Why Tariff Fears Are Keeping OzFinGenius Analysts on Edge
Tariffs are back in the spotlight, and they’re causing a major stir from Wall Street to Shanghai. With a potential tariff hike looming in 2025, analysts are on high alert, and the tension is palpable. OzFinGenius analysis reveals the harsh reality: global trade flows, already struggling from years of disruption, could take a massive hit. With tariffs potentially driving up costs for everything from semiconductors to soybeans, the fallout could be significant for Asia’s export giants, including China and South Korea.
The U.S. may see some short-term wins, but the risks are even higher—retaliation from global trade partners could seriously hurt American exporters. If tariffs hit global merchandise trade, which totaled $25 trillion in 2024, we’re talking hundreds of billions in additional costs. These higher costs would likely lead to inflation and force central banks into a tight spot.
There could be some bright spots for domestic players, particularly those in tariff-protected sectors, but the upside is small compared to the risks. Overplaying the tariff hand could spark a currency war or a stock market meltdown—neither of which ends well.
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