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TNF Week 16 Preview: Herbert vs. Nix Quarterback Battle
SportsGrid
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12/19/2024
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Sports
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00:03
Thursday night props for Thursday night football to start week number 16 around the National
00:08
Football League.
00:09
The Broncos and the Bolts tonight in Los Angeles.
00:12
It's the Chargers and the Broncos DRS.
00:15
Let's talk about each quarterback here Justin Herbert dealing with a litany of injuries
00:20
the last few weeks ankle knee hip.
00:24
He's been a little bit banged up.
00:26
He did not finish the blowout last week against the Buccaneers expected to play tonight.
00:31
How effective is he going to be?
00:33
That remains the question for Bo Nix.
00:36
Last week wasn't great.
00:38
He did throw three interceptions in only 132 yards, but did have three touchdown tosses
00:45
to lead Denver back in a big win over the Indianapolis Colts.
00:49
Their props are pretty similar 223 and a hook for Nix 228 and a half right now for
00:56
Herbert.
00:57
But Donnie as you have said, you look at the prop market.
01:00
You must look at the total.
01:01
It's 41 and a half on this short week.
01:04
Would you go over any of those quarterback numbers you see there?
01:09
You're getting good price points here.
01:10
And the reason why I would lean towards the quarterback over the running game, which we'll
01:13
get to because I don't think that we're going to have a sustained running game from either
01:16
side to be honest.
01:17
They're two solid defenses, but it's not as if Saquon Barkley is showing up on one
01:22
side of the field.
01:23
And, you know, you take a look on the other side, any plethora of great running backs
01:25
like a Derrick Henry on the other side, you're going to have a mixed match of a couple of
01:29
guys getting in there.
01:30
So taking those running back props, which we'll get to probably not as appetizing.
01:34
But again, Herbert 228 and a half sounds decent.
01:38
But when you look at the past couple of games, it's like, yeah, that's why it's 228.
01:41
Any other year, it's like just Herbert 228.
01:43
They're going to air it out with all the wideouts they have in the play calling there.
01:46
That's not the case anymore.
01:48
They're more, you know what?
01:49
Let's play good defense.
01:50
Let's make the plays when we need to.
01:51
And let's not extend ourselves.
01:52
Same thing with Bo Nix 223 and a half.
01:54
You said it last week, like, hey, look at all the points they put up.
01:56
The production wasn't really needed from Bo Nix's side.
01:59
But if I were looking to overs in this game, which a lot of positions, I'm not looking
02:03
forward to that.
02:04
It's probably the quarterback position.
02:06
It's not a ton of yards, 225 on either side, basically putting in the ballpark for both
02:10
of these quarterbacks covering.
02:11
And as I just told you, I don't think we're going to get running backs, 17 carries for
02:16
a buck 25, stealing the show here.
02:18
If you're going to move the football tonight, it's probably going to be through the air.
02:21
So if there were overs to take, you're probably looking at it from the quarterback position.
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