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The senior advisor to Syria’s Minister of Economy and Industry Dr. Osama Kadi says the World Bank’s 2025 growth forecast for Syria is likely premature.

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00:00Right, I mean, things are really changing fast, aren't they?
00:02When you consider the World Bank says that Syria's GDP is going to grow 1% in 2025.
00:08I mean, that is a remarkable turnaround from a contraction last year
00:12and given the fact that the country has been totally cut off from the rest of the world economy.
00:17I might even disagree with the World Bank.
00:19This estimate of 1% is, I don't think it's accurate and can't be accurate
00:24because if we were minus 4%, if right now we are at 1%,
00:31then we improve 5% economic growth, not 1%.
00:35And even the ministers right now, they don't have the data to show how much we grow so far.
00:42So I think that was just an estimate and at a very early stage,
00:47usually you have to have the first quarter economic growth, second quarter economic growth.
00:52We are done with Syrian regime six months ago.
00:54So that's just an estimate and I believe we won't really know the economic growth
01:00accurately till the end of the year and that's what we're working on.
01:03Would you agree with the plus sign in front of the number?
01:06Plus for sure, but not one for sure.
01:09I'm sure more than 1%.
01:31Yeah.
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