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Solana Price News Today - SOL Elliott Wave Price Technical Analysis, Price Update!
cryptrex
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7 weeks ago
Solana Price News Today - SOL Elliott Wave Price Technical Analysis, Price Update!
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Learning
Transcript
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00:00
Hello and welcome to another update video on Solana.
00:04
I want to take a look here at the one hour time frame on the Solana chart.
00:10
And we can see that the price remains caught in a correction.
00:14
It looks like we're still caught in a corrective pattern.
00:17
It is a three wave move down, which unfolds as an ABC structure.
00:22
And the C wave might complete in this region.
00:25
I mean, it doesn't really have much more room.
00:28
So ideally, wave C would complete somewhere in this region.
00:34
What we are tracking here on this chart is a so-called,
00:40
you could even call it a zigzag pattern, to be honest.
00:43
Quite a sharp correction in a wave 4, where we had a 5 wave move down in wave A.
00:49
The B wave itself was a flat correction.
00:52
And the C wave down seems to be a 5 wave move, potentially even an impulsive move.
00:58
But overall, this still makes it a 3 wave move, which is a counter trend pattern,
01:05
which means it's not in line with the main trend, which still appears to be up.
01:10
Now, as it often happens in crypto, right, the wave 4 is quite substantial.
01:18
And the support isn't changed.
01:21
So if you watch the previous updates, then you know that the support levels between $160 and $167.90,
01:29
they remain unchanged.
01:32
They remain unchanged.
01:33
And the next swing high, which is located here at $183, is the level a little bit lower, actually.
01:42
It's more like $182.80.
01:44
That swing high needs to be broken to give us a first indication that a low has formed.
01:49
It is a pullback that's quite deep.
01:53
I mean, if we look at the 4-hour chart, you can see that the relative strength index is oversold.
02:00
Now, the last time the RSI was oversold like that was in June.
02:04
At the time, it was even a little more oversold.
02:07
And then we had a nice reaction from there.
02:10
I mean, an oversold RSI on the 4-hour doesn't guarantee you a full upside reverser.
02:15
But typically, it's still followed by some kind of a bounce, okay?
02:19
So especially the last few times where we had a bounce from the June low.
02:24
We had a bounce here on the 13th of June.
02:28
Yeah, it was not a full-scale reversal, but still a meaningful bounce from around about $140 to $160.
02:34
We had a bounce before that as well, 5th of June, right?
02:37
From around $140 to $170.
02:39
So, you know, these, again, I don't normally focus on the 4-hour time frame RSI much.
02:46
But we've reached critical support levels and we have seen an oversold RSI.
02:53
And we have a 3-wave move down that looks technically complete.
02:56
Could have completed already on Wednesday, but the rally afterwards was only, if you want to call it a rally,
03:01
let's rather call it the upside reaction, was only a 3-wave move.
03:04
So it wasn't really exactly meaningful, that bounce.
03:07
So normally I focus more on the daily chart, the daily RSI.
03:13
We're not there yet, right?
03:14
But you should be clear about the support level.
03:16
So this is what we are watching for here.
03:19
This is the support zone.
03:21
Any break below $160, it will increase the probabilities for a deeper pullback in wave 2 or wave B.
03:28
It is what it is.
03:29
But the pivot for that is and has been, and that's not changed, the $160 level.
03:34
Now what I need to say is, technically speaking, this wave 4 can go down lower.
03:41
Because in a diagonal structure, wave 4s can be extremely deep sometimes, yeah?
03:47
It's just that probabilities start to shift.
03:51
And then it means the probabilities will increase for a test of the June lows,
03:55
which is very much in line also with that orange scenario that I show you also on the larger time frame.
04:03
Here you can see it, actually.
04:04
You can see the larger time frame potential for a deeper pullback.
04:11
But that is just something that becomes more probable with a break below $160.
04:16
It's nothing new.
04:16
The support area has been on the chart for quite some time.
04:19
Yeah, and it remains relevant, you know, that's why I haven't removed it from the chart.
04:25
So it really depends on that $160 level.
04:27
But until $160 breaks, further direct upside remains possible.
04:32
And I'm just watching for a first signal that it lowers in.
04:35
Maybe it shows today, maybe after the weekend.
04:38
Once I see that, which would be a first micro 5 wave move up above that level I highlighted,
04:43
then I will, of course, let you know.
04:45
That's the update on Solana.
04:47
Hope you liked the update.
04:48
If you did, please hit the like button, leave a comment, and subscribe.
04:52
And if you really like the content, then please check out the channel membership.
04:56
I also invite you to check out our X channel, X profile.
05:00
Feel free to join us here for additional updates, discussions.
05:05
You can ask questions.
05:07
Check it out.
05:07
It's just much more interactive than YouTube's comment section.
05:11
So feel free to check it out.
05:13
I'll put the link in the comment section and the description.
05:16
Thanks so much.
05:17
Bye-bye.
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