Gurugram (Haryana), June 22, 2025 (ANI): After United States strike on Iran’s three nuclear facilities Retired Major General from Indian Army Dr. GD Bakshi anticipates attack on American military bases present in Middle East, as Iran is under pressure to prove its might to “Muslim Ummas.”
00:00As anticipated widely, America has finally hit the three nuclear enrichment facilities in Iran, Natanz, Fodro specifically, and the third facility, right?
00:16They have used their B-2 strategic bombers, each of which can carry two. The mother of all bombs, the GBU-57, which is 13,600 kilograms in weight, which is a bunker buster bomb.
00:37It is massive deep penetrator ordnance, which can go down almost 100 feet and more. So, if you have to get down to 200 feet, which is the depth of Fodro, you need the Americans.
00:52Only the Americans can do it with their B-2 bombers and their GBU-57 deep penetration massive ordnance bombs, mother of all bombs.
01:05About four each have been used on each of the three Iranian nuclear facilities, Natanz, Bushihar, and Ishfahan, right?
01:15And the Americans are saying that the strikes have been very successful. They are giving Iran an off-ramp. They are saying we will stop it here, providing you play ball.
01:28If you try and hit any of our targets, American targets, target American people, American soldiers, American warships, they will be held to pay.
01:39And also, if you try and widen the conflict to hit oil installations in the Middle East, to hit, you know, the shipping in the Gulf of Hormuz.
01:51It is my analysis that, in all probability, Iran has no option but to react, especially after all the declaratory statements that it has been making.
02:07Iran has about 4,000 ballistic missiles. Some estimates give it 10,000 and more, but 4,000 is the generally expected estimate.
02:18Iran has so far fired only 450 ballistic missiles, about 1,000 drones.
02:25So, theoretically, it has a fair amount of capability still left to retaliate.
02:32In all probability, my analysis indicates that it will try and react against American military targets,
02:41so that it keeps the Muslim Arab opinion, you know, solidly or tries and keeps it in its favor, right?
02:52Turkey and the others have been making out statements of the Islamic Ummah sticking together at this time of crisis, as he puts it.
03:01But the fact of the matter is, in all probability, the Iranian reaction will come against American military bases in the Middle East, American naval ships.
03:16Don't forget that even the Houthi, in the seven weeks of the bombing campaign that the Americans had launched against them,
03:23and which seems to have sobered them down, but they also tried to hit at American ships, American aircraft carriers, cruisers, destroyers.
03:35These, they will try and hit. These are difficult targets because they are moving targets,
03:40but it is possible for them to be hit if you fire a barrage of missiles and drones.
03:46So, we will have to wait and watch what happens.
03:48China has been sending planes worth of equipment.
03:52What equipment, we do not know.
03:55Could probably be, could probably be the surface-to-air missile launchers,
04:01or it could be surface-to-surface missiles, either of Korean origin or of Chinese origin,
04:09with which they could target or strike American targets.
04:14That remains to be seen.
04:15We have received no satellite imagery or intelligence of what precisely the cargo of the three to four Chinese aircraft war.
04:24And a Chinese aircraft, we are told, has also landed in Lebanon.
04:28So, it is quite on the cards that Hezbollah, Houthis and the Hamas would all be activated now
04:34for the mother of all battles, the final battle in the Middle East.
04:39Iran will definitely try and widen the conflict.
04:45It will try and pretend that it's not beaten.
04:48It will try and show defiance, strategic defiance.
04:53The Shias have a penchant for martyrdom, fighting unequal battles.
04:58Don't forget that Iran fought Iraq for eight years and suffered a million casualties, but it did not flinch.
05:08So, I am not going to be emotional in my reactions as a military analyst.
05:15It's my job to analyze based upon military capabilities, hard military capabilities, doctrines, military doctrines,
05:26declaratory statements about the way they intend to fight, and psychological profiles.
05:33All of these indicate that there is likely this is not the end, and I don't think the Iranians will cower down or not respond.
05:49We in Operation Sindur had also given an off-ramp to Pakistan after day one, on the 7th of June,
05:58when we had hit only the terror camps.
06:02Pakistan contemptuously refused to take back, to take that off-ramp,
06:08and it paid a very heavy price, which it has been trying to hide from the world.
06:15So, I expect a similar kind of a pattern of activity to emerge in the Middle East and in Iran,
06:22and we hope and pray that this ends as soon as possible,
06:27because the prognostication is not good for the region, it's not good for the world.
06:35If the price of oil starts escalating out of control,
06:40well, the world economy would suffer heavily in consequence.
06:45President Donald Trump said, we cannot continue, there will be either peace, or there will be the presidency of Iran.
06:54No, exactly.
06:57President Donald Trump has given an off-ramp to Iran,
07:01he get off even at this stage, and it will all be over.
07:05But like I said, given their psychological profile,
07:09given their, you know, standard pattern of behavior,
07:12and their capability, they are down, but they are not out.
07:18And they would definitely like to make a show of defiance,
07:21even before they go in for peace talks.
07:24Iran has been showing a bit of rationality lately, lately.
07:29Last year, in April and October, it did show rational reaction,
07:33and was not irrational in its responses.
07:37So, to my analysis, as per my analysis,
07:41they'll try and hit some American targets,
07:44try and keep it as non-threatening as possible.
07:48Maybe tokenism, I think they'll have to do more than tokenism.
07:52The moment they do more than tokenism,
07:54they will invite American counter-retaliation in very big measure.
08:00So, this looks like it is going to extend.
08:03Sir Trump says, our objective was the destruction of Iran nuclear
08:07and engagement capacity, and the scope of the nuclear threat
08:11for the world's number one state's launcher to terror tonight.
08:18That's exactly what the American president has said,
08:22and he has held out his threat,
08:23and he has executed it in a very professional manner,
08:27the American military.
08:28They have achieved surprise,
08:30despite the high predictability of what was going to happen.
08:34They have achieved surprise.
08:36Very definitely, they have achieved surprise.
08:38They flew their bombers right from the United States of America
08:42over the continental, I mean, over Iran, in one go.
08:47People thought they would land at Diego Garcia,
08:49rest, recoup, and then go in,
08:51but they have done it to achieve surprise.
08:53They have flown non-stop and engaged their targets.
08:55All three uranium enrichment facilities in Iran have been hit.
09:01Now, it remains to be seen,
09:04they are saying that they have achieved their aims
