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Transcript

00:00Morning satellite news.

00:25Good morning.

00:26This is the August 26th Monday Morning News Satellite.

00:30This week, we will update you as soon as possible on the world economy and the market.

00:33Now, let's take a look at the end of the stock market of the New York stock market on the 23rd of last week.

00:39All three indexes have rebounded.

00:42Dow Jones is at 41,175 dollars, up 462 dollars.

00:46Nasdaq is at 17,877 dollars, up 258 dollars.

00:52S&P 500 is at 63 points, up 5,634 dollars.

00:58Now, let's take a look at the stock market.

01:00The stock market of the Chicago Daily Average ended at 38,330 dollars on the last weekend.

01:07At the Jackson Hall meeting, Chairman Powell said,

01:11The September downturn is almost over.

01:14The stock market is almost...

01:15The stock market is almost...

01:16The stock market is almost...

01:17The stock market is almost...

01:20Chairman Powell said,

01:22It's time to adjust the financial policy.

01:25He also emphasized his desire to prevent the worsening of the labor market.

01:29The exchange of financial policy is expected to support corporate revenue and supply.

01:34A wide range of names have been acquired.

01:36All three indexes have risen by more than 1% and completed their transactions.

01:40Also, the Russell 2000, which is composed mainly of medium and small-sized domestic stocks,

01:45has risen by more than 3%.

01:48This is Kawase.

01:49The dollar is currently in the 40's from the 30's of the 144 yen.

01:56Now, let's look at the main news of the weekend.

02:00The number of newly built houses sold in July in the United States increased by 10.6% from the month before by 739,000 units per year.

02:11It surpassed market expectations and became the highest level since May last year.

02:17It has increased in all regions and has increased by 33.8% in the west.

02:23On the other hand, the central value of the selling price is $429,800 and has risen by 2.6% from a year ago.

02:33The time has come for policy to adjust.

02:36The direction of travel is clear.

02:40Chairman Powell of the Federal Reserve Board of Representatives on the 23rd

02:45made it clear in a speech at the Jackson Hole meeting that he plans to lower interest rates next month.

02:52Chairman Powell acknowledged that the risk of inflation has decreased,

02:57while the risk of unemployment has increased.

03:01However, he emphasized that he will do everything he can to support the labor market.

03:07On top of that, the time has come for policy to adjust.

03:11He said that the direction of travel is clear

03:14and made it clear that he will start lowering interest rates next month.

03:19However, the width and pace of future interest rates depend on the data,

03:24and it is avoided to show concrete predictions.

03:28What did experts think of Powell's speech?

03:32Adam Posen, a well-known economist who attended the Jackson Hole meeting, said there was no surprise.

03:40He also said that there is a risk that FRB will be pushed back again in the future.

03:58Adam Posen, a well-known economist who attended the Jackson Hole meeting, said there is a risk that FRB will be pushed back again in the future.

04:04Adam Posen, a well-known economist who attended the Jackson Hole meeting, said there is a risk that FRB will be pushed back again in the future.

04:17Powell also pointed out that the situation is not serious enough to lead to a change in interest rates.

04:33Powell also pointed out that the situation is not serious enough to lead to a change in interest rates.

04:36It's still a $175,000 plus net labor growth per month over the preceding year,

04:44which is very strong for a late recovery.

04:47Balance sheets are still strong, credit is widely available,

04:51productivity growth is still stronger than it was.

04:54So it's very hard for me to say we're in a recession right now.

04:59On the other hand, Mr. Posen criticized that Mr. Powell did not touch on the long-term risks,

05:05and warned that the financial policy may face a rebound again in the future.

05:29Staying focused so much in the short term and not talking about the two-year out forecast

05:37is going to make potential for a shock to markets when the Fed has to reverse.

05:43Especially if Trump wins and does the things on migration, trade, and the Fed, he says he will,

05:48that the Fed will have to be raising rates a year from now.

05:53I'd like to introduce this morning's guest.

05:56Ms. Mana Nakazora of BNP Paribasho.

05:59Good morning.

06:01Ms. Shinichiro Kadoda of Barclays.

06:06Good morning.

06:08Ms. Nakazora, what did you think of Mr. Powell's remarks at the Jackson Hall meeting?

06:13I think Mr. Powell is the one who is most concerned about the daily activities.

06:21The reason is that I don't think the U.S. economy is that strong,

06:27and I think it's going to go down somewhere.

06:30But even if I think about it, I can't think of a number that's going to go down.

06:33The housing market, which I mentioned earlier, is very strong.

06:36I think it's very difficult to look at that and say, let's lower wages.

06:41So I think he's trying to lower wages by putting it in the labor market.

06:47Until now, it was a matter of course to lower wages.

06:50It was a matter of whether it was 25 or 50, or even 75.

06:54I feel like this has already been confirmed to be 25.

06:57But as Mr. Powell said, if you're told that there will be a raise,

07:01it's really troublesome.

07:03If you don't do it, I think you'll be sold.

07:06If you do it, you do it.

07:08I think it's very troublesome whether or not it will cause a real bubble.

07:12Mr. Tan, there are a lot of strong numbers so far,

07:15but I don't know if it's real estate or consumption.

07:17I don't think there's a weak spot yet.

07:19No, I don't think so.

07:21Mr. Kadota, how did you respond?

07:23Well, as you all said,

07:25this time, the FOMC article 6 showed the direction of the downturn,

07:28and it was also shared by Mr. Powell,

07:30so it was a bit of a dollar sale.

07:34But of course, depending on the future stock market,

07:37the pace of the downturn will be determined.

07:41But the market is moving in the direction of a quick downturn,

07:45so if there's a strong market,

07:48the risk of going back to the dollar side

07:51is also in the sense that the downturn has progressed a lot.

07:55When I saw Mr. Kawase's reaction,

07:57I had the impression that it had moved in the direction of a downturn,

08:00but what do you think?

08:02Well, in the case of a downturn,

08:04the market tends to take the risk of going in that direction at once,

08:07so I think it was a similar movement this time as well.

08:10However, the American financial environment

08:13is already becoming a little more pessimistic,

08:16so I think it is necessary to look at

08:20how far the downturn is necessary

08:22while the market has not yet fallen.

08:24I understand.

08:26Now, let's take a look at the market.

08:28Will the dollar-dollar flow not stop?

08:30The point is the U.S. downturn and the presidential election.

08:33This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:01This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:04This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:07This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:10This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:13This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:16This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:19This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:22This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

09:25This is a commentary by our guest, Ms. Katota.

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09:49Her specialty isn't just imaging technology.

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10:20From here, we will tell you what kind of development is expected in today's Tokyo market.

10:25First, let's take a look at this week's exchange market.

10:28First is the value of exchange in each country.

10:31Dollars are currently in the 30's to 40's of 144 yen.

10:35Euros are in the 160's.

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