00:00La Niña es en el camino, pero es realmente un peligro?
00:04Hola a todos y bienvenidos a este especial climate report.
00:07Hoy, el tema de la conversación dominada es la posible return de la Niña.
00:12¿Qué significa esto para el próximo fall y el winter?
00:15Forecasters tienen la respuesta, y es más nuanced que se puede parecer.
00:20According a expertos, la Niña condiciones son más probable que se desarrollen más tarde este año.
00:24Pero con un detalle crucial, son expectantes a ser más corto y corto.
00:28Lived
00:28For those unfamiliar, La Niña is the cold phase of the El Niña-Southern Oscillation Cycle,
00:34a natural climate pattern that alters Pacific Ocean temperatures and atmospheric patterns.
00:39Its main impact in North America is a shift in the jet stream,
00:43which typically brings cooler, wetter winters to the northern U.S. and warmer, drier conditions to the south.
00:49Additionally, a point of great importance for safety is that La Niña often intensifies Atlantic hurricane activity.
00:55The forecast is clear.
00:57The probability of La Niña taking hold increases to more than 50% between September and January.
01:04However, massive climate shifts are not anticipated.
01:07Emily Becker, AMOAA expert, has explained that if La Niña forms, its influence on winter will be weak.
01:15This brings us back to last winter, when La Niña conditions briefly emerged, but did not last long enough to be classified as an official event.
01:24To be official, sea surface temperatures must remain below average for at least five consecutive three-month periods.
01:32Current evidence suggests this will not happen.
01:35It's possible that this winter will resemble the last one,
01:38with a couple of months of La Niña conditions that do you not reach the threshold to be an official event.
01:43However, as we saw last year, its effects can still be felt, despite not being official.
01:48While La Niña introduces short-term variations, the broader context is unavoidable.
01:55Our planet continues to warm through the climate change.
01:58This is a dominant factor that persists beyond the cycles of El Niña and La Niña.
02:03In summary, we are preparing for a possible return of La Niña, but it is expected to be a weak and unofficial event.
02:10We should not anticipate drastic climate changes.
02:13However, this does not mean there will be no impacts.
02:16We could see increased Atlantic hurricane activity and the typical regional shifts in temperature and precipitation.
02:23In a world where the climate is constantly changing, it is crucial to pay attention to every forecast.
02:28Money expected.
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