here on New England
02:07and a lot moving?
02:08That worries me.
02:09This game worries me as well.
02:11No better team right now getting positive PR
02:12than the Chargers.
02:13Well, look at them out here.
02:15Dismantling of the Kansas City Chiefs.
02:16And boy, they just toyed around
02:18with the Raiders last week.
02:19Oh, the Broncos lost to the Colts.
02:21Why is that line only two and a half?
02:23Home field advantage, two and a half.
02:24Look at the ticket count, Kevin.
02:25Seven out of every ten tickets
02:26approximately coming in here on the Chargers.
02:28Why isn't this line a stone cold three
02:30across the board?
02:31I got to tell you,
02:31if I'm just reading the line on this game,
02:33I won't have any wagers,
02:34not even a prop bet.
02:35It would be the Denver Broncos.
02:36I do think it's a little bit tied, though,
02:37to the early season love that Denver have,
02:39which I didn't share in.
02:40So, again, why I'm staying away.
02:42Let's fit this in, Donnie.
02:43Down to one and a half again.
02:44Niners, Cardinals.
02:45No Jawan Jennings.
02:46San Fran banged up.
02:49Are you betting this one?
02:50No, I'm not betting it,
02:50but by the way,
02:51if you're ever going to step up,
02:53you need to step up here in this spot, right?
02:54We're in a division game on the road
02:56at this point right now
02:56with the other team's damaged goods.
02:58Yeah, I'm not playing this game.
02:59I would say, though,
03:00keep eyes on both Marvin Harrison Jr.
03:02and Ricky Pearsall,
03:03a couple of year two wide receivers
03:04in this game.
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