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Dodgers vs. Guardians: Pitching Matchup & Weather Impact
SportsGrid
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4 months ago
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Sports
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00:00
The Dodgers on the road in Cleveland.
00:02
Pretty good pitching matchup here where the Dodgers are a road favorite.
00:05
Dustin May on the bump for L.A.
00:07
Minus $130, that updated money line price.
00:09
Tanner Bybee on the other side for Cleveland.
00:12
Total, eight and a half.
00:13
What can we expect today in Cleveland?
00:15
On the season, if you take a look at Bybee's statistics, don't look very good.
00:18
214 batters that he's faced here.
00:19
I've got an ISO power number against of 233 and a weighted on base percentage of 346.
00:24
Now, if you take a look at the 99 batters he's faced on the season from the left-hand side,
00:28
keep in mind Bybee is a right-handed pitcher, a 278 ISO and a weighted on base percentage of 354
00:33
and not a great K number.
00:34
Now, here's the interesting part.
00:36
Over the past month of the season, he's faced 102 batters.
00:38
You turn that 233 ISO power number now into 163.
00:42
You turn that 346 weighted on base percentage into a 307,
00:45
but still not striking out a lot of batters, which includes left-handed batters, only at 10%.
00:50
That's always going to get you in trouble in Major League Baseball.
00:52
If you take a look at the weather conditions today, 65 degrees, which isn't bad,
00:56
but a wind blowing out double digits to left field, as we just talked about that Detroit wind,
01:00
which is warmer temperatures but blowing in at this point.
01:02
You look at the Dodgers' lineup, and over the past 30 days against right-handed pitching,
01:06
it's just a smorgasbord out here, Ben, if I can use that.
01:09
A 500 ISO for Itani, a 383 for Mookie Betts, 480 for Freeman.
01:14
Hernandez, 435.
01:15
Muncie, 405.
01:16
Paz, 383.
01:18
Rushing, who only has eight at-bats but still a 467, weighted on base percentage,
01:21
and Tommy Edmond in the nine-hole at a 407.
01:24
This team should be able to hit Tanner Bybee, which, again, brings me to my point,
01:27
saying, okay, what's going to happen on the opposite side with Dustin May on the mound?
01:31
Not a great pitcher, and over the past 30 days, his 44 batters that he's faced from the right side,
01:35
a 263 ISO and a 430 weighted on base percentage,
01:38
but he's been really clean against left-handed batters.
01:40
Why is that important?
01:41
Kwan's a lefty.
01:42
Naylor's a lefty.
01:43
Ramirez will be batting lefty.
01:44
Manzarda's a lefty.
01:45
Santana's a lefty.
01:46
Schneeman's a lefty.
01:47
And also Angel Martinez batting out of the nine-hole here as a lefty.
01:50
So you're looking at possibly seven left-handed batters, which, again,
01:53
you can't, you know, knock the formula because you want as many left-handed batters
01:57
typically against righty pitching as you can get.
01:59
But that's where Dustin May actually excels against left-handed batters as opposed to righties.
02:02
So maybe a little bit detrimental for me, probably going to be the Dodgers here.
02:05
They should be able to hit.
02:06
I'm not trusting that lineup for the Guardians to be able to hit.
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