Houston vs. Baltimore: Rogers' Pitching Preview Today

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00:00Look at this game, 9-13, 9-14.

00:02Houston sending out, excuse me, Arrighetti to the mound today.

00:05And then Rodgers, the lefty for Baltimore.

00:08Where do you get to his numbers here?

00:099-13, 9-14 on the rotation of 135 start.

00:12Favorite overnight for Baltimore, Tom.

00:13Minus 150s, they're gone.

00:15Minus 135s, minus 140s now across the betting landscape.

00:18And a total that went up from 8.5 to 9s across the board.

00:21Is today the day like Rodgers gets beat up?

00:24Rodgers doesn't ever get beat up.

00:25Tom, his ERA minus is a 28.

00:28An ERA of 1.16 and a very comparable XFIP and Sierra.

00:32Why is this guy so good this year?

00:34What are we missing?

00:35So I talk about Rodgers.

00:38I don't know if it was with you or when I was hosting game time decisions last week.

00:42You know, his ERA is, you know, under 2.

00:45And his XFIP, since July 1st, at least that I'm saying, is 3.32.

00:49So he is technically and factually overproducing by 2 runs.

00:54Like he should be regressing.

00:55But a 3.32 XFIP is still awesome at the end.

01:00So Rodgers, when you're looking at him, he has a 50% ground ball rate combined with a 42.3% medium contact rate.

01:10So he keeps the ball down.

01:11There's no fly balls.

01:13There's no hard contacts.

01:14His strikeouts are good enough.

01:16So at the end of the day, even when, if you were to get beat, it's not going to be by the long ball.

01:21It's just going to be a single or a double here.

01:23Maybe some runs get across the board.

01:25Today's matchup is really tough because the Astros have been hitting a lot recently.

01:29But Eric Getty is terrible, Donnie.

01:31Since he has come back, one of the worst, and one of the worst pitchers on today's slate overall.

01:35And I have a ton of interest in the Orioles hitters today.

01:37So let's get started.