00:0063-964 on the rotation.
00:02First game of the day, that's Toronto and Baltimore.
00:04It's Barrios taking on Povich.
00:06This line opened up at minus 135, minus 136.
00:09Still sitting around those levels here.
00:10Not much movement.
00:11Total also, Tom, 8.5 at the opening number, 8.5 still across the board.
00:15Toronto and Baltimore, what gives?
00:18A little bit of wind blowing in, which, you know, isn't ideal.
00:22I think the Blue Jays come away with the win.
00:25We've talked about Kate Povich a good amount.
00:27We talked about it on the previous show.
00:28We talked about him last week or the week before, and they were taking on the Royals.
00:32You know, he's a young pitcher for them.
00:33He's a pitcher that I have a lot of long-term belief in.
00:36He's looking pretty good, and I'm not going to say I'm willing to buy in on every single thing that he's done so far,
00:41but strikeout rate is up compared to last year.
00:44His walks are down.
00:45His XFIP is at 306 this year compared to 499 last year.
00:49Again, small sample size.
00:51He's not giving up a ton of fly balls.
00:53The hard contact is a little bit of an issue.
00:55I think there's going to be some runs in this game, and I lean with the Blue Jays.
00:58They threw away yesterday's game, but Rios on the other side, walks are way up this year.
01:03Not ideal.
01:04The home runs are up this year, and the power that he can allow to lefties I think is very evident today,
01:11and I think we're going to see those runs from the Orioles.
01:13So when we see a 36% fly ball raise line over 1.5 home runs per nine, or what is it, 1.53 home runs per nine?
01:21That's dangerous versus the Orioles.
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