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  • 4 months ago
The US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point on Sept 17 and indicated it will steadily lower borrowing costs for the rest of this year, as policymakers responded to concerns about weakness in the job market in a move that won support from most of President Donald Trump's central bank appointees.

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00:00In support of our goals and in light of the shift in the balance of risks, today
00:06At today's meeting, the committee decided to lower the target range for the federal funds rate
00:24By a quarter percentage point to four to four and a quarter percent and to continue reducing the size of our balance sheet
00:32We did welcome a new committee member today, as we always do, and the committee remains united in pursuing our dual mandate goals
00:40We're strongly committed to maintaining our independence and beyond that I really don't have anything to share
00:45It is such an unusual situation
00:47Ordinarily, when the labor market is weak, inflation is low
00:52And when the labor market is really strong, that's when you've got to be careful about inflation
00:56So we have a situation where we have two-sided risk
00:59And that means there's no risk-free path
01:02And so it's quite a difficult situation for policymakers
01:06And it's not at all surprising to me that you have a range of views
01:12It's not so much about having different views for the path of the economy
01:16But it's partly that
01:17But it's also partly about what's the right thing to do in light of this
01:21Of the tension between the two goals
01:23The stock market's doing more or less what I would have expected
01:33We didn't get the 50 basis point cut, which would have been a shocker
01:37We got exactly what we expected
01:38We were at these similar levels before the Fed announcement
01:44We got a little bit of a spike right after the announcement
01:48We got a sell-off, which is what I would have expected
01:51Buy on rumor, sell on news
01:53Everyone in the entire world knew this 25 basis point cut was coming
01:58It was about a 97% probability
02:01But the bottom line is that just moving forward
02:06What are we seeing?
02:07Mortgage rates are coming down
02:09We just had a record amount of refis that we haven't seen in a while
02:13That means people are going to reduce their monthly mortgage costs
02:17More money in the consumer pocket
02:19And that translates to corporations
02:21It's across the whole economy
02:23I do think that you have to stay bullish
02:27Basically, the market believes there's above 90% chance
02:30That the Fed is going to cut rate for 25 basis points
02:34So this is very well expected
02:35And the focus of the market is basically on the path forward
02:39Rather than the 25 basis points
02:41Growth is slowing down
02:43But at the same time, the situation is not too bad, I would say
02:47We still see the unemployment is still relatively low
02:51Demand of jobs slowed down
02:53But also, as Fed Chair Powell mentioned
02:57Basically, the supply side is also driving this
03:00Because of this immigration slowdown in the US
03:03Well, it's surprising that it's taken this long
03:08For the Fed to continue its rate-cutting program
03:12But it's an encouraging sign
03:14Because the second year of rate cuts
03:17Tend to be encouraging for stock prices
03:20It is a risk management cut
03:22But at the same time
03:23Because the Fed is likely to be cutting rates again
03:26In October and December
03:28It's an effort to put a floor
03:32Underneath a cooling job market
03:35And thereby reduce the risk of recession
03:52And inevitably, the likelihood that it falls would do
03:53In October and December
03:58Now, if you take the airbus 전�
04:02That will require a little counter
04:02More wow
04:03This is a rarement plan
04:04And the respiratory issue
04:05So this is the reason
04:06That shruged
04:06That was on the end
04:07It's a stop
04:07Let thisோ
04:09Thewn
04:09Better
04:09Bit
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