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Analyzing NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds and Favorites
SportsGrid
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1 year ago
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00:00
So, here we go. Let's talk about the NFL regular season Defensive Player of the Year. Considering
00:09
the gruesome injury that happened, now the field opens up a bit, and you, Joe, feel that
00:15
there is one clear player, head and shoulders above everyone else, for Defensive Player
00:19
of the Year.
00:20
Well, there is, because he is a high-profile player. He's coming off a game where he punched
00:25
out two footballs. TJ Watt is a menace, and TJ Watt is always one of the favorites for
00:29
this award every year, and he's having a great season. TJ Watt, you can tell from the odds,
00:34
too, by far, the guy here at plus 150, Chris Jones is next at plus 700, Will Anderson having
00:41
a nice season of his own at plus 800. Now, Anderson and Jones could certainly get in
00:44
this conversation and shorten this up, but it's really the health of TJ Watt that's the
00:49
only obstacle here, I think. The public nature of this award, the fact it's a media award,
00:54
TJ Watt's a very beloved guy and a tremendous player. He's going to get sacked. I mean,
00:59
this goes to the flashy sack artist, typically. It's very rare that you get somebody else
01:03
to win this award, and it does happen from time to time. But that does mean that if you
01:07
want to bet against the health of TJ Watt, which is something that in the past has been
01:11
an issue, there's opportunity here. Jones is having a great season, plus 700. Same with
01:16
Anderson. Another guy, too, we were talking about our producers before the show, is Dexter
01:21
Lawrence, plus 1200, who is having a really good season. Plus 1200, that is a big return.
01:28
That's a number that could shrink in the weeks to come, especially if he has some big
01:31
games here coming up soon. So it's a market to watch. It's a market that when Hutchinson
01:36
got hurt, I did put some money on TJ Watt just because of the principle of it. He is
01:43
far and away the best investment, just like Jaden Daniels was in Rookie of the Year. We
01:47
all said, beginning of the year, and that when the number went down, you double down
01:50
on it. Well, we were in on Hutchinson, unfortunately. It did not come to its full term, but we were
01:56
right in terms of where we were at, right? Beginning of the year, he was plus 1600.
02:02
We love that. It was basically a two-horse race. Now, unfortunately, one of those horses
02:06
is out with a broken leg the rest of the season, which is just crushing. You hope that he returns
02:11
healthy at some point and doesn't push too hard. I know he's saying, well, if they make
02:15
the Super Bowl, I'll be back. That guy is nuts. He is a football player in every fiber
02:19
of his being. We hope he continues to make a speedy and full recovery. It's TJ Watts
02:26
to lose right now. Right now, that marketplace has really opened up into a huge chasm, so
02:32
something to be aware of. It's still plus money right now if you want to get in on it.
02:36
That's something that you can consider strongly.
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