Thunder's Inconsistency: Home vs. Road Playoff Analysis

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00:00This is Jekyll and Hyde this Thunder team. They are not even remotely close to the same team on

00:04the road in the postseason that we saw them at home. Are we worried that the road team that

00:10we've gotten at OKC, who's averaging about 107 points, are they going to beat even the role

00:16players of the Pacers here tonight? It depends on what kind of story you want to tell yourself.

00:22And this is like the phrase I often use. If we look back to game four, the Thunder shot three

00:27of 16 from deep and they still won that game by seven points. So like objectively horrible

00:31shooting in that game. But let's say they made five threes in that game, five of 16, which is still

00:35a terrible percentage. They would have won that game by 13 points. And we might be having a different

00:40conversation coming in this game. Like, listen, they won that game on the road. They shot terribly

00:44and they still control things. So I don't mind the Thunder tonight specifically for the fact that they

00:48like smell blood and water. They like want to go for the throat tonight when Halliburton is not fully

00:53healthy. Would he be fully healthy in the game seven? Probably not. But they want to take care

00:57of business now. If people are worried about this six point, I would say wait and try and get an

01:01in-game number of two or three, which I think is far better. We'd probably all agree on that. But

01:06I think they'd go for the throat tonight and they win by nine points.

01:11What is or who are some of the guys you're looking at in the prop betting market for this one?

01:16So let's keep it really simple for this. Let's go to Isaiah Hartenstein for the Thunder.

01:20And let's go to under five and a half points. And it's a plus 107 with the FanDuel boost.

01:26It's not plus 107 normally. It's a super low line. Like I understand that. Well,

01:30like three buckets and this guy gets over, he could do that in just like a handful of positions.

01:33But we got to look at what he's doing. Like he is not there to score. He's obviously been taken

01:37out in and out of the starting lineup. We know that his role is not to score. His role is to get the

01:41ball and partially facilitate the offense from low to high, get the shooters into some open space.

01:45So when we see him taking literally two or three field goal attempts on a nightly basis,

01:50one of two, two, three, whatever it might be, he would need to have five field goal attempts,

01:55six field goal attempts and hit four or six for them. Like, oh, wow, he's cruised over that. So

01:59I like it with the plus money, but I wouldn't lay money on this as well. Like if all that makes sense.