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As China escalates its military activity around Taiwan and rapidly builds its naval and civilian fleets, Beijing’s threats to seize the island could be coming closer to reality. China’s new ships can land on beaches and link to form massive mobile piers, boosting the PLAs amphibious assault capacity. Analysts say they’re intended to rapidly offload military equipment in the event of a sea invasion.

WSJ breaks down how these new Chinese ships are setting the stage for a D-Day-style invasion of Taiwan.

Chapters:
0:00 China’s new ships
0:44 Shipyard in Guangzhou
1:46 Sea trials
2:24 Breaking down the ships
5:40 Invasion scenario
6:51 What’s next?

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Transcript
00:00This massive mobile pier system could one day be used to deliver an unprecedented number
00:05of troops and equipment in an amphibious invasion.
00:09It's been built by China in a shipyard constructing vessels that are changing modern warfare.
00:15As Beijing escalates its military activity around Taiwan and rapidly builds its naval
00:20and civilian fleets, China's threat to seize the island could be coming closer to reality.
00:26To be able to deliver vehicles at huge volume straight to the beach without having a capture
00:31report changed the calculus of whether China could successfully invade Taiwan.
00:36Here's a breakdown of how these ships could set the stage for a D-Day style invasion.
00:45The vessels were built here at this island shipyard in Guangzhou, China.
00:49This is a major shipyard.
00:51It's used to construct both military and civilian vessels.
00:54Thomas Shugart is a defence analyst and former Navy warfare officer whose research focuses
00:59on maritime competition.
01:01This shipyard has been quite interesting to watch over the last year.
01:04They've had a number of very different vessels they've had under construction at the same time.
01:08Right here we can see two Soviet design, now built by China, amphibious assault hovercraft,
01:14a ostensibly military test platform unmanned service vessel.
01:18Among them, analysts noticed a unique set of ships taking shape, with distinctive jack-up legs
01:23that can stabilise them out of water.
01:25And also the long ramps, you can see it here extended, from the landing platform all the
01:31way onto the shoreline.
01:33Shugart says the ships represent a significant improvement in the People's Liberation Army's
01:38amphibious assault capacity.
01:39We had never seen before this kind of matching set that were designed to go together in multiple
01:45sizes.
01:46About two months after this satellite image was taken, the ships were seen on China's
01:50Nangsang Island, roughly 225 miles southwest.
01:54This is where the first known footage was captured, showing the ships in sea trials.
01:59A couple of things were surprising about it.
02:01One was that they were all connected.
02:03Also seeing them lifted up out of the water, that was quite impressive.
02:06I had not seen anything quite like that before.
02:08The ships did not transmit their location using the Automatic Identification System,
02:13or AIS, and the ship's paint scheme was now visible, which closely resembles the Chinese
02:18navies.
02:19All these being indications that confirm for me that it is highly likely that these are
02:22PLA Navy ships.
02:24Video footage, photos and satellite images examined by Shugart and other analysts provide
02:29insight into many of their specifications and capabilities.
02:34There are three distinct types that have been classified by their hull length.
02:38The first is about 360 feet long, the second about 440 feet, and the third about 600 feet.
02:45When linked together with their bow ramps extended, they span nearly 2700 feet.
02:51That's the length of seven and a half football fields.
02:54The ship designed to land on shore has a bow bridge that extends more than 400 feet, and
02:58it features four 105 foot jack up legs.
03:02The middle platform has six 164 foot jack up legs, and two drop down loading ramps, one
03:08on the port and one on the starboard side.
03:10The end platform has eight 180 foot jack up legs, and two drop down loading ramps, one
03:16on the starboard side, and one at the stern.
03:19The three ships were seen about 12 miles south two days later, where these systems were put
03:24to the test.
03:25It was probably just a testing trial to be able to verify that they connect together properly,
03:31that they can connect to the bottom properly, and that ships can moor with these platforms
03:35in the way that was intended.
03:38China regularly uses its civilian fleet of what are known as roll-on, roll-off ferries
03:42in military transport exercises, and has demonstrated they can carry some of its heaviest vehicles.
03:48The landing platforms appear specifically designed to link with these commercial ships.
03:53It has two side ramps, one on each side, that can flip down, and we have seen them connect
03:58to roll-on, roll-off ferries that can basically back up to those ramps and drive vehicles off.
04:04On the side of the platform are what are called camels, which are these big rubber bumpers essentially,
04:10that allow full-size ships to come up and nest up against the side of the platform.
04:15So the ferry that we see alongside here is called the Chang-Legang-Zhu.
04:20It is a ferry that has been seen in numerous times during PLA exercises.
04:25Ferries like these have been used to offload equipment in various scenarios, including in
04:29ports, on floating causeways, and even in the open ocean.
04:33China has also used its larger roll-on, roll-off vehicle carriers in transport exercises between
04:38ports, but not with the PLA's temporary floating causeways, which couldn't accommodate their diagonal ramps.
04:44Satellite imagery suggests these landing platforms could serve that purpose.
04:50What we see here is a vessel called the Shunlong-hai.
04:53While it is not technically a normal, pure vehicle carrier, it is a roll-on, roll-off cargo ship,
05:00and it does have a diagonal ramp, confirming our suspicions that that's what that unique
05:04shape of that stern ramp was for.
05:07Additionally, it is possible that a ferry could back up to this stern ramp and also unload vehicles
05:13straight on out of the back, as we have seen them do with floating piers in the past.
05:17With as many as five points of contact where ships could offload, the linked platforms could
05:22potentially transfer hundreds of vehicles ashore per hour, including some of the PLA's heaviest.
05:28I would be very surprised if these structures and the bridges are not also built to those,
05:34at least those same standards, and able to deliver any of the Chinese military's armoured vehicles,
05:39including the battle tanks.
05:40Within about eight miles of the two sea trial sites is a base with Chinese amphibious assault craft,
05:45including hovercraft, landing craft that can deliver tanks to shore, and a military-specific roll-on, roll-off ship.
05:53All of this equipment is designed to be used in what one would traditionally think of as a beach assault,
05:58something right over a beach, and would also be the first wave of troops that go ashore,
06:03probably in combination with helicopter-delivered troops and airborne troops in the case of a Taiwan invasion.
06:08One thing that these new platforms could potentially bring to the table is the ability to land troops
06:13at places even these vessels can't bring troops ashore.
06:17Adding the landing platforms to the PLA's amphibious fleet would boost the volume of equipment
06:22delivered across the Taiwan Strait, and would also make more areas of the island's rocky coastline vulnerable.
06:29One of the things that analysts and the Taiwanese military have been able to have some confidence in over the years
06:36is that there were a fairly limited number of locations where the Chinese could potentially land on Taiwan,
06:41thereby allowing Taiwan to concentrate its defensive efforts in those places.
06:46This could thin out Taiwan's defences and make it harder to defend all the different places that now exist.
06:52After the sea trials, the three landing platforms return to the same Guangzhou shipyard where China is building a second set.
06:59One right here, one right here, and one right here.
07:03US officials say Chinese leader Xi Jinping instructed the PLA to be capable of invading Taiwan by 2027.
07:11Most military experts agree China isn't ready to execute a full-scale amphibious invasion yet.
07:17But these landing platforms might be the key to making one possible in the near future.
07:24will actually change Rafi is that far too soon should land close enough toINT.
07:27meet Japanese.
07:28Thank you for your attention
07:29in the near future.
07:29Aimbance where losing password is andkamera is known as a
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