Sektor Energi Bertahan, Saham AADI Rebound Usai Jatuh 5 Hari Beruntun

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IHSG -0,05% ke level 7.092,827 sesi I Selasa (24/12). IDX-Techno -1,37% GOTO -2,82%, IDX-Cyclic -1,09% AMRT -4,08%, dan IDX-NonCyc -0,67% ACES -1,23%. Sementara IDX-Kesehatan +1,26% KLBF +2,63%. IDX Energy +1,18% ditopang saham AADI bangkit menguat 3,95% usai koreksi dalam pasca tembus level ATH pasca IPO.

Transcript

00:00Thank you for staying with us and in this segment, we will review how the trade is going throughout the day.

00:12Where today, Kargasam Kabung was able to give hope after the opening.

00:16However, it is more prone to fluctuating movements, even entering the second trading session.

00:21It is more tense and we remind you again, you can still participate on WhatsApp Interactive at 0812 8788.723

00:29as shown on the television screen later.

00:32And right now, we are connected via Zoom with Mr. Ahmad Yakiye, the Head of Online Trading at BCA.

00:38Our security will go straight to anyone.

00:40Mr. Yaki, good afternoon. How are you, sir?

00:42Good afternoon.

00:43Good afternoon, Mas.

00:45Thank you, Mr. Yaki, for spending your time on IDX Channel.

00:49After the Christmas holiday, two days, Rabu and Thursday, Kargasam Kabung was more prone to fluctuating movements.

00:57Kargasam Kabung was able to give hope in the first session this morning and reached 7,100.

01:03What is your analysis of the movement throughout the day?

01:06Is it true that the investor is doing profit-taking?

01:11Yes, the movement is more because of profit-taking.

01:16Because we know that today's transaction will be settled on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday.

01:21So, yesterday's transaction, the rebound was very fast.

01:24Yesterday, the time was also on Friday.

01:26So, it was more profit-taking.

01:28And yesterday, it was also more profitable.

01:30If you look at the pattern, the bullish abandonment failed.

01:33So, we still have to be optimistic because if we look at the first minute,

01:39sorry, in the 60-minute chart, there is support in the 70-40 area that is still strong enough to survive.

01:44So, there is a chance for the ISK to rebound on Friday and Monday.

01:49Does it mean that the support is still maintained, sir?

01:52The lowest intraday today is only at 7,600.

01:56Yes, if you look at the ISK chart, it is still optimistic.

02:01The ISK support is still in the area of 6,968 to 70-40.

02:05And 70-40 is still maintained because the ISK is still strong.

02:08So, we are still optimistic.

02:10There is still a chance for the ISK to rebound on Friday and Monday.

02:13With the potential rebound on Friday and Monday next week,

02:18the last day of trading in the Indonesian stock market,

02:20where is the direction of the movement near the joint stock market, Mr. Yaki?

02:26The potential is more bullish with the target at the end of the year,

02:30the closest is in the area of 7,100.

02:34In the range of 7,200 to 7,300.

02:39With the position of 7,200 to 7,300 from the BCA Securities,

02:45is this in line with expectations, sir?

02:48Or has the BCA Securities revised the ISK target until the end of the year?

02:55Fundamentally, the target is still high at the end of the year,

02:59still in the area of 7,400.

03:01But technically, today the ISK failed to close the gap in the area of 7,108.

03:08And the potential correction is minor for tomorrow, on Friday,

03:11to test the area of 7,040.

03:14But in terms of price movement since the beginning of September 2024,

03:19the ISK can still be bullish at the end of the year,

03:22in the last two trading days, on the 27th and 30th.

03:26Okay, good.

03:27In terms of the market movement in the Samkabungan area,

03:30which is more of a fluctuation and tends to be under pressure,

03:33Mr. Yaky, how do you see the momentum of Santarelli, Windrush Racing,

03:37not happening this year?

03:41For Santarelli, maybe it's a bit heavy, because it's really close.

03:44But maybe for Windrush, there are still two days left

03:47before the technical event,

03:49because if we look at the ISK movement,

03:53at the end of November, it dropped to the level of 7,045.

03:58Then the fluctuation was also fast,

04:00in one day it could go up by 1-1.5%.

04:03So there is a possibility that this will happen.

04:06Because if we look at the transaction pattern,

04:08when it was on Friday, it was just settled at the beginning of the year.

04:11And likewise, when the transaction was on December 30,

04:13it was just settled at the beginning of 2025.

04:15So I think the trading pattern will change.

04:18So based on Santarelli, we are hoping for the January effect.

04:22Because there is a position of strengthening the gap.

04:25January effect, right?

04:28Yes.

04:29What is the target?

04:31The contribution to the exchange rate from the current price position

04:35or the target from 700 to 7,200 earlier?

04:40The potential for the January effect, maybe there are two gaps.

04:44So the first gap could be at 7,258,

04:49and the second gap could be at 7,324.

04:53Okay.

04:55Mr. Yaki, today several stocks are trying to support

04:58Mr. Indekar Gasam Kabungan so that the internal pressure does not occur.

05:02I want to go to Telkom first, sir.

05:04Today it is stronger than 3%.

05:06As we all know, Telkom has experienced quite a deep correction.

05:10It even touched the lowest level in recent years.

05:14What is your analysis for Telkom and its recommendation?

05:17The strengthening that happened today, then the price prospects in 2025, Mr. Yaki?

05:23Yes.

05:24Technically, we have recommended Telkom this morning

05:26to buy on break above 2660.

05:28And for the next two trading days,

05:31Telkom has to confirm to break above 2760.

05:38If Telkom can break above 2760,

05:41there is a potential for Telkom to return to level 2900 to 3000 again.

05:44But if Telkom still breaks above 2760,

05:48better take profit first to buy back Telkom,

05:50which is close to 2660 to 2660.

05:54This is just starting to rebound in the area.

05:56And if we look at the movement of MICD and RIC,

05:59this tends to be divergent.

06:02So there is a potential for bullish divergence.

06:03So it's still running for Telkom accumulation or hold.

06:06Okay.

06:07What is the target until the beginning of January, sir?

06:12The potential is in the area to confirm.

06:16If we make a target, it should be 2860 to 2900.

06:25For the beginning of the year.

06:26Okay.

06:27The closing today at 2740 is strong at 3.40%.

06:31There is Telkom which today is one of the supporters of Indekargasemkabungan

06:35so that the pressure is not too deep.

06:38Let's move on to energy, sir.

06:40There is AADI which happens to be our main topic,

06:45one of the main topics, I mean.

06:46AADI today experienced a rebound,

06:50although its strength is more towards the limit.

06:52Intraday was reduced to 7,225.

06:56It has undergone quite a deep correction,

06:585 days profitably,

07:00and further from the highest level ever achieved after the IPO.

07:04What is your analysis for AADI today?

07:09Actually, if we look at it, it's interesting for the technical rebound,

07:12but we have to be aware that this pattern is similar to December 16, 2024.

07:16So if the AADI tomorrow, on Friday and Monday,

07:22fails to survive above 7600,

07:24there is a potential for AADI to try to go down again

07:27with the closest support in August until 7400.

07:29But if the AADI can survive above the area of 7600,

07:33there is a potential for a reverse or continued rebound

07:35quite good with the closest support in August until 8150,

07:38and a potential for a gap in the area of 8650.

07:43So it's still a bit tricky.

07:45Because if we look at the movement,

07:47maybe with the movement on December 16,

07:49so it has to be confirmed tomorrow, on Friday and Monday,

07:53whether AADI can survive above 7600 or not.

07:57The conclusion today is still at 7725,

08:01strengthening at 1.64%.

08:03The support that must be monitored is

08:05whether AADI can survive below 7600.

08:07When the scenario is that AADI cannot survive at 7600,

08:11where will it go?

08:13The pressure will continue to what level?

08:15What is the next support for AADI?

08:17The closest support above 7600 is in the area of 7000 to 7400.

08:22And if the 7000 is a break,

08:24the next support is at 6550 to 6775.

08:28What do you think of the position of AADI

08:31when it touches the highest intraday level when it was IPO?

08:35A few moments ago, you also managed to chart the direction, sir.

08:38Then the position,

08:40reversing to the lowest level of 72 today

08:43and 8050, the highest intraday today.

08:48Yes, the scenario is still bad.

08:51And the selling pressure, if we look at it,

08:54actually, if you look at the last two days,

08:56there was an accumulation of price movements.

09:00And if you look at it from yesterday,

09:02the selling pressure is quite high,

09:04so it has to pay for itself.

09:06And as we discussed earlier,

09:07today's movement is similar to the movement in September

09:10where the volume is peak up, but the candle is 2G.

09:13So there is a two-way potential.

09:15That's why the level of 7600 support must be observed.

09:18Don't let it reach 7600,

09:20the potential of the stock market will continue.

09:22Okay.

09:23Again, 76 investors must pay attention to the support from AADI

09:26as a signal or a sign or a level

09:29that indicates that the stock market will continue for AADI.

09:32And again, the investment decision is still in the hands of the investors.

09:36Mr. Yaki, we will look at the data later.

09:39We will look at what you recommend

09:42and at the same time update the trade determination in the second session today.

09:45And investors, we will be right back.

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