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  • 4 months ago
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00:00start off with the big game in college football and boy if you just closed your eyes and blind
00:05bet the dogs against tennessee the last decade or so my gosh would you make a lot of money in
00:11their favorites again this week four and a half points total of 49 and a half in the great match
00:15up in neyland stadium 330 eastern i mean man the trend is speaking toward georgia here in this one
00:21is there any chance that that trend changes maybe this is one of the better tennessee teams at least
00:26i can throw that out there that's faced the bulldogs in the last decade yeah you know i'll
00:32start out with this you know virtually everyone i would think had georgia ranked in their top five
00:38in their preseason poll uh but you know to date they really haven't shown that i mean they have
00:43been pretty uninspiring in season opening victories over featherweights uh marshall and austin p uh so
00:50they've looked anything uh georgia's looked anything but like a national championship contender to this
00:56point in my opinion this past weekend against austin p they only managed 28 points average less than
01:03five yards a carry and you really need to run the ball more effectively uh than that against a team
01:09of austin p's caliber just for comparison's sake last year in its opener against louisville uh louisville
01:15beat them 62 to nothing and put up 571 yards so georgia's offense clearly uh is sputtering somewhat
01:23uh you know the look headline in this game was a little bit over seven points the line currently
01:29sits at three and a half so the market is obviously weighing somewhat in its enthusiasm for uh kirby smart
01:36and the and the dogs but i'll tell you sometimes craig when the market bobs i weave and that's going to
01:41be one of these cases i'm going to side with the georgia team here that few are looking to support
01:47apparently you know first of all as you mentioned georgia's won eight straight in this series
01:51they've been dominant they've covered six straight in the series uh it's just been a you know a rivalry
01:57where history is on the dog's side but more importantly than that the key piece of my handicap
02:03and the reason i like georgia is more fundamental in nature and what it is is that i think georgia's
02:10defense their front seven maybe not as great as some of those great front sevens they've had
02:15uh in the last you know six or seven years but still well above average i think they're going to get
02:21after tennessee's new quarterback joey aguilar and joey aguilar is a guy who in his two seasons
02:26as the starter at appalachian state he threw a total of 24 interceptions had 51 turnover worthy plays
02:34during the last two seasons according to pro football focus and looking at just last season 2024
02:40his 5.4 percent turnover worthy play rate was third worst among the 14 quarterbacks in the sun belt
02:49this guy's a gunslinger he also had 26 big time throws according to pro football focus to lead the
02:55conference in that category so he likes to he likes his arm and he's got a pretty good arm and he tries
03:00to force it in some tight spots sometimes it works out sometimes it doesn't i think georgia's going to
03:07force him in some turnovers i think they're going to expose those uh turnover tendencies that aguilar's
03:13displayed in the past i like georgia minus three and a half to go into nayland stadium
03:17and defeat tennessee by four or more
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