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  • 6 weeks ago
Russia’s economy is losing momentum fast. After months of wartime spending driving artificial growth, inflation is rising, industrial output is stalling, and consumer spending is cooling. In this 1-minute video, we break down the signs pointing to a possible recession in 2025 — and why the post-war economic boost may have already run its course. Experts are warning: the war engine is sputtering, and the numbers aren’t looking good.

:chart_decreasing: GDP near zero
:factory: Non-military industries shrinking
:money_with_wings: Inflation up, spending down
:bar_chart: Will Russia enter a full recession?


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Transcript
00:00Russia's war-fueled economic engine is running out of steam.
00:03And now, experts say a recession could be right around the corner,
00:07after months of growth powered by massive wartime spending.
00:10The Russian economy is starting to cool, fast.
00:13In the first quarter of 2025, GDP shrank for the first time in three years.
00:19And Q2 barely scraped by with 0 to 0.3% growth,
00:23just enough to dodge a technical recession.
00:26Why the slowdown?
00:26The government's wartime spending pushed demand up.
00:30But sanctions caused labor shortages and supply issues.
00:34So inflation soared.
00:36To stop prices from spiraling, the central bank hiked interest rates.
00:40That cooled spending and crushed business borrowing.
00:44Industrial growth dropped from nearly 4% to just 1.4%.
00:48And if you remove war-related industries, output is actually down.
00:52Retail spending is also slowing.
00:54And growth in food, vehicles, and mining is firmly in the red.
00:59With surplus funds drying up,
01:01analysts warned that 2025 might see Russia's first full-year contraction since the war began.
01:06A war economy with no more fuel.
01:08P
01:16is
01:24is
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