What’s the Cowboys win/loss ceiling & floor for the 2025 season?

KRLD-FM / 105.3 The Fan

ESPN released their ceiling and floor projections for all 32 NFL teams. Shan and RJ think the Cowboys were disrespected and say the numbers are up for debate. They break down why 11 wins as a ceiling and 5 as a floor doesn’t reflect the reality of Dak Prescott, the roster, or the schedule. They analyze Dallas’ matchups and what the team could realistically achieve. What do you think the Cowboys’ ceiling and floor will be?

Transcript

00:0011 and 6 is the ceiling, 5 and 12 for the Cowboys.

00:17Yeah, and I don't agree with either one.

00:21Neither do I.

00:22I think the floor is higher than that.

00:24Now, again, injuries aside, I assume when they're doing the ceiling and floor thing,

00:29we're just, everybody's healthy.

00:31To me, everybody in the whole league, there's not a single injury.

00:35There's not a single game missed in the entire NFL when you're doing these ceiling and floors.

00:39If Dak is healthy, they're winning way more than five games.

00:43They're probably winning double that.

00:45That's just the reality of it.

00:47Dak's floor himself is like eight.

00:51Worst case scenario, every fumble goes the other way.

00:55Every tip ball goes the other way.

00:57Do you think if he goes to any team, he's good enough to have their floor be at eight?

01:01Not any team.

01:02This is still a good team.

01:04You know, if he goes to, who's the worst roster in the league?

01:07If he goes to New Orleans, I don't think they're a 10-win team.

01:11Kellen.

01:11Bobby would have Kellen.

01:12Bobby would have Kellen.

01:13It's an automatic eight wins with Kellen Moore.

01:15But like, you know, their floor when they're healthy, I think it's just eight wins.

01:18And that's their floor.

01:19And we've seen their ceiling.

01:23Their ceiling's probably 12.

01:25We've seen it.

01:26I had ceiling 13-4 or 12-5.

01:33And the way I'm coming to that, I'm splitting against Philadelphia.

01:37I'm sweeping the Giants.

01:40I'm sweeping Washington.

01:43I'm beating Green Bay at home, which in a realistic world, again, this best case, but in a realistic

01:50world probably is not happening.

01:53I win at Denver.

01:55I beat Arizona, who has been a house of horrors for you in your own building.

02:00I'm beating Minnesota, since I don't believe in J.J. McCarthy.

02:03I'm beating the Chargers, who signed Keenan Allen but lost their left tackle for the entire

02:07year, but I'm winning both games against Washington, splitting it against Philly, and beating teams

02:13like Green Bay and Denver, in my best case scenario.

02:17I think that's me to 13-4 or 12-5.

02:21And then I'm kind of just working opposite of that to get to 6-11 as my worst case.

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