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  • 6 months ago
In the second episode of the three-part Woo Says series on economic transitions, Professor Emeritus Datuk Woo Wing Thye joins Melisa Idris to examine Russia’s rapid “big bang” reforms of the 1990s, which led to hyperinflation, mass poverty, and the rise of oligarchs, and to contrast Russia’s trajectory with Poland’s.

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00:00This week on WUSIS, we revisit some of the most consequential economic transformations of the 20th century
00:06in the second part of a three-part arc.
00:09After Poland, the focus now is Russia.
00:12Here's an excerpt of the conversation between Melissa Idris and Prof. Emeritus Dato' Dr. Wu Wingtai.
00:18In the case of Poland, the West came in with financial aid,
00:24which allowed the government to be able to pay the civil servants to keep it going.
00:33And they got external aid to buy crucial materials.
00:39Like if the factory machine breaks down, all you need is a certain valve.
00:44You need the foreign exchange to buy it.
00:47But the IMF, the World Bank, the US, the Europeans basically took out their wallet and put it on the table
00:57and said, take what you want.
00:58Take what you need.
00:59Because they saw it as temporary.
01:02Because once you can get things back to normal,
01:07Poland will have lots of high ability to repay everything.
01:12And furthermore, it will no longer be an ally of Russia, which was still a communist.
01:17That was the political considerations, yes.
01:20So when the Russians were greatly impressed by what happened in Poland,
01:26because they saw this economic miracle.
01:30And at the same time, the collapse continued under Gorbachev.
01:33Gorbachev tried to make changes, but his changes failed to work, failed to revitalize the economy.
01:45So the establishment, which is the KGB, conducted a coup against Gorbachev.
01:53So Gorbachev was arrested in August 1991.
01:58One, and a new person came in.
02:02At that time, another power center emerged with Yat-Zin.
02:08And the army split.
02:10So there was one group with the KGB, one group with Yat-Zin.
02:15And they fought the most rational of wars.
02:17They sent people to each other side to count how many guns the other side got,
02:23how many planes the other side got.
02:25And they found out Yat-Zin got more guns and more planes.
02:28So the other side said, okay, don't kill us, and we'll go back.
02:32You win.
02:34So yes, that was a very rational war.
02:36We see who would win in the end.
02:38And say, okay, you would win in the end.
02:40Very practical.
02:42Very practical.
02:43Let's not need to fight.
02:44Let's win.
02:45Let's over.
02:45Okay.
02:46He took over.
02:48And his people wanted to do exactly what the polls did on the forefront,
02:53which is the free prices.
02:56Price liberalization.
02:58And stop inflation.
03:00They wanted to stop inflation.
03:05They wanted to have internationalization.
03:08But the domestic industries are so powerful that they prevented the internationalization.
03:15They said, no, you cannot kill us.
03:16We are your strongest supporters.
03:17And so, he was afraid of the factories closing.
03:22He did not internationalize.
03:24Dubai political support, because Yat-Zin now has to have a new election.
03:29Because he, a new election as president of Russia.
03:33So, he privatized the enterprises by basically selling it to people who would donate to his political campaign.
03:45This is the rise of the oligarchs.
03:47The rise of the oligarchs.
03:48Got it.
03:48So, this privatization was basically mass stealing.
03:53Like oil fields of Russia were given to individuals.
03:57These are national assets handed to individuals.
04:00That's why he got Khododovsky, who founded a company called Yukos, which owned most of the Russian oil.
04:08So, you could see it was a very corrupt process.
04:11And why was that done?
04:13Because the Russians were expecting the West to give it the same aid as it gave Poland.
04:20Catch the full conversation of this on all Awani International's social media accounts.
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