Auburn vs. Florida: Betting Insights for The Big Game

SportsGrid

Watch Auburn vs. Florida: Betting Insights for The Big Game - SportsGrid on Dailymotion

Transcript

00:00Lacey is on Auburn, coach is on Florida.

00:04I break the tie and I will take the Tigers in this spot as well.

00:10The spread of math on this game would make your head spin if you allowed me to go all

00:14the way back to their meeting in the beginning of February where Auburn was a double-digit

00:20favorite in their own building.

00:22That though was a turning point undoubtedly for the Gators, a turning point not just in

00:28their season but in their perception.

00:30All of the odds started to go, oh, wait a minute, this team's the real deal.

00:35Futures and their game-to-game booking, you could see that shift begin.

00:42But I go back to just the SEC tournament where Auburn was the clear favorite heading into

00:47that tournament and Auburn was a bigger favorite in their semifinal game, albeit a loss to

00:51Tennessee than Florida was in the final game against the Volunteers.

00:56I think for me, this number has moved a lot because of how Auburn closed the season.

01:02I think it's fascinating that Florida's tournament struggles, at least that's how I view them,

01:08are not factoring into this number.

01:10Maybe I should be playing money line, but I'm the crazy one who's going to just take

01:14the two-and-a-half points because if this goes down to the buzzer, I'd rather have my

01:17two-and-a-half points, Joe.

01:18Your protection.

01:19All right.

01:20Okay.

01:21Kid gloves.

01:23Go big or go home, but it's a pretty good look, especially when you talk about how the

01:28favorites have dominated.

01:30From the money line perspective, I understand in terms of taking the points here.

01:34The favorite thing, though, for me, that's over.

01:36I understand that there are favorites in this game, but people have made a killing throughout

01:40the tournament in terms of the money line.

01:42Back in the big game.

01:43They're going to do it again, though.

01:44There's going to be Florida-Duke money line parlays here all day.

01:47Absolutely.

01:48Someone's going to have to smash or maybe a double smash.

01:52You're right about that.

01:53I think at the end of the regular season, you would want Auburn to be playing their

01:58best basketball.

01:59They lost games down the stretch.

02:01They got knocked out of the tournament, and they've seemed to regroup, but again, I look

02:05at the body of work as well.

02:07They played a very good Creighton team, a Creighton team that at that particular time

02:11was trending.

02:12They put up 80-plus on them.

02:14That Creighton team was eight-and-a-half, nine-point underdogs, and they still covered

02:18that line.

02:19They got a hot team in terms of Michigan, held Donaldson, held that offense in check,

02:24even though Danny Boy Wolfe broke out with a huge performance, a huge performance.

02:31They kept them in check.

02:34Once they got the lead, once they were down, all of a sudden, they never relinquished it.

02:38Then Michigan State, even though it was a four-point game, they never really got within

02:42striking distance.

02:43Even though Broome was hurt, they kept them at bay.

02:45They win that ballgame by four.

02:47I still like Auburn here.

02:49I think they're battle-tested.

02:50Obviously, it's not just Broome, though.

02:52Pettiford coach, Miles Kelly, needs a better effort.

02:55He's a player I'm looking at in terms of the offensive perspective.

02:58He started fast with seven first-half points last week.

03:01He buries a three, doesn't really get going in terms of the second half.

03:05Today against Walter Clayton in that defense for Florida, I expect a guard play to step

03:10up.

03:11Miles Kelly, I think he's plus 210 for 15-plus today.

03:14I expect him to have a big day.

03:16One thing, coach, that you said that we were talking during the break, that perhaps people

03:21are screaming at their TVs when I'm talking about this number, Jedi Broome's injured.

03:27That's moving the number.

03:28I know that's, for you, a factor into betting on Florida in this game.

03:31Yeah.

03:32I think, to me also, the ability to throw multiple bigs, lots of bigs, lot of different

03:39matchups.

03:40Chin-a-loo.

03:41Chin-a-loo, obviously.

03:42Condon.

03:43The thing about Jedi Broome is you have to play different ways.

03:47Chin-a-loo.

03:48Around the rim.

03:49Chopper.

03:50Condon.

03:51Inside-out.

03:52How?

03:53Perimeter.

03:54To me, you look at the number of bodies.

03:55That's why I look at, too, that's 15 fouls right there.

03:58There's a lot of guys you can go up there and kind of make Jedi Broome work.

04:02Now, the interesting thing when I look at someone like Jedi Broome, to me, if you look

04:06at props, is maybe the three-point shot, depending on who gets the bulk of the minutes.

04:13If it's someone like Condon or, obviously, Chin-a-loo, then you look at him to go to

04:19the perimeter.

04:20Maybe look at his three-point prop.

04:21I think it's one plus, maybe three, minus 150, 152, something like that.

04:25If it's more of the opposite, how?

04:26Now, it goes to the inside, so, to me, there's going to be a lot of, even though they know

04:31each other, there's going to be a lot of chess matches being made by Golden and Pearl

04:36in regards to trying to find ways to get their best players the shots they need them to get.

Category

Transcript

Be the first to comment

Recommended