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Greens refuse to support government RBA reforms proposal until interest rates fall
ABC NEWS (Australia)
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1 year ago
The Greens have demanded the government force the reserve bank to lower interest rates in exchange for their support. But chief economist Jonathan Kearns says it wouldn't be the best move for the economy.
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00:00
The Treasurer hasn't overruled the Reserve Bank in the era of the independent central
00:07
bank, so we're talking about three decades here.
00:10
So it would undermine confidence in the ability of the Reserve Bank to implement independent
00:15
monetary policy and achieve its objectives for inflation and employment, importantly.
00:21
So we haven't had a review of the Reserve Bank's monetary policy operations for more
00:26
than three decades that we've been having independent monetary policy.
00:30
So this is a really important, significant review that occurred.
00:34
Now about half of the recommendations in the review can be implemented by the Reserve Bank
00:40
and there are a bunch of others that can be implemented by the Treasury Department, by
00:45
the government, without legislation, but there's a small portion that do require legislation
00:51
where we're changing the RBA Act.
00:53
And so the most significant of those is splitting the Reserve Bank board, creating two boards.
00:59
One would be for governance and one would be for setting monetary policy.
01:03
So that would be a big change because at the moment there isn't a governance board.
01:07
And the aim would be to make the Reserve Bank board setting monetary policy a much more
01:12
expert-based board.
01:14
The concerns from the Coalition, from the opposition, have been about Labor manipulating
01:20
or stacking the board with Labor people and so how that would change the influence that
01:28
the government has over the Reserve Bank setting monetary policy.
01:32
Now the reality is that the appointments to the Reserve Bank board in its existing stance
01:39
are always made by the government of the day.
01:41
And so the Coalition, when they've been in government, have appointed people and similarly
01:47
for Labor.
01:48
But so there is obviously some concern there from the opposition.
01:54
The Greens have sort of taken a bit of a back seat on this for some time because the government
01:59
was negotiating with the opposition.
02:01
But now that the opposition has said that they won't go with this bill, then the Greens
02:09
have come to the fore in being the other party that the government can negotiate with.
02:15
And the Greens are now insisting that the Reserve Bank would have to cut interest rates
02:19
for them to agree on that.
02:21
And we're in a situation where inflation is the biggest problem that we have in the economy
02:26
and we need high interest rates to reduce inflation.
02:29
So what the Greens are asking for would actually be irresponsible economic policy.
02:34
So the Governor's last policy decision was very clear that the Reserve Bank board does
02:39
not expect to cut interest rates this year.
02:42
Given what we see about how high inflation is, how slowly it's coming down, how much
02:48
we actually already still have demand in the economy exceeding supply, that's adding to
02:53
inflationary pressures.
02:55
So we're not in a situation yet where we can cut interest rates.
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