Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: Game Day Preview

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00:00Can San Diego get back in the win column at home?

00:03Some day baseball at Petco.

00:06It's the Padres and the Cubbies in San Diego.

00:09An ever so slight favorite, minus 122 on that money line.

00:12Total stands at 7.5.

00:13What do you like here in the rubber match today in San Diego?

00:16You take a look at those 7.5s, identical to what you saw last night,

00:20which easily stayed on the under, and also that game went into extra innings.

00:24Pitching, Pavetta is on the mound today.

00:25Why do we bring that up?

00:2617 innings so far on this young season for Pavetta.

00:29How about a 1.59 ERA, which actually is translating to a 2.96 XFIP,

00:34which is really, really good.

00:35You look at the lineup today, or at least the anticipated lineup,

00:37for the Chicago Cubs, Tucker, Bush, Creek Crowe Armstrong, and Miguel Amaya

00:41have very good statistics, ISO power number, and power-wise,

00:44with weighted on base percentages against right into pitching.

00:47The rest leaves a little bit to be desired.

00:49You flip it over to the other side.

00:50Boyd, who comes into this game with decent statistics also through his 17 innings pitched,

00:54a 1.59 ERA, but a slightly elevated XFIP number of 4.22.

00:59You look at the lineup.

01:00However, for the Padres, it doesn't face all that much left-handed pitching,

01:04and hasn't done all of that all well.

01:06So a day game out there at Petco, which usually the ball travels a little bit better than at night,

01:10I'm still going to lean on the under 7.5 like we saw last night.

01:13Two decent pitchers, two lineups that don't present themselves all that well.

01:16I don't know if we get to eight runs.

01:18Therefore, I'll lean undersized.