00:00Donald Trump's victory in New Hampshire is significant because now it puts him in
00:08poll position to take on Joe Biden in November. Nikki Haley is putting up a brave front, but
00:14the question really now is, when is she going to drop out of the race, not if. There is
00:19growing pressure on her to step aside and let Trump take the lead. So barring any short
00:24legal setbacks, it very much looks like a Trump versus Biden battle. However, there
00:28were some warning signs for Trump as well in New Hampshire, because exit polls showed
00:33that the more moderate voters voted overwhelmingly for Nikki Haley, not for Trump. And many of
00:39the more moderate liberal voters are going to be a key demographic in the November election.
00:45One exit poll by Edison Research says that about 35% of voters are in that category,
00:51and they are the ones that Trump really needs to address. His cause support base is with
00:55him, they are overwhelmingly with him. 80% of them believe that the election in 2020
01:00was stolen from him and that Biden didn't win it legitimately. But it is that more moderate
01:06Republican base that he has to try and win over. And statistics so far indicate that
01:11that is going to be tough for him. The other issue is on abortion rights with Joe Biden
01:16has made a big centrepiece of his campaign already. Because again, exit poll data shows
01:22that even amongst those who voted in the Republican primary, those who are college
01:27educated women in particular, they're not big fans of Trump. And many of them are against
01:31the abortion bans that have played out in the US over the last year or so. So this could
01:36be a key issue that could work in Biden's favour. Despite these warning signs, however,
01:42Trump is clearly the overwhelming Republican favourite to take on Biden. It just remains
01:46to be seen how it plays out.
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